Comment Re: Useful If Verified (Score 3, Informative) 233
Good and general thoughts.
I've come to mine from the position of having at least two prior careers ended by the march of technology. Not bitter about 'em, but they were kind of a scramble (for the first) and frustrating (for the second).
I used to make beautiful and challenging special effects slide work on what has been called variously a "Rostrum Camera", an "Animation Stand" or an "Optical Printer". I'd have held my skills up to anyone else's in my large metro at the time. Then came "Genigraphics" - GE's computer-generated slides. They looked frankly, like crap. Those in my profession thought "OK, but they'll never be so good they'll displace us". But they turned out to be "good enough" for most business people, much faster than what we were doing. And eventually I saw the initial images coming out of Photoshop and realized I had to scramble for a new career.
That career was rich computer-based multimedia (on CD-ROMs in the marketplace, but not exclusively). I took my creative skills, retooled with software for making images and 3D animations and multimedia programming. I worked happily enough in that for maybe another decade before the Web really started pushing on me. "OK, but the web will never be so good it displaces rich multimedia". But in fact, it was obviously good enough for everyone else. And it eventually became media-rich enough that the distinction just doesn't even apply.
In both examples: Speed in the first, and Connectedness in the second, the advantage I didn't completely understand was what undermined my craft as a career. I was just as good on day N as day N+1. But I came to understand that it's vanity to think I couldn't be replaced by something "lesser", even if it had an advantage I didn't.
"Oh sure, but they won't have..." - yes, it may take a while, but eventually, they will.
Just gotten used to my cheese moving (and happily no longer in the workforce during what's bound to be a turbulent t ime).
Worry for my kids, though.