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Comment I see no conspiracy (Score 1) 555

Hey, conspiracies are fun - I'll be the first to admit that. However, look at some of the changes in the past decade that could effect polling: 1. More people vote absentee. I would bet there is a selection bias between those who vote absentee and those who don't. (Oregon excluded.) 2. More people use cell phones. These are not (I believe) targeted for phone polls. If you polled people with cell phones and those without, I bet there is a significant difference in the two samples. 3. If you look at the districts who adopt the electronic voting machines, they are not randomly drawn. Another selection bias. Also, A. If you look at the districts where the exit polls were most "wrong", they were almost all performed by college-aged girls. B. Given the rabid, public criticism of Bush, I would wager there were some people who would vote for Bush and not admit it to even their spouses because they didn't want to listen to hours of "Bush is responsible for global warming, world hunger, and the wide use of Windows." Just my $2. (Inflation)

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