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Comment Francis Bacon, anyone? (Score 1) 566

Bacon writes: "In the year of our Lord 1432, there arose a grievous quarrel among the brethren over the number of teeth in the mouth of a horse. For 13 days the disputation raged without ceasing. All the ancient books and chronicles were fetched out, and wonderful and ponderous erudition, such as was never before heard of in this region, was made manifest. At the beginning of the 14th day, a youthful friar of goodly bearing asked his learned superiors for permission to add a word, and straightaway, to the wonderment of the disputants, whose deep wisdom he sore vexed, he beseeched them to unbend in a manner coarse and unheard-of, and to look in the open mouth of a horse and find answer to their questionings." Of course, Bacon was attempting to adjudicate the debate between rationalists and empiricists. For all of our arm chair reasoning about the Monty Hall problem, perhaps the best way to resolve the matter is to perform an experiment...Click on the link to the Times article and run a few hundred trials. My results - 200 attempts, 133 cars = ~67%.

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