Comment Re:That's right (Score 1) 42
You're wrong about potatoes. They *are* high in starch, but they aren't "nearly all" starch, like corn or wheat.
You're wrong about potatoes. They *are* high in starch, but they aren't "nearly all" starch, like corn or wheat.
Perhaps someone has noticed this with you before, but your second paragraph argument could have been lifted straight from any confederate newspaper in the 1850's.
Thank you for clarifying that for me.
Note to self: Immigrants are the new slaves that no one can live without.
Until the tools get better, yes. Slavery would likely have ended by now even without the Civil War because of the cotton picker. The same thing is happening to the remaining agricultural jobs now, thanks to AI.
Strawberry picking robots are already good enough to do the job, just with a ridiculously high up-front cost (like $300k each, which is probably well over a hundred years worth of labor costs, and possibly several hundred). The next generation are going to be more like $12k, which is more like 20 years of labor costs, assuming $4 per hour sub-minimum wage, 40 hours a week, and 4 weeks of picking in a year, and more like 5 years at U.S. minimum wage.
But that's not the whole story. The latest generation are also faster than people, and can work 24x7, so you can use less than a third as many. So now you're at more like a year or two for break-even.
Heck, it wouldn't surprise me if all the screaming from California about lack of farm labor isn't just a cover story, all while quietly letting the Trump administration reduce the immigrant farm labor because they won't be needed in the future. It makes the left look good to their base by paying lip service to defending them while making the right look good to their base by terrorizing them and scaring them out of the country. And it wouldn't surprise me if some of the farm tech companies building these picking machines aren't actively lobbying for it. I mean, maybe that's happening a few years too soon, but we're not talking about decades before that labor no longer provides any real benefit; we're getting very close to that point.
Yes, it's got a long way to go. Unfortunately, at least SOME of the changes are (currently) on an exponential growth curve, and people have very poor ability to project those. (And also at some point "limiting factors" will manifest, which aren't significant during the early part of the rise.)
There are quite plausible scenarios where we are still in the early part of the exponential growth curve. Nobody can prove whether this speculation is true or false, but we should be prepared in case it is true.
I assume the GPP was thinking along of the lines of cutting "full time" to 36 hours a week, and moving to six hour work days.
See that's the opposite of what we actually need to do. Realistically, the average person gets maybe five or six usable hours in a day, so right now, work gets five of those blocks and we get two. With that scheme, work gets six of those blocks and we get one.
A better plan is four five-hour work days. One extra usable day for ourselves, plus working hours tailored to knowledge workers' actual ability to focus rather than longer hours in which productivity rapidly goes towards zero or even negative.
Spend half as much time working, and everyone will be healthier. More daylight hours to be outside and get exercise. More time to spend with friends and family and de-stress. And so on.
That is the secret sauce to making a touchscreen on a laptop anywhere worth a damn - the 180 degree hinge for the display.
Touchscreens without that don't get used because it's ergonomically terrible. The pen / stylus is an added optional bonus.
Honestly, I'd rather Apple:
But yeah, a hinge that can let you A. open it flat and B. spin the display around and close the laptop so that it looks and acts like a thick tablet would also work.
But the biggest thing I'd like is for Apple to get Back-to-my-Mac working. I do not want to store my data in the Cloud, but I do want access to it — terabytes of it — far more than I could ever realistically hope to store in iCloud. (Translation: No, I will not pay you $1200 per year for Cloud storage, and even that wouldn't really be enough. Yikes.)
Why should they (unless one of the mapping services in question have maps that are horribly wrong), I ean you put an x on a map in the ao, that cgets translated into an lat,long coordinate of sufficient perquisition that gets transferred to whomever does the driving, Broblem should be solvedas geography is geography no matter what mapping service
What you're missing is that some of the mapping services have maps that are horribly wrong, and also that people store coordinates badly.
Case in point, I live in a mobile home park that's almost big enough to be its own zip code. If your entry system lets me put in the space number *and* uses Google Maps as the back end, you can find my home that way. But as far as I know, no other mapping company has the per-unit data that would be required to find my house by its house number. That's simply a level of data gathering that nobody else even attempts as far as I can tell. Apple Maps has zero site number data for my neighborhood or any other nearby neighborhood, and they're the next-most-capable competitor in that area.
So if you are using some other service, you'll have to find it by the house number and the street name. Unfortunately, the house numbers are not in order. They added more sites at some point, and did not renumber the old sites, so there are low numbers that jump to higher numbers and then jump back down to lower numbers. So if I have to give a site number plus the street name (e.g. Apple Maps), you might be within a couple of blocks.
But to make matters worse, the road is a private road, which means that it isn't in the list of county-maintained streets. So if your database doesn't have those streets at all, it will end up substituting the nearest roads with the same name, which are in Sacramento, or it will assume that it is a misspelling of some other street in a nearby town. So you could end up 10 miles off or 120 miles off.
So you use Google's API to do geocoding to verify that you can deliver there. Then instead of sending the coordinates, you foolishly hand off the street address to the delivery service that uses some other service, and smoke starts coming out of your machinery.
Or you round the coordinates too much like Uber used to do, and all of the streets are off by a hundred feet, putting my pickup point supposedly on a different street.
You get the idea.
That kind of thing is something that centrally controlled economies are prone to. It's the mirror image is the problems experienced during the "Great Leap Forward". Market driven economies have different problems (monopolies, concentration of power in the hands of the greedy, etc.) . I'm not really sure which is inherently more deleterious. Perhaps it depends on details of implementation.
