Comment Re: Bull Hockey (Score 1) 81
They're changing their tune because AI is not showing productivity gains. I've seen this first-hand. Every major tech company dove headfirst into AI, and the work being produced went up. But it's the wrong kind of work. It's not revenue producing work.
The reason is simple: The time it takes for humans to review *new* work is often similar to the time it takes to create new work in the first place. So every engineer eventually comes to the conclusion that they'll send agents to do code-cleanup type tasks in parallel with the actual work, because it's easier to review and validate that. The result is they're now splitting their time on the real work and the tasks they added to keep the agents busy to increase productivity. So on aggregate people are "more productive", but moving slower on real work, only now with high token costs.
The answer of course is "more AI", which means AI code reviews, but nobody is comfortable with the inmates running the prison yet, or the increasing token costs that are being paid to frenemies. So effectively there needs to be a generational leap in capability and an overall reduction in token cost before AI coding productivity gains are realized, but right now capability has plateaued and costs are going up.