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Comment Re:Brittle (Score 2) 311

Here in Finland, the best private investment in terms of ROI are nuclear reactors at Loviisa, followed by nuclear reactors at Olkiluoto

Source? I was under the impression Olkiluoto #3 was a colossal failure and 300% over budget. Oh yes, from wikipedia,

"Unit 3, an EPR reactor, is still under construction, but various problems with workmanship and supervision have created costly delays which have been the subject of an inquiry by the Finnish nuclear regulator Säteilyturvakeskus (STUK).[1] In December 2012, Areva estimated that the full cost of building the reactor will be about €8.5 billion, or almost three times the delivery price of €3 billion.[2][3] A license for a fourth reactor to be built at the site was granted by the Finnish parliament in July 2010,[4][5][6] but discontinued by the government in September 2014. TVO has the option to reapply for the license in the future.[7]"

Are you claiming at 300% over budget it has the among the best ROI? I mean even in Finland you could build out solar energy with a better ROI than a $10/WAC nuclear plant (or gas, oil, wood, steam, wind, biomass) nothing costs this much except a nuclear boondoogle.

Comment Re:Gullible people (Score 2) 131

for what its worth, I think you are really stretching the limit of "success". Solar City, Tesla, and SpaceX are not successful by traditional metrics. They don't make money. All success so far is self-perpetuating hype, which in fact may dramatically assist long term success, but has not yet. These companies are all valued on future promises based on quite uncertain growth projections, which may or may not pan out. I'm not really familiar with SpaceX because its private, but the only money made on Tesla and Solar City is by speculators who have managed to "sell" promises to other spectators. Investments in these companies haven't paid off by generating income. I think this would be the basic formula to decide success. Not fantastic growth that could torpedo at any moment and leave a 20b hole in speculator pockets.

Solar city's anticipated success is based on a business plan they are already transitioning away from, lofty valuations of future revenue will not materialize as they are forced to abandon their cash cow, principally due to well-financed competitors who are willing to pass on more of the economic benefits of solar energy to their customers. The amazing thing, is that despite approximately 6 months of this knowledge, most analysts have not substantially reduced targets based on solar city's own information. That should tell you something about the importance of "hype" or "future promises" in determining the "success" of a company.

Comment Re:Don't forget the risk (Score 1) 480

I can avoid driving during hours populated by drunks. I can remain on city streets with high visibility, medians, and concrete planters. I can avoid all personal distraction and make myself aware of other cars, drivers, and their current preoccupation. I can dramatically reduce my probability of a lethal encounter.

Comment Re:So which kind of solar is it? (Score 5, Informative) 191

This isn't concentrated solar power (CSP) it is CdTe "thin film" flat panel photvoltaics. They do have distinguishing names, just don't count on Reuters to get it right. AFAIK, there is no CSP station that incinerates all the birds that fly by. There are some CSP plants that can burn birds that fly too close to the focal point on the central tower...

Comment Re:Where did the real nerds go? (Score 1) 167

I've never really had any idea what I'm doing and I haven't failed yet. I don't even recall reading about bricked devices while involved, just the warnings. Warnings that apparently make many very fearful. I don't know how these concerns are any different than the myriad of ways you could destroy a self built PC, modding an x box, recompiling a linux kernel, etc. Suddenly, straight forward steps on xda and everyone is afraid of bricking a device. An easy way (and smart for other reasons) to mitigate that risk is to simply use older hardware. Due to the absurd frequency of turnover in the mobile space, old hardware is effectively free and disturbingly capable.

My first two phones were t mobile windows mobile 5.1 thing and a motorola cliq2. They were not hugely successful models, but they both had smallish dev communities doing the job. My recent phone, sprint my touch 4g, is essentially a galaxy s2, but with some differences that require its own treatment, thus the community is also small. Nonetheless, there have been many, many options for all these devices. (Not to mention the nexus and galaxy devices I've worked on)

In summary, I think you're overstating the challenges. Just do it.

Comment Re:Like increasingly often, the real question begs (Score 3, Insightful) 153

facebook probably can't generate sufficient profits off an activity like this. since their IPO they have essentially been squandering equity in all directions, including this one, to chase potential revenue. their growth targets are probably impossible (by a factor of 10 or more) without a massive change in revenue model. And so they chase whats app, flying drones, and spy tech. Its an impossible, hilarious, and economically inefficient circus, that is now playing out for the second time in 20 years, with mostly the same people involved. And these are the prized achievements of a system for which most here even express ideological preference.

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