It's almost certainly "too late", but I wouldn't say that it's "too little", as I don't think it's even the right move. The announced goal, however (move manufacturing back to the US) is correct. OTOH, sabotaging world trade is a really bad move.
Yes, but the projections I've seen give them several years before their chips catch up (to TSMC). So the question is "Is this a worthwhile move *this* year?". Clearly they should consider the US an unreliable supplier, however.
I would bet they are lying They will never install fiber in my area
Even if it even exists, I would expect the $20 rate will be deemed non-viable within a few months of implementation. Everyone knows government contracts have zero teeth for enforcement against corporate entities.
Eventually, yes, but you forgot a bunch of steps:
Then, after about three years, they show the government that nobody wanted $20 Internet service, and ask permission to stop providing it. And the CPUC, being an industry lapdog, quickly agrees to whatever Verizon asks for. And *then* they stop providing it.
I always have trouble with rideshare pickups from my apartment. I can plant an X where I want to be picked up but then this gets translated to an address on a neighbouring street that is not in my complex. I always have to send a clarifying message to the driver. This is challenging because I can't send it until the driver is assigned, which is when I'm rushing around trying to be ready in time. It would seem that Waymo might skip the step of converting to a human readable address. That might help. But if, it doesn't, texting the robot driving the car doesn't seem to be an option. Has anyone here tried to get a Waymo pickup from a similar tricky location?
It probably helps to use a ridesharing platform that doesn't use multiple map providers. If all your map data is from one source, you don't have these problems. It's when you start to mix multiple map providers that things go horribly and irreparably wrong, because the workarounds for one platform don't work on a different platform. Given that we're talking about Waymo, I assume Google Maps is used for everything, so I wouldn't expect those issues to occur. But no way to know without trying it at your specific location.
Unfortunately, the data isn't consistent. That's why they need to make corrections. The question is "Do the corrections make it more nearly accurate?", and that's really hard to demonstrate. When there's too much noise in the signal, it's really difficult to filter it out without losing the signal.
"Just invest in rail."
No, it's not that easy. Trains are slow to get started, they need a significant amount of time to stop. Most trains weigh way more than a truck with full load. But trains need to be managed carefully. Enough distance between the trains, a quality management system for switches and signals, good trains, good personnel.
Before that, you need to design your network such that it's attractive enough for people to use it. With public transit this generally means: put stations at places where people want to get on or get off or want to transfer to other modes of public transport (such as buses, subways, trams) which can bring people closer to their final destination.
And note that this will change over time, but your rails can't change over time. This is the peril of rail for intracity transit.
Rails make a lot of sense in ultra-dense areas (think Manhattan, *maybe* downtown SF, but not any of the rest of the Bay Area, etc.), because the roads can't handle even a fraction of the passenger volume.
Rails also make sense for long-distance travel. If you're traveling for several hours, you probably don't want to drive that, so it is worth the inconvenience of not having a car at the other end. Also, if the trains are fast enough for their average speed to exceed the average speed of a car, then after two or three hours, you've probably broken even with the extra travel time required to get to and from those fixed endpoints.
But for the most part, rail *doesn't* make a lot of sense, because they're too much slower than air travel for long distances, and they're too much slower than cars for short distances. If you really want rail to work, we need 250 MPH (minimum) bullet trains from city to city so that they are competitive with airplanes. And provide ample parking at the termini.
All of these modes of public transport need to be efficient, arrive at least twice (preferably more) per hour throughout the day, be safe and clean.
Twice per hour makes a transit system borderline useless unless you are traveling for multiple hours. Your average latency is half of that, so that means on average you will waste 15 minutes waiting for every train. That means to break even, even before factoring in the extra time to get to/from the station, you need to save a whopping 15 minutes by using the train. And if you have even one connection, that makes your median latency thirty minutes. When you're wasting half an hour just waiting for the train to arrive, you're not only uncompetitive with driving; you're starting to be uncompetitive with bicycling.
Successful transit systems run avery 3 to 5 minutes during rush hour, and no more than about once every ten minutes late at night or on weekends. If you can't keep trains running at that frequency, you aren't dense enough to need a transit system, and you probably will regret putting one in. You'll end up repeatedly reducing the frequency to keep the trains at high enough occupancy to be worth doing, and then you'll be confused when ridership drops because nobody wants to wait that long for a train, and eventually you'll end up with a massively subsidized waste of taxpayer dollars like VTA.
I've really come around to this idea that we should simply stop any mergers or acquisitions by businesses, full stop. I don't think any major merger in my lifetime has ended actually postitively to where we can all say "wow, sure glad that happened!". Have we ever seen the lower prices promised?
Want to make a business then you make your business to be a self sustaining entity and not just have the end goal of being purchased.
License your tech if you want to join forces. Gone bankrupt and another company wants your assets? They can buy it then but that's it.
Yup. We're well past the point where the resulting economies of scale benefit the consumer. In late-stage capitalism, economies of scale benefit the corporation and only the corporation.
"Rail produces one-fifth the emissions of cars per passenger kilometer..."
Sure, for all cars. But how does it compare to just buses?
I think the inefficiency may lie not the mode of transport but in our unwillingness to all pile into the same conveyance.
Full or at typical capacity? Lots of bus routes around here average a low single-digit number of passengers for much of the route. Even single-passenger cars compare favorably to that. Assuming a diesel bus at an average of 3 MPG, you need a minimum of 15 passengers on average to break even with driving single-passenger hybrids. And that's not factoring in how much dirtier a gallon of diesel fuel is compared with a gallon of gasoline.
The value of a program is proportional to the weight of its output.