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Comment: Re:In before (Score 1) 490

by Thugthrasher (#44865417) Attached to: Dialing Back the Alarm On Climate Change
You know that models don't return 1 temperature, right? Looking at a chart like that tells you nothing about how accurate a model is. Models depend on a lot of inputs and, depending on what the inputs are, usually return a range for what they are forecasting. Usually, when talking about a model, there are multiple variations of inputs put in when trying to predict the future (as it's hard to know exactly what will happen). The proper way to validate a model is to take the original model, put in the actual data for the inputs and see if the predicted output matches the actual output. Just looking at a previously published paper tells you nothing unless you know that they correctly predicted the inputs.

THIS is how you test how accurate models actually are. The fact that you think that particular graph means all climate models are terrible (and the fact that you think it's a big deal that they tune models to fit past data, as that is the CORE of modeling in general) tells me all I need to know about how much you know about forecasting models. Which is obviously not much. (Note: my knowledge isn't about the specifics of climate change models, so I don't know exactly how much weight they put on various factors; my knowledge is about forecasting models in general and my specialty was population modeling).

Comment: Re:In before (Score 1) 490

by Thugthrasher (#44863939) Attached to: Dialing Back the Alarm On Climate Change

There's a hypothesis, baked into models, which seems to be largely inaccurate if you compare the output of those models to actual reality.

You do realize that that is false, right? Last year, they did a comparison between what the 1990 IPCC models predicted and the actual change up to 2010. If you used actual emissions data and included the other actual climate-forcing data (volcanic eruptions, etc.), the model was very accurate in it's predictions at the 20 year mark. It's hard to judge the models since then, as there has not been as much time, but the models up to that point proved accurate. One can only assume that as our knowledge of climate has increased, our models are more accurate now.

Comment: Re:and how do you resolve the paradox (Score 1) 772

by Thugthrasher (#44508493) Attached to: Should the Next 'Doctor Who' Be a Woman? your limited human understanding. Seriously, bearing in mind that there are non-fictional species on Earth that can effectively change their reproductive systems within their own lifetimes, that's hardly the most imaginative, alien concept ever to pass through the canon of the Doctor.

Oh, I know this. That's why I accept it now that it's canon. It is just my opinion that it's a needless complication that doesn't provide much benefit. I'm not saying they are necessarily wrong for doing it or anything. I also don't think it necessarily brings down the quality of the show (unless they were to one day hire a terrible actress as the Doctor, but that could just as easily happen with males) It is just something I don't particularly like. Basically, I guess the best way to explain my feelings for it are that if I were in charge of the show, I would have considered the idea and rejected it. Doesn't make me like the show any less, really. It's a fine line, but I overanalyze things, anyway.

Comment: Re:and how do you resolve the paradox (Score 2) 772

by Thugthrasher (#44508029) Attached to: Should the Next 'Doctor Who' Be a Woman?
One of the few things Neil Gaiman has done that I don't like (it was his script, if I remember correctly, though I don't know if it was his idea to have that in there).

Don't get me wrong, now that it's there, I would accept a female Doctor, but up to that point there had been no indication that time lords ever changed sexes. With sex being a changeable characteristic, labels like "mother" and "father" get confusing and they've previously been used. What do you call a time lord who fathered you while he was male, but is now female? What if your birth mother is still female? Are they both mother? Are they both father? It just seems like it doesn't add all that much to the show except a level of confusion (it's not like there is a shortage of actors to play the part).

Of course, I realize this is all my opinion and, like I said, I would accept a female actor there, now that it has been established as canon. I just think it was a silly idea to establish it as canon.

+ - Oracle to stop developing Sun virtualization technologies->

Submitted by hypnosec
hypnosec (2231454) writes "Oracle will soon be announcing its decision to stop development of Sun virtualization technologies including Sun Ray Software and Hardware, Oracle Virtual Desktop Client, and Virtual Desktop Infrastructure (VDI) product lines. In an update to its support policies [Oracle support login required] for virtualization software and hardware, the database company has revealed that this decision is a result of its efforts to "tightly align Oracle’s future desktop virtualization portfolio investments with Oracle Corporation’s overall core business strategy.""
Link to Original Source

Comment: Re:Funny thing about polygamy (Score 3, Informative) 1448

Polyandry is still polygamy.

Polygamy - more than two partners, no matter the sexes
Polygyny - 1 man, multiple women
Polyandry - 1 woman, multiple men
I have no idea if there is a term for multiple men and multiple women that is more specific than polygamy.

+ - Comcast to expand public WiFi using home internet connections->

Submitted by Bob the Super Hamste
Bob the Super Hamste (1152367) writes "The St. Paul Pioneer press is reporting that Comcast is planning on expanding its network of public WiFi hot spots in the Twin Cities area by using home internet connections and user's WiFi routers. Customers will be upgraded to new wireless routers that will have 2 wireless networks, one for the home users and one for the general public. Subscribers to Comcast's Xfinity service and customers that participate in the public WiFi program will be allowed free access to the public WiFi offered by this service. Non Comcast customers get 2 free sessions a month each lasting 1 hour with additional sessions costing money. The article mentions that a similar service already exists and is provided by the Spain-based company Fon."
Link to Original Source

Solar Impulse Airplane To Launch First Sun-Powered Flight Across America 89

Posted by samzenpus
from the guided-by-the-light dept.
First time accepted submitter markboyer writes "The Solar Impulse just landed at Moffett Field in Mountain View, California to announce a journey that will take it from San Francisco to New York without using a single drop of fuel. The 'Across America' tour will kick off this May when founders Bertrand Piccard and André Borschberg take off from San Francisco. From there the plane will visit four cities across the states before landing in New York."

Comment: Re:Do you use the start menu often? (Score 1) 570

by Thugthrasher (#42831733) Attached to: Ask Slashdot: Buying a Laptop That Doesn't Have Windows 8
I use a ton of applications. I use most of them side-by-side. Amazingly enough, I do it quite often with Windows 8. I used the Desktop, rather than the Start Screen. I don't go into the start screen. I even keep the most common applications that I use on the desktop of my right screen, so it doesn't even take me an extra click when I start up. For me, using Windows 8 is nearly identical to using Windows 7, with the main differences being that I have a taskbar on both my monitors and when I hit the Windows Key and start typing the name of an application I want to use (if it isn't on my taskbar), I have to look in the top left of the screen instead of the bottom left..

Comment: Re:Always on = !on (Score 1, Informative) 592

by Thugthrasher (#42820159) Attached to: Xbox 720 Could Require Always-On Connection, Lock Out Used Games
THAT'S a valid reason not to buy 720. What's NOT a valid reason is "My friend loaned me his console and COD game, so I bought a 360. That can't happen with the 720." Because that CAN happen with the 720. Loaning games to friends with another X-Box? Not happening. Loaning X-Box + games to friends who don't have one? Still can happen.

The use of money is all the advantage there is to having money. -- B. Franklin