We’re kidding ourselves if we think EVs are a drop-in “solution.” Building an EV burns about twice the carbon of making an ICE, and scrapping a perfectly functional ICE adds nearly another tonne of COe. Run the numbers: ramping up EV sales by 10%/year for a decade actually adds ~650 million tonnes of COe from manufacturing, even after accounting for fewer ICEs scrapped.
That’s just swapping one carbon-intensive system for another — tailpipes for furnaces and mines. The problem isn’t just the drivetrain, it’s the scale: 75 million new cars every year.
The real win isn’t “replace every ICE with an EV,” it’s cutting the carbon out of steel, aluminum, and batteries, cranking up recycling, and maybe even questioning whether churning out this many new cars is sustainable at all. Otherwise, it’s just business as usual in a greener paint job.