Comment Only 8 years and 12%? (Score 1) 52
Logically only 60 or so years remain before AI can take over 100% of jobs. Assuming that we're all replaceable cogs where every job and every worker are equivalent.
The other factor, a constant rate of growth in AI's capabilities, is probably less of a hand-wave than you might think because we're going to be constrained on the sizes of the models, computational power of the servers, and of course electricity to run it all. We'll probably see a very brief exponential growth of AI then a slow as physical constraints kick in, we're already see exponential money burned on the problem with a likely linear pay off. Jensen's "The more you buy, the more you save." will probably work out as "The more you buy, your more you spent." for most AI bets.