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Comment Re: Go Google Employees! (Score 1) 58

Remember Deepmind was poaching elite talent left and right for a decade. It can't very well just plod along without these people. They're probably the least commodified of any of us.

I'm sure Google has been careful about that for just as long, doing their best to make them identify with management/owners rather than each other as workers. Not least with stock options.

I also suspect the union is a poor fit for these workers - "communication workers" are often call center employees IME, and all honor to them, but their concerns are almost certainly not the concerns of superstar googlers who just don't want to build the torment nexus.

Comment Re: And the Death Spiral (Score 1) 348

If you think of taxes as "confiscation", then it seems to me it's taxes you object to.

You'll always have the choice to pay tax on the market valuation of your shares.

It's only if you think that valuation is inflated, you can choose to turn over the shares instead.

Hell, why not throw in a third option? Sell tax% of them on the open market yourself, and your tax is what you made from that.

Maybe come up with a fourth option too? Feel free. Maybe something to do with options? I'll be flexible, and allay your concerns about "unrealized gains" in whatever way you think is needed - except not taxing them. Wealth needs to be taxed, otherwise no social institution (including constitutions) can be trusted to endure.

Comment Re: And the Death Spiral (Score 1) 348

> unrealized gains

If the uncertain value of unrealized gains bother you, I'm more than happy to let people pay in natura. Instead of 1% of the value of your Tesla stock, I'd give you the option to just hand over 1% of your Tesla stock. Instead of 1% of the value of your mansion, you may at your discretion give a lien of 1% of the price if and when it's sold. All the "concerns" about gains being unrealized are addressed, and we get some good pricing information as a bonus.

Comment Smugness all over (Score 1) 176

During the cold war there was MAD and it was taken seriously.
Now the Russians still take it seriously but our side has become extremely smug. "we survived that long, we clearly know what we are doing" , "the russians are bluffing, we can keep pushing and they'll never dare go nuclear" "those russian nukes are in such a bad state they won't even launch", I've heard every stupid argument.
Meanwhile we have bombed Valdai while Putin was there, we bombed early warning radars and nuclear bombers, and we keep going longer distance with our drones.
There was always the fear that MAD wouldn't work against real crazies. Well, the real crazies are us.
Certainly not the Iranians, they're completely at the other end of the spectrum. Capability ok but actually building nukes, woah, won't go there.

Comment Re:That is not how the math works! (Score 1) 176

Yes. But not as precise as the numbers suggest. It's more like Drake's equation: you don't really know but you fill in different numbers that look reasonable and each time you end up with the same conclusion. In this case, it becomes hard to see how human civilization makes it into the 22nd century.

Comment Re: Might make sense (Score 1) 70

Yes. The thing that kills people is diseases. Even in the modern era with colonialism and industrialized genocide, those are a drop in the ocean compared to diseases. Our ancestors didn't survive because they were smart and strong, they survived because they got less sick. That getting less sick allowed them to be smarter and stronger than people who got more sick, was just a bonus.

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