Indeed.

All these mayors and governors telling their local law enforcement (you know actual men with guns) to thwart the efforts of federal law enforcement, is a hell of lot closer to 'insurrection' than J6, CHAZ and a lot of those BLM protest looked a lot more like the Whiskey rebellion(s) or Shay's than J6, and we know how those were handled.

The GP should look in mirror and be careful what s/he wishes for..

Don't forget either the antivax movement cross cuts political lines. RFK was a Democrat until about a year ago...

Some of the deepest bluest granola munching corners of the country and major clusters of antivaxers.

But sure MAGA is the problem...

If the heart has stopped how do you get the anti-freeze distributed throughout the body? Do they put the person on an artificial heart for a time?

I am curious is if there is really anything to this; or if these cryo firms are just sure, "we'll take your money and freeze your loved ones corpse, and who knows maybe the future will have nearly magic nano bots that can fix the mess we are making anything is possible right?"

I found GP2.5 to be great at academic-style research and writing; it was absolutely awful at writing code. So; I would tell it to plan some thing for me and write it in a way that could be used by another agent (Claude Code) to build the code to do the thing. In this way, it has been great! I haven't yet attempted it with 3.

That said, I found GP3.0's page to be hilarious:

It demonstrates PhD-level reasoning with top scores on Humanityâ(TM)s Last Exam (37.5% without the usage of any tools) and GPQA Diamond (91.9%). It also sets a new standard for frontier models in mathematics, achieving a new state-of-the-art of 23.4% on MathArena Apex.

It then proceeds to show, lower down on the page, an example of what it can do, by showing off 'Our Family Recipes". If there's anything that touts PhD-level reasoning and writing, it's a recipe book.

But also entirely predictable. Anyone paying attention for the last 30 years or so should realize by now that:

1) Data aggregated for any purpose will eventually be abused.

It is probably the only thing as certain as death and taxes... (sorry could not resist)

Of the top of my head...

People trying to mis-characterize leisure/personal travel as business expenses. Claims of S-corp business related deductions and credits are generally cited high audit trigger risks. I assume that is because the IRS at least believes they are widely abused.

Just as a general top line way to flag people who have life styles that don't seem align well to their reported incomes...and by extension are likely not reporting things they are required to do. The US tax codes is very well weird, we should never forget. You are for example required to report income from illegal activities, but the 5th amendment protects you from having to disclose what those activities are. So for an example that might fit here:

let's say fraudulently arranged some business travel for yourself to meet a client that does not exist, because you want to take a free trip to Monnaco on the company dime. That trip is income. As far as the IRS is concerned you need to report those 10k business class tickets and those 4k hotel fees you received. They may be curious if that was really a business and just how someone with AGI of 68,000 with three dependents managed to bank roll such an extravagant trip if it wasn't.

There's nothing like a good smack to the beitzim to stop a would-be rapist. And there's nothing like biting someone if it's all the leverage you have.

Remember, this is not a video game or a sanctioned fight in a boxing ring. This is your life versus the life of a terrorist or other attacker. Kill or be killed. Learn to fight.

I've really, really been unimpressed with Gemini. I'll use almost anything else.

Also -- completely tangential -- can I just say how nice it is that Slashdot still exists? Of course, it's WAY different than Chips 'n Dips and Redhat IPO days, but still, it's fun to come here and feel 1998 wash over me...

Well I can't argue with that. I was there too and saw a good deal of it.

I was looking at this at a macro level. At that level I think the net number of people will be around the same but you are right we will rotate out competent people who understand this stuff for a smaller handful of expert fixers, and ultimately a number if incompetents who will inherit systems they don't understand and can't maintain, and more inflexible policy band-aides.

There is a way to play that too. Government; especially one as divided as our current one; can't do anything fast.

There will almost certainly be in the event a major market crash the idea ballots floated.

Someone like Massie or Rand Paul will threaten to be votes to derail it.

- Sell this news (in this case exercise those PUTs) because we all know after Washington does its things for a couple weeks (maybe longer) something will get done.

There is a pretty simple script here. People say you can't time the market, that is true. However if you get the initial hypothesis right (there is going to be an AI driven crash in this case) you absolutely can time it; if you are not trying to call the absolute tops and bottoms. If you buy those puts now.. sure maybe we go up until q4 earnings start get turned in, so what you shave a couple percent. Maybe on the other end the bailouts take a little longer to get done and its four weeks not two like the current shutdown. Again you'll still do just fine.

The only things you have to be right about is proposition #0 - there is a major crash coming in the somewhat immediate future.

