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Comment Re: Mixed feelings (Score 1) 81

Fair-ish point. But a counter argument might be that in our developing age of ubiquitous AI faker, the pictures themselves will lose their automatically-assigned integrity. The phrase "pictures or it didn't happen" wont' make sense anymore since anyone with $2 can 'photoshop' themselves doing anything anywhere.

Perhaps a verifiable, digital chain of custody will be more relevant in the future.

Comment Re:Mixed feelings (Score 1) 81

It seems there was a missed opportunity to define regulations around surveillance cameras utilized by the government. The Feds or others (EFF I'm looking at you) could describe measures that have to be in place in such devices.

Some ideas to spit-ball might include
-The images are only captured to the device and are immediately, hard-deleted once the license plate number is resolved.
-Things like vehicle color and possibly any other printed words like model, bumper stickers, brand icons can likewise be stored but only in text format
-Records automatically deleted after XX days
-E2E encryption of the data from device to the mothership
-Absolutely no resale of the data

Might hurt the Flock business model but I do think there is a place where privacy rights are respected and law enforcement functions are available too.

FWIW in my city the cameras have been very successful in apprehending all sort of criminals. I think it would be a hard sell to the residents to get rid of them.

Comment Re:Why does SpaceX need AI? (Score 1) 120

To add to parent post

SpaceX is valuing itself at $28.5 trillion,

      $370 billion of that comes from launches.
            $1.6 trillion comes from Starlink
        $26.5 trillion (~90%) they are attributing to their share of the AI market
SpaceX brought in ~$20 billion in revenue in 2025, but it spent $13 billion on AI data centers, models, GPU's etc. Q1 of this year AI spend

So its an AI company that might also launch spaceships. Or more specifically launching spaceborne data centers. Maybe the case to be made is that ground based data centers are likely to hit a limit in the availability of power infrastructure in the next 1-2 years. i.e. not enough powerplants, nor transformers, nor transmission lines. SpaceX steps in with some pretty expensive orbiting compute and sells that to Anthropic, OpenAI, Microsoft.

However, I just don't know that SpaceX will be able to launch enough GPU's to make that dollar math work out. And there is the "how does this work in the vacuum of space" part. Reliability, etc. More likely is that there will be
-improvements in the software & hardware to increase efficiency.
-Not every use-case requires AGI, smaller on prem AI's with limited functionality will flourish.
-Firms like Microsoft, Apple, Google, will reduce the AI feature set to only worthwhile areas in their applications, reducing spend
-Data centers will be built overseas in low cost of energy areas

and so forth. it may be the case the AI market cools dramatically before SpaceX can capitalize on it.
Also, you'll have other, better positioned AI companies like Anthropic going public soon to take some wind out of the SpaceX AI investment sails. Open AI has missed the boat, but their IPO will still happen and more billions of investments
Also, also SpaceX will be too big to be meme-y like Tesla was. Musk gets worse the older he gets too.

For those reasons I'm out.

  Yes, I've missed out on TSLA 115% rise over five years, but boy I have been able to sleep fine those years with my risk adjusted, but still well performing boring investments

Comment Summary of the proposed ordinance (Score 5, Informative) 244

Class 1 e-bikes: Pedal-assist up to 20 mph. (Bill 1557 reduces to 16 mph)
Class 2 e-bikes: Throttle-assisted up to 20 mph. (Bill 1557 reduces to 16 mph; Bill 1942 requires license plate
Class 3 e-bikes: Pedal-assist up to 28 mph; riders must be 16 years or older and wear helmets; (Bill 1942 requires license plate)

In order to be classified as an eBike (aka bicycle) the peak motor power cannot exceed 750 watts, except for "cargo bikes".

I use a regular bike, and hope to do so for a long time to come. But I do see older folks use eBikes, and of course the ubiquitous food delivery guys and young whipper-snappers. I am sure at some point I will also want to transition to the eBike.

The proposed laws mostly seem common sense to me, except for the requirement for a license plate on Class 2 eBikes. That seems pointless and excessive...maybe just a way to fund the program with extra $$. If bicycles are to share the same infrastructure and rules, they should be going the same speed.

As others have pointed out you can certainly get more powerful , two wheeled, electric vehicles. Just don't call them 'bikes'. They are mopeds or motorcycles or scooters. Already have rules for those, and they belong exclusively on the roadways, following normal auto regulations

Comment Their town, their choice (Score 1) 110

The "Nuclear Weapons Data Center" part is a bit gratuitous. But overall the voters of each town/county get to decide what they want built/not built. If they feel "juice is not worth the squeeze" on this deal, then it's fine. Not enough jobs, too much water usage, too much traffic not enough tax revenue, etc then Lawrence Livermore will have to improve their offer or find somewhere else. Does Ypsilanti get tagged as a bunch of YIMBY's now? Or is it that you can only be name-called a NIBMY for certain things Weapons of mass destruction data center bad, 20 story apartment building good...natural gas power plant bad, solar field good...and so on.

No jurisdiction should be obligated to build stuff they don't want. Use your local government reps to decide, if they are way off base with what the electorate wants get signatures and bring it to a ballot. The rest of the peanut gallery outside of your town can pound sand.

Comment Re:seems silly to not include solar (Score 1) 108

Among the many comparisons of the AI boom/data center build out, one that comes to my mind is the FOMO hiring of Covid by the tech companies. Facebook starts throwing money at devs and hiring like crazy so Google feels threatened and follows suit. Then Microsoft, Square, Salesfore, etc.

