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Comment Re:Oh dear - money grows on trees... (Score 1) 517

I see no evidence that you are one of the people who assures that electricity comes out of the socket. After all, when I make any vaguely technical statement to support my point you ignore it as if I offered you the plague.

The people griping to legislators aren't either. They're more the making sure that bonuses and dividends come out of the customers type.

And of course, my payment for their services should not increase. They are making due with the current one, surely they'll do with it in the future.

You're not even listening. I was quite clear that there is justification to split the billing for grid services from billing for power. The former can probably be similar to the 95th percentile billing for network traffic. The average non-solar customer should see no difference.

Comment Re:Oh dear - money grows on trees... (Score 1) 517

No, I'm resuming that if they can deal with things that can only be predicted on a rough statistical basis like power poles being knocked down, they can deal with things that can be predicted reasonably well in the short term like the shadow path of a cloud going overhead.

It is clear that you have made your mind up that solar is evil and no force on heaven or earth can ever change your mind, including the distinct lack of burning transformers in rich neighborhoods. I might as well go to the nearest serpent handling poison drinking church and share the evidence for evolution with them.

Comment Re:Oh dear - money grows on trees... (Score 1) 517

So do they use a crystal snowball or does the Doctor work for them? I can just see it now. "Johnson! It's about time for that truck on I-15 to jacknife into power pylon 127, we're expecting to lose phase A. B and C will short together for 5 seconds, then go to ground. 30 seconds on my mark!.......

If, on the other hand, you just mean they are prepared to deal with it, then there's your answer! Just be prepared to deal with it when the clouds drift lazily by and cause an actually predictable change in PV output across the area.

Comment Re:Oh dear - money grows on trees... (Score 1) 517

You're saying they have no way at all to look at clouds?

Meanwhile, you spoke of immediate surges. No thermometer that isn't in my house can predict exactly when my A/C will come on. While not common, it is nearly inevitable that every A/C in the neighborhood will just happen to power on or off at the same time.

You also ignored the many other things I pointed out that are far more sudden and happen all too frequently.

Until residential areas get a lot more solar installations, power won't be flowing backwards out of residential circuits, it will be flowing within the neighborhood (and so from the perspective of the managed grid, it will look like a lesser and varying load, not power flowing backwards).

Comment Re:Oh dear - money grows on trees... (Score 1) 517

No, I am making a series of guesstimates about peak output of a system that would roughly average to zero after considering dark hours and cloudy days. Similar to but less rigorous than capacity planning that would go into an installation given that there's no financial benefit to a negative net use.

As for the spikes, have you seen an air conditioner turn off? One instant it's on, the next it's off. Now, have you ever seen the sun blink off like that? How quickly do you suppose load drops when a tree or a car strikes a power pole? Would you characterize that as faster or slower than clouds drifting over a neighborhood? You seem to have an unfounded belief that sudden increase or decrease in load is somehow different from gaining/losing PV generation.

Comment Re:Oh dear - money grows on trees... (Score 1) 517

Very few homes actually net 0 for the month. Practically none will go into the negative numbers since in most places the power company is never obligated to send you a check or maintain a 'power balance' from billing to billing, so after 0 you're just giving power away.

So, that suggests that until 20% or so of homes adopt big enough PV arrays to net zero, the power generated will be absorbed by other homes in the area. (in other words, not a problem today or tomorrow). Until that day comes, PV is indistinguishable from the swings in load they must already be prepared to handle.

The real trouble starts when there are enough solar installations to maintain voltage in the whole area even when a region is isolated from the grid. The local inverters will have found their own natural phase and frequency which won't be a close enough match to the grid to just close the switch again.

Comment Re:Boeing bought more politicians. (Score 1) 127

Since there is more than one customer for the things you mentioned, they can be reasonably assured of being able to sell their product and making a return.

Here, we are talking about manned space launches. There aren't enough customers in that market to enter without a contract.

Comment Re:Oh dear - money grows on trees... (Score 1) 517

I didn't claim solar was steady state, just that it is a more gentle rise and fall. I made no comment on wind.

There are plenty of power sinks that are more sudden than solar and the magnitude of the change is largely a matter of chance.

I have no doubt that upgrades will be needed and agree that even people whose net use is zero should pay something for the grid services acting as storage for them, but it's hardly as serious as you make it out.

Comment Re:Oh dear - money grows on trees... (Score 1) 517

Of course, solar users also ease loads on the grid allowing power companies to avoid buying power at peak rates or having to build more generating capacity. You didn't think power companies ran PSAs about saving energy because they thought it would be cool to make less money, did you?

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