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Comment Re:China vs. NATO? (Re:Yeah right) (Score 1) 188

Blue Ridge carry up to six helicopters. They have hangar space for repair of up to two helicopters at a time. They are flattop warships. Helicopters very much are aircraft and form the primary offensive armament of the ship. They're literally based on the Iwo Jima-class carriers. Again, similar ships in literally any other navy than the USN are called carriers by the USN.

My point was that if you use the standards the US Navy uses to determine what is an aircraft carrier in other navies and apply that to the US, there are a bunch of ships that should be considered carriers. And, with little to no modifications, all those ships I listed can carry and launch F-35Bs. F-35Bs actually are STOVL and not VTOL with combat loads. They do require a flattop ship to sortie combat missions from. "Can launch fixed-wing multi-role fighters into combat" seems a reasonable standard to call something an aircraft carrier. Yes, there are a bunch of ships that were clearly built with the assumption of buying F-35Bs once those became available. Like the French Mistral and Japanese Izumo ships. I think Italy has a few "sea-control" ships that also fall under this. I have seen white papers on launching F-35s from every class of ship I mentioned. Will those work out in practice? Maybe? It will almost certainly require resurfacing the flight deck because the F-35B has a habit of burning holes in flight decks that aren't specifically reinforced to resist that. That's what happened to the America-class, which was even purpose built to launch F-35s. That's one reason (there are many) that the project is so behind schedule. (Aren't they all?)

Comment Re:PLA (Score 1) 188

"Chinese" and "communist" are adjectives modifying "party".

Wikipedia is not authoritative. It can be modified by anyone. Including weirdos like you. But, let's go ahead and quote Wikipedia, just for shits and giggles. "The Communist Party of China (CPC),[a][3] commonly known in English as Chinese Communist Party (CCP)..." First fucking line.

Comment Re:China vs. NATO? (Re:Yeah right) (Score 1) 188

7 Wasp-class, 2 America-class, 3 Lewis B. Puller-class, 2 Blue Ridge-class. That makes 14. I forgot to count the front falling off the Bonnie. The surface fleet build pace of the US being dogshit, I'd assumed four more Puller-class would be active as they were supposed to be by now but are stuck in the hell that is US surface fleet construction.

Comment Re:PLA (Score 1) 188

Firstly, in English, it's called the Chinese Communist Party, or CCP. The same way we used to call the country the USSR and not the CCCP. Or the way everyone calls Germany something other than Deutschland. Maybe you don't speak English as your first language, but in English, that's the order the adjectives have to be.

Secondly, you seem to have even less of an idea of how American politics work than you do on how Chinese politics work.

Finally, you also lack an understanding of what social reproduction is. That's the point of the PLA, not military aggression.

Comment Re:Yeah right (Score 1) 188

In infrastructure development, that's code for, "We'll build the highway, build part of the railway, then cancel most of the railway to pay for the road." Railways are more expensive to build but far less expensive to maintain and operate versus roads. So the road gets finished first, but to pay for the high operating costs, money is taken from the rail budget. This leads to delays on the rail line, which causes more budget to be moved to the existent road. Repeat until the railway gets canceled.

Comment Re:Yeah right (Score 1) 188

The military itself is quite successful at doing the war thing. The problem comes when the political class tries to use the military to do non-war things. Ironically, the reason first Gulf War was such a success was everyone in charge of the US military, and many of the politicians in power, had gone through the loss in Vietnam and learned some valuable, if painful, lessons from that experience. That's why the Gulf War had very clear aims that could be accomplished directly with military force and clear criteria for exit. Ironically, the success of the first Gulf War taught the next generation all the wrong lessons about American military power, so we got another Vietnam.

TL;DR If you need something shot or blown up, use the military. If you need anything other than people shot and shit blown up, you need something other than the military.

Comment PLA (Score 1) 188

You're misunderstanding the purpose and disposition of the People's Liberation Army. The PLA is primarily a political organ with a small military attached to it. The PLA mostly exists to indoctrinate recruits for the CCP. This is rather explicit, but you have to read the documents written in Chinese to see that. About 90% of the current formations aren't capable of fielding either a fighting force or providing logistical support to combat forces. That actually includes much of the PLAAF and the PLAN. About half of the combat forces of the PLAAF are supposedly flying MiG-15s and MiG-17s. There's little chance more than a dozen of those 75y/o planes are even airworthy, let alone combat-rated. Most of the PLAN ships are either repurposed/impressed fishing and merchant vessels, un-seaworthy, or rusting hulks. Less than a quarter of the infantry forces even receive firearm training (by that I just mean firing live rounds at some point).

That said, China has been making significant efforts in modernizing its navy and air force. That will impact the calculation a lot ten years from now. As it now stands, divide any claim of the size of China's military by 10 and you will have a more accurate picture of reality.

Comment Re:A Fool & His Money (Score 1) 77

They don't have money to spend. They have collateralized debt. The collateral for those loans is usually company stock. The value of that collateral is mostly set by high-speed trading algorithms. Those algorithms value the stock based not just on current earnings but also on projected future earnings. Those projected future earnings are based on past growth rate of the company. If their growth rate slows (slows, not stops or contracts), it results in a significant downgrade of future earnings. This will drop the share price of the company by huge amounts in fractions of a second. This has already happened before in '22. Facebook reporting lower than expected growth resulted in an instant loss of about a quarter of their stock value.

That's a bad loss on its own. What worse is if your shares are collateral on a loan. When your collateral drops in value by 26%, you either need to add more collateral, something relatively difficult for a company to do, or you need to pay a higher interest rate. Servicing the higher interest rate lowers the company's profits. That lowers profit projections. Those lowered projections result in a devaluation by trading algorithms, sparking a selloff. That lowers stock price, which then triggers higher interest rates, which then lowers profits, which then lowers market cap... This is a negative spiral that ends with bankruptcy as the company tries to deal with the suddenly crushing debt.

This is the situation that Google, Facebook, Microsoft, Amazon, Uber, and several other tech giants find themselves in. Any one of these going into the death-spiral described above will affect the entire tech sector when it goes. That collapsing giant can trigger other giants to collapse. Before you know it, everything is in freefall and trillions, with a 'T' of dollars of wealth just evaporates.

That's several times worse than what happened in the 2008 crash.

Comment A Fool & His Money (Score 1) 77

Whoever at Alphabet signed off on this is a fool. It's an entire culture of spendthrift on longshots caused by the founders of all those companies having hit the jackpot once and them and all their investors blowing their money chasing another one. The whole industry is going to collapse in like 5 years. It's going to make the dot-com bust look like a minor market correction.

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