SpaceX can probably accelerate their flight schedule to accommodate Russian crew needs. There's the question of if Russia is able/willing to pay nearly $100m per seat. Their flights on Crew Dragon are currently paid through NASA in a seat exchange program where they provide flights from this site on Soyuz for US astronauts. They don't actually pony up the cash.

This launch site is also essential to attitude control of ISS. To refuel the ISS stabilizer thrusters and hold it steady while the gyroscopes are relieved periodically requires Progress modules launched from there. There isn't currently a backup plan for those services.

We've been investing in our grid as well: $7 Billion Wind Power Project Nears Finish

By the end of December[2013], developers expect to flip the switch on the final electrical transmission projects built under the state’s Competitive Renewable Energy Zone, or CREZ, initiative — the years long effort to connect windy, largely secluded West Texas to growing cities that demand more power.

Once finished, the build-out will stretch nearly 3,600 miles and will be able to send 18,500 megawatts of wind power across the state....

...Texans will eventually shell out $6.8 billion to finance the entire build-out, according to a project update released this week by the PUC ...

The new fees, Hadley said, will likely add several dollars to a residential customer’s monthly bill.

Haven't seen anything about jet engines, though I know last year we built out solar & storage: New report shows Texas led nation in solar and battery growth in 2024. A couple weeks ago I noticed storage was supporting our grid twice a day, previously I'd only see it helping in the evenings.

We've likewise deployed smart meters, I think mine was installed in 2013. CenterPoint Energy Reaches Significant Milestone in Smart Meter Deployment

CenterPoint Energy Houston Electric's five-year smart meter deployment began in March 2009. By the end of the year, 145,000 smart meters will be installed along with the necessary communications infrastructure and computing systems. 2.4 million meters are expected to be installed system-wide by the project's completion in 2014.

And I live in Texas where solar + wind provided 34% of our electricity last year (ERCOT Fuel Mix report for 2024), which is higher than the US average of 21.4% for renewables(Electricity generation, capacity, and sales in the United States). Despite that, our prices in Texas are lower than the US average.

This suggests its not the renewables themselves that are causing the prices to go up, but something else. By looking at other US states that generate large amounts of wind and/or solar power that something else appears to be political.

I agree its a good investment - I installed solar + PowerWall in 2019. To date it's generated 86% of my electricity, which includes charging my Model 3 (I got my first one in 2018, and my second one in 2024).

Where wind power is harnessed shows that the top 5 states for wind power are: Texas, Iowa, Oklahoma, Kansas, and Illinois.

Where solar is found and used shows the top states for solar power are: California, Texas, Florida, and North Carolina (the 4 dark orange states in utility scale map).

Per here the average electric rate in the US is 15.83 cents/kWh.

The 6 Republican states have a rate lower than that: Florida 13.44, Iowa 14.45, Kansas 13.36, North Carolina 12.30, Oklahoma 12.15, Texas 12.27.

The 2 Democratic states have a rate higher than that: California 30.45, Illinois 16.02

This suggests politics may be a bigger factor for high electrical rates than renewables.

It even supports 50 Hz for media I've imported from Europe, it's nice not having the 50 to 60 Hz conversion judder during scene pans I experienced with my prior setup. I posted some screenshots here.

I'm not taking a trip like Wisconsin or Yellowstone every month, just once or twice a year. My folks are retired so they do take more trips than I. Our weekend trips are around Texas, a couple weekends ago we did the Texas Triangle. Friday after I got off work we drove* to Bandera (just west of San Antonio) for my aunt's birthday. Saturday evening we drove to Dallas for the Sunday afternoon Honor Flight pre-flight meeting for my dad (a Vietnam veteran). Sunday evening after the meeting we drove back to Houston.

Charging is now so prolific, and fast** that the majority of our stops are:

1) plug in
2) go use restrooms
3) unplug
4) resume trip

which is faster than getting gas as nobody needed to stand next to the car to monitor the refueling process. On occasion we need to wait 5 minutes or so for the car to be ready, which makes those stops comparable to getting gasoline. On the drive to Dallas we stopped at the largest Supercharger site in Texas. It's located at the Buc-ee's in Temple and has 68 stalls.

* the car did most of the driving. FSD has gotten quite good in the past year, I seldom used it prior to Tesla's 2024 Xmas Update as the prior builds were unnerving at times.

** in 2018 Tesla's Superchargers maxed out at 120 kW and we often had to do the slow-charge to 100% (charging from 80-100% takes the same amount of time as 0-80%, so during trips so you only charge to 100% if absolutely necessary as otherwise you're wasting time). With the widespread rollout of V3 Superchargers most of my charging now is at 250 kW, the older Superchargers were bumped to 150 kW, and I no longer need to do the slow-charge to 100%. The latest V4 Superchargers go even faster, but at the moment only the Cybertruck can accept the 500 kW it offers (on V4 Superchargers we'll still max out at 250 kW in our Model 3 and Model Y).

I have freedom to travel - been road tripped all over the US since getting my 1st Model 3 in 2018. My folks enjoyed the trips they'd taken with me so much that they bought a Model Y. We typically take a 2700 mile round trip each year to visit family in Wisconsin. We took my folks' Model Y on our longest trip so far: 5000 miles to Yellowstone, onto Tacoma Washington to visit family, then back to Houston.

