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Comment Re: MAGA! (Score 1) 321

If you want to transition from a services economy back to a manufacturing one you need to squash wages and lay off knowledge workers. Destroying the us dollar with chaotic trade policy also feeds that goal. Debt only matters of you intend to honor it vs hole up in pariah state you want to turn into manufacturing plant.

Comment Re: Everyone knows... (Score 1) 173

But for most sports, particularly those where size or upper body strength are advantageous, the separation between people who had lots of testosterone during puberty and those who didn't is so large that you would effectively still have men and women's sports. And trans women would still be in the tiers populated by men. There would be no one in the highest tiers of performance that did not have high testosterone during puberty. Is it more sexist to have mens and womens events in the Olympics, or to have one set of events that only has men, intersex and maybe a few trans women in it? I think the latter is definitely more logical, but it excludes half the population from aspiring to the Olympics. I genuinely don't know which is better.

Comment Re: Everyone knows... (Score 1) 173

No, it was about finding an 80/20 issue the democrats still couldn't back down from. The gop strategists don't care. Neither does the dnc. They switched sides on the masking issue early on. The issues for them only matter in relation to polling, or dollars. This was a polling issue where nearly all existing gop support and swing voters were on one side, so they took something that affected three people and amplified it.

Comment Re: The people didn't vote for this shit (Score 1) 200

We need ranked choice voting. I'm tired of voting against, people, just once I'd like to vote *for* someone without worrying I'm throwing my vote away. Proportional representation or some variant would be nice too, so many gerrymandered states, mostly in favor of republicans, but Illinois and Oregon not so much

Comment Re: I don't care about Direct File. I care about (Score 2) 152

That golden period nearly ended democracy in the us as the government was captured by industrialists. Tariffs and subsidies both are good tools to protect industries you want to grow. You don't do it forever though. The goal is to make them strong enough to compete globally (which means you have to make them compete internally first). When they can compete globally, you withdraw the tariff protections and cease the subsidies and hand them to the next sector you want to grow. Except titans of industry don't want the gravy train to end so they try to take over the government. Instead of happening gradually it ends up happening all at once and you get the great depression, or Japan's list decades, or what is about to happen in China (probably).

Comment Re: Tier 2 time. (Score 2) 248

These aren't the emergency cutoffs, these are the ones they operate every takeoff and landing. Aorbus forces you to throttle all the way down before cutting them off, which might be enough to wake your brain up to the fact you are running the wrong checklist, but if you are in that state of erroneous automatic action there isn't a lot you can do from an interface design standpoint. The right answer is to run the checklist as a checklist each time very intentionally, but people, even pilots, aren't good at that. There are very few cases where shutting off the engines at that altitude on take off make sense, barely any, so you could prevent it entirely, but then when it actually is the right move it will ne your fault for preventing it.

Comment Re: What about not eating it daily? (Score 1) 186

That is only true after they adopted western diets. Pre contact heart attack was lower than even Mediterranean diets, they had literally no cavities, obesity or type 2 diabetes. Meat heavy diets are what they adapted to, and they adapted well. If you grabbed someone from India and had them use that diet? That probably wouldn't go as well, but fresh meat is one of the things humans run best on, that is pretty well established by science. The cancer links to animal protiens have been mostly discredited. There is a link between excess nutrition and tumor growth, but that is just because tumors need fuel too. Processed meat is as equally implicated as fresh meat is vindicated though. Bacon kills.

Comment Re: Time to resurrect the old meme... (Score 1) 249

Sadly no. China wont take the steps necessary to be a world reserve either. It would require a commitment to the rule of law that the ccp has no palate for. Otherwise no one will trust them as a debtor. Which is why Bessent saying that he will do whatever the president says is so alarming. The EU has no centralized monetary policy, so that leaves us with... gold? Swiss francs? Neither of those are anywhere near deep enough to sink the worlds investments. No one seems nearly as alarmed as I think they should be.

Comment Re: Time For– (Score 1) 149

Zaihan is fun. I follow his YouTube videos too. But he is an entertainer first. So he will always give the most interesting take. Will China go full mad max societal failure. Or have a few lost decades like Japan? Well, you can support either analysis with real data. But which one gets more views? His primary premise of demographic collapse is obviously a real one, but whether it will drive the changes he suggests is debated. A dutch economics profihas a channel called money and macro and he has an analysis on Zaihan that puts it better than I could. The golden age was borrowed from the present. Low birth rates after a population boom left almost everyone working. Rapid industrialization of various asian countries lead to huge productivity gains of a guge number of people at the same time. Now you need to welcome immigration and training, come up with some insane productivity (and consumer spending) boosting tech, or you need to make more people at a rate impossible without artificial wombs and group homes. A combination would probably be best.

Comment Re: Not real [Re:Well, we're lucky] (Score 1) 149

I read just yesterday they jave many permanent effects and are not reversible at all depending on the age started. But that in some cases that is the lesser issue.

But you succinctly stated the playbook. Spot something unrelated to the issue you feel your party is in the minority opinion on, but that the opposition, will defend emotionally and make that the issue. It helps if you are in the majority opinion on that issue. It is mostly a weakness in the democrats. They have The Groups and they maintain solidarity, so you only have to find an issue that one of them cares about to get the rest to hold the line, even at the expense of the issue they would have won on. In this case the left didn't just stop campaigning on the other issues, they stopped fighting for many of them altogether. That is what killed them.

Comment Re: Time For– (Score 1) 149

That is it in short. Also looking at the states they run, their current playbook is broken. It isn't like TX can build housing anymore either but from the 90s until a few years back it did pretty well. California can't build anything and hasn't been able to for years. But, the disease of letting absolutely any niche group (or individual!) stop any action whatsoever has spread from the left to maga leadership. Along with centralized one size fits all federal government and deficit spending. Maybe the left will recover from it first having had it for longer. But it looks more like they will fight fire with fire and bring their own authoritarian populists out to take our freedoms instead.

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