- For the record again, I say "Aint happening"
I think we are going to see a 'correction' we go down 10% or or less from recent highs and trade sideways for a while. Maybe that correction happens now maybe in a couple months and I am not investing in tech right now, because that will be epicenter of said correction.

Here is the thing, you are posting on Slashdot. Don't tell me you are not sharp enough to find a broker, and buy some long dated at the money PUTS either on the AI and AI adjacent firms or just the market over all with funds like SPY / QQQ.

You If you really had conviction about truly big enough crash for Main Street to feel it to commit 18 or 20K; you'd make enough to keep the mortgage current and food on the table for a year right there after there return of the principle.

The thing is you don't really believe in such a crash. The bigger part of you thinks this will all just blow over in couple quarters, you might not get a great Christmas bonus either for 2025 or 2026 but mostly you don't think your financial life will be all that greatly impacted. I think that bigger part of you is right. OpenAI's investors are going to lose a lot of money, probably Anthropic and anyone else not actually in the business of making the compute hardware, or using the compute hardware to make physical things like drugs, better plastic, etc. I don't think there is going to be any 2008 like crisis..

People building actual stuff will do just fine.

NVIDIA and anyone building the rest of the compute support chips to run the ML accelerators.

There is huge money to be made ultimately, once drug companies, like GSK, BASF, Dupont, 3M, etc use it to advance chemistry and materials.

OpenAI and its peers on the other hand is likely to crash to earth in a flaming wreck and many of the hyper-scalers that have over invested will probably have to suffer some big write downs on data centers once people realize the LLMs are not going to replace actual thinking persons, anywhere where the outcomes matter. Ditto for reading X-rays and such, it might aide actual techniations and doctors but it won't replace them. Even the self driving cars, it might move your cabby to some desk some place rather than in the car with you, it might even let him monitor 4 or 5 fares at a time; but it wont cut the numbers or the expense by 5x - you'll still have to have people to do the other things he did like clean the interior etc. All in all it might represent a 2x savings, in the end.

Long story short trouble there is a profitable business in the like OpenAI as well but nothing like the current valuations reflect.

and safe deposit boxes are not all that strong, the vault is open all day, and if someone walks into the bank waving a gun around the the staff will step aside and let them take whatever they want.

The real security of the bank is - the cops will show up in 5 to 10min and insurance will cover whatever cash disappears. That last part importantly not so for the contents of your box if that does get cleared out. Nominally bank robbers don't go for the boxes because prying them open would use to much of that 5-10 they have, to get out of there..

Ultimately its a lot of security; but I am not sure I'd want my bulk of my net worth relying on it. The FDIC/SPIC seems like a little more secure bet there.

The other thing you have to ask is does it really protect your person. If the guy with the wrench is any less than entirely convinced that you don't have a copy anywhere else, or know the information - they are still likely to beat you to death trying to get. Look at it from their prespective "I swear the only copy of that wallet information is locked up third-federal, I can't tell you anything" - "Sure buddy, let's just see if your story changes any after I take this hammer to your left hand then.."

bitcoins are highly trackable; most activities that can convert large sums of crypto to spendable cash are typically trackable. At least by nation state actors.

The norm right now and they way they get away is people say - "Oh Salt Typhoon, nothing more we can do than have the ambassador send a pointed but respectful letter" is in China.

If instead we just had some human intelligent asset, kill some of those operators, things might actually change. They could also escalate of course, but then that is really just acknowledging we are in a real conflict rather than letting our enemies bleed us and gather all the intel they'd like.

For private enterprise I'll agree you might we right that private enterprise paying ransoms emboldens criminals, and encorages more of the same. I don't agree people should be told they can't pay. It is not *MY* responsibility to fall on my sword suffer the destruction of my enterprise because law enforcement / national defense can't or won't do what is needed to protect me. Kinda like I have a dead bolt on my door, someone could still kick it in. I rely on the local sheriff to create an environment where few criminals would be so bold.

Everyone needs to pick up a Koran and read those sword verses at the very least.

Islam isn't just a religion it is also a political system and it hell bent on conquest. We are at war with Islam, it is wholly incompatible with western culture. Islam does not make any room for pluralism, unless subjugation of people 'of the book' counts and you are alright with death for everyone else.

That is what the text says, there ain't any getting around it. Anyone who especially if they claim to be islamic either actually isn't, or is lying to you (something the Koran also tells them to do).

Anyone professing to be a follower of Islam fundamentally can't be trusted, full stop! We need a Muslim ban, or the very instant they think they have the numbers, our culture, our freedoms, our very lives, will be lost!