You are of course correct.
I recall a few years ago the Dems at midterm elections were set in stone to take both houses by large numbers after the Reps fumbled badly with the meetings to block Obama and make him a one term president and the Norquist pledge.
Then the Dems faltered and lost both houses, managing to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory.
I don't recall the exact scenario (and too buzzed on my day off to care to look it up) but it was as I recall only about six months to a complete reversal.
And Romney can attest to the accuracy of polls...
Anyone proclaiming victory before the battle begins has not paid any attention to the past. I look forward to the debates. And I hope they are moderated to completely grill the candidates and not the candy-ass questions that we saw during the primaries.
I want to see them both sweat, I want to see how they react to pressure. It's their last chance to garner my vote for either. Both are dirty, both are dishonesty personified. On one hand we can elect the Antichrist, on the other hand we can elect Cthulhu.
At this point I don't know which is worse, but I lean toward Cthulhu basically on the premise of 'better the devil you know..", and we know Cthulhu from thirty-plus years of scandals, both real and imagined.