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Comment Re:Absurd (Score 1) 251

Tesla produced ~80,000 cars last year, Ford produced 6.7-million. From a purely numbers perspective its pretty much inconceivable that Tesla will approach Ford for decades, obviously Ford also has a correspondingly larger number of assets and there is considerably more risk in Tesla's future than Fords.

Actually it's is quite conceivable they will overtake Ford on *just* volume of cars by the mid-2020's. If all goes according to plan, Tesla will produce 1 million cars per year by 2020. Note that they have over 400,000 reservations for the model 3. That is unprecedented in modern automotive history so it is likely that the demand for the Model 3 is present in the market. After reaching the million per year rate, Tesla will have to start replicating it's production plants and gigafactories around the world and move down manufacturing scaling laws. How well they will do depends on how good their Engineering team is. So far they seem pretty damn good.

Look at it this way. There is a Market for 100 million cars per year world-wide. By the end of the next year Tesla will be the only car manufacturer capable of producing 500K - 1 million electric cars per year. There is a lot of demand for Electric cars. If they pull off autonomous driving there will be an even bigger demand. Tesla is is far and away the leader in electric cars with a potential market over 100 times bigger than their projected volume in 2020. Is Ford going to grow their volume much above 6.7 million cars per year? Not much, if at at all. Will Tesla? They have the chance. Hence the Capitalization.

Comment Re:Nope. Will still use the Nexus 5 and wait. (Score 1) 197

"- I want wireless charging option."

yeah, me too. I have a great wireless charger in my car. I drop in my phone and drive. It is just so convenient. I don't know why they dropped the wireless charging feature. Looks like I'll be keeping my Nexus 5 a for another year or two.

Comment Re:Or the actual reason(s) (Score 1) 761

I actually have a set of bluetooth ear phones (Jaybird X2) that I really like. They connect perfectly, sound great and have an 8 hour battery life. They're much easier to use than wired connection since I can carry my phone in a bum-bag while running or leave on the counter when cooking stuff in the kitchen. It's a much better experience.

Comment Re:From TFA (Score 2) 323

"Just because Malthus wasn't right in his lifetime, that doesn't make him wrong. Malthus died in 1834: that's really not that long ago."

Malthus observed a historical phenomena that kept the population of Earth more-or-less constant since the agricultral revolution which in its time increased the population of the Earth by 2-3 orders of magnitude. Since the Industrial revolution and the era of economic growth all such predictions have been dramatically WRONG. Every time time humans appear to run up against a resource limitation, we've found ways around it. The most recent has been crude oil. Who talks about Peak-Oil now?

Our main problem now is that Fossil fuels are too cheap to give up without a global carbon tax.

Comment Re:If Water is Scarce (Score 1) 323

I just ran the numbers of Melbourne's Desalination plant (http://www.melbournewater.com.au/desalination). As far as I can tell, taking account of the interest on the capital, it costs around $4.67 AUD per 1000 L of water. (http://www.kimwells.com.au/deception-on-water-desalination-costs/)

If you neglect the capital cost, it's $0.66 AUD per 1000 L of water.

Comment This a problem, not a good thing... (Score 3, Insightful) 298

The article sounds as if it is a good thing that Germany has to pay people to use electricity. Actually it is exactly this problem that sets the upper limit to how much renewable energy can be used in a modern economy with current technology. The market correctly valued that the power produced by renewable sources had negative value, yet the producers of renewable energy were paid exactly the same feed-in tariff as they get on a cold windless evening. Doubling renewable energy production will not result in doubling the amount of electricity usefully used by Germany over the course of a year. It will be dumped somewhere in the system. Germany must solve the engineering problems required to efficiently store and recover vast amounts of energy as well as building more renewable energy generating systems to reach its goals.

I'm totally surprised that this is not a major topic of discourse in a country with such a large body of technical talent.

Comment ipod nano gen 5 (Score 1) 267

The iPod nano 5 gen is the peak of their Apples devices. Light, 16 GB, solid, many hours of battery life, awesome click wheel interface but even more awesome is that it is the last iPod that works with libgpod, so you don't need iTunes to run it :-)

*sigh* it was all broken with the ipod nano touch. A truly stupid device and concept. I bought a refurbished gen 5 nano's after washing my old ipod.

BTW I would never ever buy an iPhone for fear I would have to use iTunes to talk to it.

Comment Re:Why is everyone so obsessed with wireless charg (Score 1) 190

Wireless charging is an awesome feature. Its really easy to slot my Nexus 5 in and out of the cradle of my car system. Bingo! No fiddling to things connected etc. I can't believe they dropped the feature. My partner has an iPhone 6P and she's really jealous she can't do that with a phone that costs 3 time more than mine.

Comment How many cycles? (Score 1) 214

This could truly revolutionary but they left out some really important information. The most relevant is how many full-depletion cycle can it take?

To see why lets assume the battery can supply 3000 full-depletion cycles (The A123 batteries did). Then our generic $100, 1 KWHr battery can deliver 3000 KWHr of electricity on demand.

So that is $100.00/(3000 KWHr) = $0.03 / KWHr or 3 cents per KWHr

That is way less than a gas-fired peaking power plant. So if these guys can pull off 3000 cycles at $100 per KWHr they'll create a 100 billion dollar per year market and won't be able to keep up with demand.

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