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Comment Re:I thought the housing crisis was about greed (Score 1, Informative) 120

That's not how it works. You can't just buy a tract of land. You have to buy the land, jump through hoops to get permits to build, defeat NIMBY lawsuits, get the local municipality to run services, defeat more NIMBY lawsuits, get new permits from a new municipality administration, then finally break ground on construction.

NIMBYs of all stripes throw up roadblocks during the permitting process and will then sue to get an injunction. If you defeat those lawsuits they'll go after the municipalities suing that permits were approved illegally (which they sometimes are).

After several rounds of legal wrangling you can finally start construction. This ends up with only huge developers being able to build because they can absorb all the pre-construction costs until they sell all the homes. They can also afford the scale to benefit from bulk orders and contracts.

The cost of expanding housing is mostly in the project development rather than labor costs of construction. Even if you had construction robots the construction companies would only offer marginal savings as their bids would just be human contractor - 1%. There would be no reason for them to leave money on the table offering a huge discount off human labor.

Comment Re:Compare with a GPU server (Score 2) 54

Not defending HP's ludicrous rental scheme but if you're wanting to play with local LLMs the mobile chip in the laptop is going to be underpowered compared to the full sized chip in the Hetzner server. Despite the name the chip in the laptop will have far fewer compute cores and a fraction of the VRAM. It will also have more thermal throttling. If you want to play with LLMs you'd be better off just doing cloud instances with inference providers. They're often cheaper than a dedicated monthly server.

Comment Re:Question (Score 1) 20

retains access to the AI startup's technology until 2032, including models that achieve AGI

Exactly how do they envision an autocomplete gaining sentience?

It hasn't been "autocomplete" in a long time. Sure, there's a training step based on a corpus of Human language, and the autoregressive process outputs a single token at a time, but reinforcement learning trains specific behaviors beyond merely completing a sentence.

Besides, the best way to write something indistinguishable from what a Human might write is to, well, "think" like a Human.

Comment Will we finally learn our lesson? (Score 1) 32

Are we, as a sapient species facing an uncertain prospect of continuence in a world full of rapidly-advancing bullshit going to learn from this catastrophic and absurdly predictable failure of information security, personal and professional ethics, civilian government, market economics, basic common sense, and consumer psychology?

Eight-Ball-Based-On-Cursory-Reading-Of-Literally-Any-Slice-of-Human-History says "no".

What do you say, and why is it also "no"?

Comment Fuck all of this (Score 3, Insightful) 78

Trying to turn this story into some surveillance state bullshit is just absurd. Read the back of a concert ticket. For at least the past 30 years tickets have clearly informed me I might be photographed and recorded at a concert. They warn you when you're going to buy the fucking things.

Don't take your mistress to a concert, you're just as likely to be seen by a neighbor as you are to be caught on a kiss cam. I don't give a shit about the guy's morals but he's demonstrated he's far too stupid to run a company. I hope his wife cleans him out, she deserves every penny after having to deal with his dumb ass for so long.

Comment Re:Batteries must not be user-replaceable... (Score 1) 58

The biggest issue is LiPoly batteries, at the power density modern phones require, are impractical to get insurance certified for retail sale/storage. Such batteries have only the barest envelope to resist punctures and no real structure to resist deformation.

When they're sold in a phone there's no issue since the body of the phone provides the puncture and deformation resistance. Outside of a phone they can be quite dangerous. Old cell phone batteries were much lower power density and had thick plastic shells and were classed pretty much the same as alkaline batteries. A modern LiPoly battery gets higher density by stuffing lithium foil in the same volume that previous batteries used for their hard impact shell.

As such those batteries are classed differently by things like fire codes and insurance policies. A single improperly handled LiPoly battery is essentially an incendiary device. A box or pallet of them can be incredibly dangerous if mishandled.

Since the typical retail shop isn't going to ever carry them and the expected life of a battery in a phone is often longer than the support lifetime of the phone, manufacturers just use glued LiPoly batteries to prioritize weight and battery life.

Comment Re:There is a good general remedy (Score 1) 39

The word "worth" is doing a lot of heavy lifting. What is "worth"? Is it the market cap based on some unrelated secondary market (the stock market)? The Wall Street value of outstanding stock is rarely if ever related to any fundamentals of companies. A run on a stock can push its market cap over $100 billion for no reason and then suddenly the company needs to be broken up?

Comment Re:What a nice "argument by hallucination"... (Score 4, Insightful) 181

Bandwidth is not oil or fresh water. No one is going to run out of it. It also has zero marginal cost so there's no cost to "produce it".

As long as power is supplied a router will deliver bits. At ISP scales there's very little power difference between full utilization and partial utilization.

Comment Re:Modern security products seem to increase... (Score 2) 30

I don't necessarily disagree with where you're going here, but can you elaborate on this:

The whole world has realized that they need to start air-gapping databases

I've worked at government contractors that had real air-gaps for things like their databases, but that does not seem to be the norm for the rest of the world. How would ordinary businesses make use of their databases if they are not network accessible under any circumstances, printed reports? Some sort of unidirectional transmission? What sort of data ingress are they using?

I ask this because I have been involved in the transfer of data in highly regulated, air-gapped systems, and they are incredibly expensive. Are you really indicating that true air-gap databases will be ubiquitous (or at least commonplace) in the forseeable future?

Comment Re:Lame (Score 1) 194

Solar is also more easily distributed. While large solar plants definitely benefit from economies of scale, they can be easily augmented with on-site solar installations and storage.

Normally a parking lot is just a giant heat island. However if you put up solar panel shades, not only do you shade everything in the parking lot but actually capture some of that insolation and put it to use. The same goes for pretty much any structure.

The same ends up being true with local battery storage. A battery can capture excess generation and then apply it locally when load increases. This helps the grid (supplied by any type of generation) as increased loads don't necessarily spike demand on the grid and can be more gradual since a local battery is augmenting the grid supply.

It's orders of magnitude easier and cheaper to throw solar panels on my roof and install a whole-house battery versus setting up a nuclear power plant in my garage.

I'm definitely not opposed to nuclear for a base load generation but expanding renewables with storage can have the same base load effects as nuclear with none of the downsides or expense. The Sun provides an absurd amount of "free" energy, it is ludicrous to not capture it for use.

Comment Re:It just makes no sense (Score 1) 305

Like an airline, but with orbital rockets.

An airline that can only take off and launch from a tiny number of sites. That number is not only limited by regulations but just basic infrastructure. The Starship can't reach Earth orbit without the first stage booster. There's a very limited number of locations that can possibly launch, recover, and service those boosters. A Starship landing anywhere but a dedicated spaceport would be stranded.

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