<quote>Now, does it work? No idea, frankly. I'm more inclined to believe the results of, you know, an actual test than someone who didn't do the test but insists it can't work in spite of the test....</quote>
It's difficult to convey to a non-physicist just how accurately and consistently quantum field theory describes nature. Physicists routinely make calculations which have lower uncertainly than the best experiments. For example the anomalous magnetic moment (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anomalous_magnetic_dipole_moment) is in agreement with theory to ten significant figures.
Physicists tend to be fairly cautious describing results, but when it comes to basic theory at energies up to a few hundred GeV we are confident that we have *all* physical effects well and truly nailed. This doesn't mean that we can always solve the equations perfectly: quantum mechanics is hard, but the equations themselves are almost beyond reproach.
It's not undeserved hubris: it's trillions of independent experiments, billions of dollars and hundreds of thousands of man-years working on the theory by lots of very smart people. The theory, quantum field theory (QFT), is simple, consistent and universal. It describes everything we can see around us, with the exception of gravity.
If you ask an actual physicist what he or she thinks of the EM drive, they will overwhelmingly say that is is highly likely there is an unresolved source of error because violation of moment conservation has never been observed and is inconsistent with QFT.