Comment Psychohostory (Score 1) 230
He also explored the idea of "psychohistory". Whew, what a load of garbage that was. This is not as big garbage as it might look at first glance, although it was hidden into loads of mumbo-jumbo. I don't remember the name of the scientist who received a economics Nobel prize for describing economics as vectors, allowing predicting growths and recesses of economy quite accurately on big scale. He also postulated, that there are other factors, that influence his stuff, like new scientific breakthroughs, wars, etc. It is noteworthy, that current studies indicate, these factors can also vectorized and added to the formula, although slightly in different manner (like the number of you men in society are found to be asssociated how warlike the nation is and how easily it can be pylled into conflicts. BTW, the economical vectors are itself on reason for nation to be pulled into some sort of military campaign. It's also known that most of scientific breakthroughs are made, when nation is in the bring of war or already in war, because the need for new stuff is more important than ever from the surviaval point of view). So, although I don't agree the Asimovesque approach to the psychohistory, it's not completely without merit and should be studied in future.