I also have energy freedom - 99% of my charging is now done via the solar panels on my roof by using Tesla's Charge on Solar feature that was added in 2023. Do you distill your own gasoline?

For the first 6 months of owning my 1st Model 3 in 2018 I charged using the 120V 15amp outlet in my garage. It "filled up" at a rate of 5 mph, which means it will top off the 33 miles per day US average in just over 6 1/2 hours.

My home in the Houston metro only has 100 amp service as I have a natural gas stove, dryer, water heater, and furnace. I had an electrician install a 240V 50 amp outlet at the end of 2018 because I'd switched to a free-nights electric plan and wanted to make sure all charging was done during the free period. Even though the rate increased, by shifting EV Charging and using the delayed start feature on my washing machine and dishwasher to the free period I was able to cut my electric bill by %20.

I will caveat this by saying a 120V 15amp would not be adequate for an EV that is parked outside in the winter in northern states. From experience all of the energy ends up being used to warm up the pack, with none going towards actually charging it. I suspect it would work OK if the EV was parked in an enclosed garage, but have not been in a situation to try that myself.

Are you sure about that? I heard MBS through a Canadian wealth management firm.

I recently checked and apartments.com shows that 12.4% of the available units in Houston have access to EV chargers, which is in line with EVs being 10.5% of Q3's new vehicle sales.

I've had family members tell me "EVs won't work in Wisconsin in the winter", yet in 2019 I'd already taken my Model 3 on a road trip from Houston to visit them in the winter.

Road trips have only gotten better since with the rollout of faster chargers, in 2019 the 250 KW V3 Superchargers started to be deployed and most of the exising 120 kW Superchargers were increased to 150 kW, and the massive expansion of the Supercharger network over the past 7 years can be seen in the maps I posted in this tweet.

Hanford announced last week that their spent fuel vitrification plant is officially in operation, converting nuclear waste into glass ingots that can be safely stored for millenia. If they keep going for about a century they might be able to vitrify the spent fuel we already have. But we still have no place to store the ingots.

All these small modular reactors have the same deficits. They require high assay low enriched uranium (HALEU) produced only in Russia. They're a proliferation risk. They require a substantial footprint with passive and active defenses, 24/7 armed security, security clearances for all the highly paid professionals involved. They're slow to approve, finance, build. They're more costly even than classic nuclear reactors to build and operate, and those are the slowest building and most costly form of energy which means high energy costs when (if) they are finally built. Traditional nuclear reactor projects have a 95% failure rate from proposal to generation so 19 times of 20 they never deliver a single watt hour. Those times the money is just spent and lost. The one time in 20 that the generation comes online to produce the world's most costly power doesn't even include those costs.

At Hanford cold war nuclear waste continues to seep gradually toward the mighty Columbia river. Inch by inch.

Somewhere in America just now a homeowner just plugged his DIY solar panels into the inverter and battery he bought on Amazon for the first time. It will give power 24/7 for 30 years at no additional cost. It was quick and cheap. He didn't even need permission. It won't kill his family, nor yours, nor mine. There is no chance that his solar panels will result in radioactive salmon or other seafood.

A common piece of EV FUD is "the grid can't handle it if everybody switches to a EV", which ignores that it's going to be a multi-decade transition.

For the US our vehicle fleet size is about ~284K are on the road

About ~16K light vehicles are sold per year

So it would take ~18 years to transition the fleet to all EVs if 100%of new vehicles sold were EVs. However, EV sales are only~10%, and that's likely to drop next quarter due to sales being pulled forward by the end of the Federal Tax Credit, so we're probably looking at 2-3 decades for the transition.

Back in the 50s we saw the grid more than doubled in capacity in less than a decade when the widespread adoption of AC (air conditioning) occured. This video covers that.

You're welcome!

Yes, it was $35K before the tax credit, from 4:41 - 4:55 of the Edmunds video they talk about the price and show the Monroe sticker with $35,000 (not $34,999). Tesla hit the 200K sales limit of the original EV Federal Tax Credit at the end of 2018, so the tax credit for them was being phased out in 2019 - it was $3750 for the first half of 2019 and $1875 for the second half.

Yep, in Diamond Bar. I think that was the Warpstock that Timur didn't book a hotel room and ended up crashing in the extra bed in my room. I also attended Warpstock in Chicago, Toronto, and Austin. I did presentations on emulation in Toronto and Austin. Looks like Warpstock started putting the presentations online in 2002, including mine. In 2003 a friend gave me an old PowerMac G3 - over a 6 month period I switched from OS/2 to OS X, so I stopped attending Warpstock. I did have OS/2 running under Parallels on a Mac Pro for a long time, but one of the updates to Parallels broke my VMs so I switched all my VMs to VirtualBox. I bought a Mac Studio in 2023 and haven't run a VM since as none of them supported Intel operating systems as guests on Apple Silicon. Looks like Parallels does now, but warns that performance is very poor.

There's so much excess power at night that free-nights electric plans like this one are common here in Texas. When I had a free-nights plan I was able to save 20% over my prior plan by scheduling my Model 3 to charge, and my washer and dishwasher to delay-start, during the free period.

Not on the plan anymore as I've since installed solar and have my Model 3 scheduled to charge when I'm generating excess solar power - I work from home so this works well for me.