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Comment: Re:"Expected", "could", and "maybe" (Score 1) 329

by mellon (#48570041) Attached to: Warmer Pacific Ocean Could Release Millions of Tons of Methane

If all predictions had indeed not come to pass, you might have a point. But of course that's hyperbole, which is to say: you are making shit up. In the real, fact-based world climate science has an all-too-good track record. Yes, it is not perfectly accurate, but that's really not something with which to comfort yourself. If you get run over by a bus, it doesn't matter whether it hits you from the front or the side: you're still dead. It's best to pay attention and get out of the way when there is a bus bearing down on you. And as for extinction events, it doesn't matter whether they're human-caused or not. What matters is not being taken out by them. Or anyway, so the thinking goes...

Comment: Re:"Expected", "could", and "maybe" (Score 1) 329

by mellon (#48564125) Attached to: Warmer Pacific Ocean Could Release Millions of Tons of Methane

Expected, could and maybe do not have probabilities assigned. So when you say "with a very low probability," you are putting words in gmustera's mouth. The probability isn't very low. It's likely that this caused the Permian-Triassic extinction event. But I'm sure that you, with your anti-government rhetoric and your bunker in the basement, will survive an extinction event just fine. No doubt you've done the science, and figured out how much stockpiled oxygen you need to stockpile to get through it, and how big your airtight greenhousese need to be to grow the food you won't be able to safely grow outside, and that's why you're not worried.

Remember that uncertainty cuts both ways, Padawan.

Comment: Re:Only CO2 matters (Score 1) 329

by mellon (#48564035) Attached to: Warmer Pacific Ocean Could Release Millions of Tons of Methane

Methane oxidizes, yielding CO2. You don't even know basic chemistry, and you are making scientific-sounding statements about atmosphere science. Sigh. One of the big problems with society today: idiots are completely sure of themselves, and smart people communicate with equivocation in contexts where equivocation will be understood to correlate with uncertainty. See? I can't even stop myself!

Comment: Re:An unidentified drone (Score 1) 325

by mellon (#48547449) Attached to: Heathrow Plane In Near Miss With Drone

In addition, had the drone hit the airplane, how do we know that it wouldn't have bounced off? Did it weigh more than a frozen turkey? Mid-air collisions between airplanes are really bad, but mid-air collisions between airplanes and turkeys are generally only bad for the turkey, modulo the occasional fluke where you get enough birds in each engine to cause a real problem.

I frequently see other airplanes from my airplane when I travel. Does that mean that there was a risk of a mid-air? No, they're at a different altitude. So "the pilot saw a drone" is evidence of a near-miss only in the realm of directed reasoning. Someone has an agenda, and that's why this is news.

Comment: Re:Dark Matter here (Score 1) 103

by mellon (#48283545) Attached to: Physicists Identify Possible New Particle Behind Dark Matter

Don't worry. You're a fine mixture of baryons and leptons. Any WIMPs or SIMPs are just along for the ride.

This article is a bit frustrating in that they haven't actually discovered a dark matter particle—they've just come up with a new idea for what it might look like. So it's not even a virtual particle. It's a hypothetical particle. But interesting nevertheless...

Comment: Re:Society hypocrisy.... (Score 1) 387

by mellon (#48164361) Attached to: Torvalds: I Made Community-Building Mistakes With Linux

It's that the language used is too harsh. A hundred years ago that kind of language would have gotten you shot. The sense in which our society is gentler is that nobody has gone gunning for Linus yet. Personally, I think that's a good thing, but it's no excuse for him to behave that way. It's totally possible to express disagreement without shrieking.

"It's what you learn after you know it all that counts." -- John Wooden

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