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Comment: Re:Qustion on US views (Score 2) 289

by jeff4747 (#49723973) Attached to: North Carolina Still Wants To Block Municipal Broadband

Oddities in the US political system mean that the only stable governing system is two political parties.

One of those parties is currently ruled by fear. Whatever Fox tells them to fear, they will fear. Even if it makes no logical sense. Members of that party are currently terrified that routine military exercises are a pretext for the federal government conquering Texas. Never mind that Texas is already conquered and subject to the federal government. There's also gems like "Get your government hands out of my Medicare!!". Medicare being the government program to provide health insurance to the elderly.

Much of the medical and pharmaceutical industries paid to generate a great deal of fear over government-backed healthcare. So members of that party are utterly against it. Despite the fact that the massively convoluted system created to keep those entities in business while providing more health insurance is actually working.

ISPs have not yet paid to generate a great deal of fear over government-provided Internet service.

Comment: Re: Privacy? (Score 1) 776

Bottom-rung workers should be on welfare. The alternative to working + welfare is just welfare - and that's far more corrosive to society.

They already are. Welfare ended in the 1990s. Now the US has TANF, which only lasts for 5 years. It is impossible to be "just on welfare". But that strawman is GREAT when you want to beat on the poor.

(Before you trot out the studies that show that modest increases in minimum wage don't increase unemployment, please be prepared to discuss just what qualifies as "modest", and why the results shouldn't be extrapolated to mandate a $100/hr minimum wage.)

Right after you explain why Minnesota is kicking Wisconsin's ass in employment, and it's not due to higher minimum wage and similar "safety net" spending.

They're very similar states economically, and started this most recent recession with similar industry and employment situations. They even have similar weather and natural resources, since they're right next door to each other. Yet Wisconsin is among the worst in the nation economically. Minnesota is among the best in the nation economically.

Or is it only you who gets to demand people back up their arguments with data?

Comment: Re:Privacy? (Score 2, Insightful) 776

Wow are you clueless.

About 60-80% of educational achievement is based on the kid's parents and life outside of school.

When mom and dad both work two jobs and the kid goes to school hungry, no amount of "tough love" at school will work.

Mom and dad are too busy trying to keep everyone alive via minimum wage jobs to parent like in your idyllic childhood. You don't have time to make sure the kid is doing their homework properly when the kid goes to school when you leave for work in the morning, and goes to bed when you get home from the second job.

And that presumes both mom and dad are in the picture. Thanks to the glory of "the war on drugs", and moronic policies like mandatory minimum sentences and "three strikes" laws, that isn't always the case. Add in the incentives where the police personally profit from planting evidence and it gets even worse.

Fix those problems? Nah, let's just cut the funds and demand one teacher somehow dispense "tough love" to 120 first graders.

"Our little rich kids" graduate on time just fine. And mommy and daddy make sure they go to the best colleges, telling the kids that they are good, hard workers. And then they show up on Slashdot posting that everyone else is a lazy bum.

Comment: Re:She could have been honest, for a change, at le (Score 1) 553

by jeff4747 (#49617539) Attached to: Former HP CEO Carly Fiorina Announces Bid For White House

I also agree Walker looks like the front runner. He's still developing, but he starts from a very strong position. If he can avoid any major flubs that the media can run with, he has a real shot.

No, he really doesn't.

Add up all the "blue" states where no Republican that can survive the primary can win, and you get 254 electoral votes.

Add up all the "red" states where no Democrat that can survive the primary can win, and you get 149 electoral votes.

The Democratic candidate needs 1 large "toss-up" state, or two smaller "toss-up" states to win 270 votes. For example, VA will do it, and it's likely to go to the Democrat. Obama carried it twice and in the 2014 Republican wave election, the Democrat won the senate seat. (And governor, but the Republican candidate for governor had a pretty nasty scandal)

The Republican candidate needs every "toss-up" state, and needs to turn one "blue" state.

It's going to be extremely difficult for the Republican to win in 2016. Which is a big part of why the Republican primary race is such a clown car.

Pretty pictures and more analysis from right after the 2014 election:

Comment: Re:All aboard the FAIL train (Score 1) 553

by jeff4747 (#49617421) Attached to: Former HP CEO Carly Fiorina Announces Bid For White House

You're getting these states because of demographics.

The 2016 Democratic candidate will start with 257 electoral votes. No Republican that can survive the primary will win CA or NY or similar "blue" states.

The Republican will start with 149. No Democrat that can survive the primary will win TX or AL or similar "red" states.

The Democratic candidate will need to pick up 1 large or 2 small "toss-up" states. So, pick up VA or pick up CO and IA. That will give them 270 or move votes. Both are quite "gettable" - all 3 in that list went for Obama in 2012, and in 2014 the Democratic candidate won the VA senate seat despite it being a Republican wave election.

The Republican candidate will need to pick up every single "toss-up" state, and turn one of the "blue" states to reach 270.

You have a clown car of candidates because the Republicans who can count realize they can't win the White House in 2016.

Here's a post on it with pretty pictures:

Comment: Re: "The Ego" (Score 2) 553

by jeff4747 (#49617295) Attached to: Former HP CEO Carly Fiorina Announces Bid For White House

That's because in the "IRS Scandal", more liberal organizations faced extra scrutiny than conservative organizations. In other words, the exact opposite of the claims made by those pushing the scandal.

That keeps being a problem with getting more coverage of all these Obama scandals. They keep not quite turning out to be scandals.

Comment: Re:Let's see, stranger things have happened (Score 1) 395

by jeff4747 (#49603299) Attached to: Bernie Sanders, Presidential Candidate and H-1B Skeptic

That last sentence was supposed to be a hint to the fact that you don't know what you are talking about when you speak for "the liberals".

What you hear on Fox and talk radio is not what "the liberals" actually believe or want. It's a caricature that they can more easily attack.

Air is water with holes in it.