Now in past few couple they find out they really don't need that headcount and whammo (and blaming AI instead of their own, human, executive miscalculation)

At best the executives leading these firms are like 51% accurate on their macro-economic and future business need estimations. So no big surprise they aren't going to do a good job planning for AI/datacenter needs, nor details like source of power and water.

Just follow what the other person is doing and you should keep your VP job for awhile longer.

Comment Re:They need to shake things up first (Score 1) 83

This ^^^^

And we've had years to watch Ukraine War playout. If the current administration didn't have such a stick up their #%!$ about Ukraine and Zelensky such a deal would have been well underway.

Instead we have Russia making waaay more oil blood money due to increase oil prices due to economically unbalanced fight of expensive US weapons against Iran woodframed drones

Also seems like Iran can shut down the strait and they don't even need or have an aircraft carrier battlegroup. Asynchronous indeed.

Comment Re:Healthcare? No. Welfare? No. Social Services? N (Score 1) 83

This. Anduril is already a day late and about $10 billion short. Go to Ukraine, make a deal to trade some of the expensive US-weapons that they need for some air defense scenarios, and get a zillion anti-drone weapons in return. Battlefield tested. Complete no-brainer unless the goal is to funnel billions to various military industrial complex firms....old money ones and new money ones.

Also where does the other $1.5 trillion in defense spending going? More littoral combat ships? More nukes? Let's join the 21st century.

Comment Re:"Have you said thank you once?" (Score 1) 364

This is the sorta thought that makes me nervous. Inasmuch is I am afraid that maybe people in the Administration have the same wrong-headed idea. There are multiple, knowledgeable sources, that point out that the US is an order of magnitude away from having the facilities to be able to ship crude (let alone refined products) in any meaningful way to replace that coming out of the Persian Gulf. Keep in mind even Saudi Arabia, with a coast along the Red Sea, doesn't have terminals nor pipelines on the Red Sea with enough capacity to do much.

I wonder if the admin's 3D chess players thought that taking Venezuela would somehow be able to make up for this Mideast war fiasco...even though Venezuela can only ship 1 million barrels daily.

The US does have substantial domestic oil infrastructure...in theory if things stay bad I could see the president trying some war powers type s--t and declaring all US oil must stay in the US at some set price. Price controls...by a Republican president. I saw the Chevron CEO dance around that question in a news story, and I'd be curious how Republicans especially those in oil states, TX, NM, LA, OK, AL, WY, etc would feel about price controls...but so far the prez has been able to keep those folks licking his boots.

Comment Re:party like it's 1999! (Score 1) 364

Not willing to bet my $ on it, but there does seem to be a pattern where the administration will spout BS on tweets, FoxNews, etc Mon-Thurs saying how everything is getter better, will be all resolved, then on Fri-Sun they do the crazy s--t like attack an oil tanker outside of market hours. The next week they rinse and repeat. And yeah, i don't understand this stock market at all, except that maybe traditional stock trading has migrated to the BTC scenario where there are small number of firms but with large equity holdings who simply cannot sell or trade out, so a sort of price floor is established. I dunno...seems like oil shock will be with us the rest of this year and that can only drag all other sectors down. AI is ...whatever that is...but not super investible. I'm a space nutter but would stay far far away from SpaceX IPO. I guess I stick with oil stock and Wal-Mart and hope for the best.

Comment Re:Live theater is a much better value (Score 1) 152

100% This. I (re)discovered local theater years ago and would highly recommend it. The quality of the product is typically really fantastic. Even the seemingly smaller, theater productions leave me wondering why the leads aren't on Broadway or Hollywood already. As the OP noted, this is a place for adults, so the viewing atmosphere is 100x better than going to the Cineplex. There aren't that many productions every year, sadly a lot of companies permanently closed after pandemic.

I'm not much into Broadway musicals, nor dance, nor opera, but I will add that adding one of these to the calendar once-ish each year has also been pretty positive. Indeed almost any live performance (stand-up comedy, plays, musicals, dance, opera, symphony, live music, esp cover bands, ...even magic ) has been a substantial value IMHO. Mix and match with different friends, makes for great date night(s).

** did watch Hail Mary in theater. For me going to the theater hasn't been completely written off, but maybe only going 2-3 times per year max depending on what is showing. And definitely avoiding the weekend/teenager/cineplex combination...that is a nightmare to sit through.

Comment Third world fraud is weak (Score 2, Interesting) 47

Come to the USA where health insurance fraud has been institutionalized to the tune of hundreds of billons of dollars annually. United Health Corp anyone?

An ambulance trip to an ER in the US can easily cost you the same amount as a heli from Everest base campâ¦thats the fraud.

btw i got my finger stitched up in Lukla at the Swiss clinic couple years back for $50â¦donated much more than that but still stands as the best, least expensive experience in healthcare I've ever hadâ¦in Luklaâ¦Nepal

Comment Where is DOGE now? (Score 4, Insightful) 73

Subject is the question. Where is DOGE on the big stuff? The Pentagon wastes more every month in fraud, waster, and abuse than USAID spends annually. But somehow charity gets the axe and Ratheon keeps getting multi-billion dollar contracts, no strings attached. Can anyone put aside the woke distraction and look at the serious problems?!?

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