Journal pudge's Journal: Electoral Trivia 7
I've been idly following the Real Clear Politics electoral map. I think some of it is kinda silly. Yesterday Virginia was "leaning Obama." I wondered when the last time Virginia went Democrat was.
I went back to 1968 (as far back as RCP's maps go, plus, since Nixon was the first President I was alive for, seems like a nice round election) and couldn't find a single example: it went Republican every time. I thought, what other states go Republican every election? Since 1968: Alaska, Idaho, Wyoming, Utah, Oklahoma, Kansas, Nebraska, South Dakota, North Dakota, and Indiana. Plus Virginia.
How many have gone Democrat every time since 1968? None: just the District of Columbia. Of course, without the Republican blowouts in 1972 and 1984, there'd probably be more.
As George Will likes to remind us, the future is just like the past right up until the point where it's not, which is why I call this "trivia." Still, I think Indiana and Virginia are not likely to go Obama this year, despite close polls.
Cross-posted on <pudge/*>.
The big surprise (Score:1)
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Oh, I think MI very well could. PA maybe.
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Kwame Kilpatrick being a complete disaster hurts the Obamessiah in Detroit.
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Yeah. What really matters most is holding Ohio, and then picking up just ONE more state bigger than NH: CO, WA, NM, PA, MI ... then it's over, as long as he keeps Indiana and Virginia.
So close... (Score:2)
...by which I mean RCP's data.
The last time was 1964 [archives.gov].
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MUAHAHAHAHA.
Is there some bumper sticker metric? (Score:2)
I live in Indiana. As you said, they vote Republican for Presidential Races, but we have had a couple of Democratic Governors.
One thing I noticed this weekend is that I rarely, if ever, see any McCain and or McCain/Palin bumper stickers this election cycle. I have seen a few yard signs, but even those are few and far between.
On the flip side I see Obama stickers and yard signs all over the place. I counted 23 stickers and 9 yard signs for Obama on the way into work (about 16 miles of driving). There wer