Forgot your password?
typodupeerror

Comment Very small effect (Score 2) 232

From the abstract:
"The proportion of individuals with COVID-like symptoms was 7.62% (N=13,273) in the intervention arm and 8.62% (N=13,893) in the control arm."

That is a difference of 620 persons out of ~27,000.

Since the intervention in this case was multiple measures related to promoting masking and proper mask wearing, this suggest that mask policies may have only very small effects in reducing symptomatic COVID cases. I don't think it means that masks don't matter, but I don't see any standout evidence from this study that mandating masks or shaming non-compliant persons will make a dramatic difference.

This study appears to support the idea that while masks may be important in certain conditions and demographics, they will not dramatically change the long-term numbers of COVID infections. I don't think that a 10% reduction in seroprevalence is a game changer.

Comment Re:misleading troll (Score 1) 311

Calling this study "anti-vaccine bullshit" is anti-science.

The study authors are evaluating an important question that many, many people are curious about. Namely, do people who have previously been infected with SARS-CoV2 need a vaccine?

This is a crucial question because it will provide guidance on how to distribute vaccines to the billions of people around the world who are still desperately waiting for them. It is foolish to waste vaccine doses on already vaccinated people (and probably people who have recovered from previous SARS-CoV2 infections) IF those people are not at risk.

Vaccines are precious and important resources. Everyone should be motivated to use them as wisely as possible.

Comment Re:Numbers, please (Score 2) 311

From the paper (p 12):

"Overall, 673,676 MHS members 16 years and older were eligible for the study group
of fully vaccinated SARS-CoV-2-naïve individuals; 62,883 were eligible for the study
group of unvaccinated previously infected individuals and 42,099 individuals were
eligible for the study group of previously infected and single-dose vaccinees."

"In model 1, we matched 16,215 persons in each group. Overall, demographic
characteristics were similar between the groups, with some differences in their
comorbidity profile (Table 1a)."

"During the follow-up period, 257 cases of SARS-CoV-2 infection were recorded, of
which 238 occurred in the vaccinated group (breakthrough infections) and 19 in the
previously infected group (reinfections). After adjusting for comorbidities, we found a
statistically significant 13.06-fold (95% CI, 8.08 to 21.11) increased risk for
breakthrough infection as opposed to reinfection (P0.001). Apart from age 60
years, there was no statistical evidence that any of the assessed comorbidities
significantly affected the risk of an infection during the follow-up period (Table 2a)."

"Nine cases of COVID-19-related hospitalizations were recorded, 8 of which were in
the vaccinated group and 1 in the previously infected group (Table S1). No COVID-
19-related deaths were recorded in our cohorts."

This data shows several important phenomenon: 1) for this population, "natural immunity" provided much greater protection against new infections than the vaccine, 2) the vaccine protected 673,438 (99.9% of vaccinated people!) from getting infected, 3) both vaccinated and "natural immunity" patients have extremely low rates of severe COVID symptoms so most people in either of those categories don't really need to worry about getting infected.

So, the obvious conclusions are that the vaccine is wonderful and provides excellent protection but that people who have already been infected are at very low risk of new infections. This is great news for everyone since it would suggest that a combination of vaccinations and people who have recovered from COVID will keep new infection rates very low. It also suggests that while vaccines are the best route for protection, there is no need to brow-beat people who already recovered from COVID and are refusing vaccines. They are very unlikely to get re-infected so (for now) it doesn't matter if they aren't vaccinated.

Obligatory caveats: this is one study from one population (Israel), it has not yet been peer-reviewed, and it is from a limited time frame. We won't know for many months exactly how it translates to the rest of the world but it does demonstrate that there is reason for optimism.

Comment Re:Andre Norton (Score 1) 726

Since noone has bothered to mention her juveniles. Time Traders, first three or four novels, Witch World, most, if not all of them Almost any of the stories that mention the Dipple, though you'll probably have to explain that part to him (or might have to have someone explain it to you, if you're young enough for an 8-year-old son still). Not sure whether her post atomic war stories (Stars Are Ours, Star Man's Son, etc) would fit within his worldview (it's been a very long time since that was a big concern), but the stories are reasonably entertaining, usually involving a teenage boy as protagonist....

I have many fond memories of reading every single Andre Norton book I could find as a pre-teen and younger teenager. I still enjoy re-reading some of those from time to time. Great suggestion.

Submission + - Senators Want Secret Warrantless Wiretap Renewal (techdirt.com)

An anonymous reader writes: A group of Senators are meeting in secret today, while most people are focused on the "debt ceiling" issue, in order to try to rush through a renewal of the FISA Amendments Act, which expressly allowed warrantless wiretapping in the US. The law isn't set to expire until next year, but some feel that the debt ceiling crisis is a good distraction to pass the extension without having to debate the issue in public. The meeting is being held in secret, but it's not classified, so people can demand to know how their Senator voted.
NASA

Submission + - NASA's Stunning Close-up Photos of Comet Hartley 2 (foxnews.com)

Velcroman1 writes: A NASA spacecraft has beamed back the first close-up photos from its rendezvous with a comet — and the images show an ice ball that looks like a giant chicken drumstick, or perhaps a peanut or bowling pin. Deep Impact zoomed to within 435 miles (700 kilometers) of Comet Hartley 2 at 10:01 EDT (1401 GMT) this morning (Nov. 4), and the probe beamed down the first close-up shots an hour later. Cheers erupted in the Mission Control room of NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory as five high-resolution images flashed up on a big screen. In the photos, the comet, which is about 1 mile (1.6 km) wide, looks like a big chicken drumstick, or a peanut.
Transportation

Submission + - Mazda's New Engine Gets 70 MPG WITHOUT a Hybrid (greencarreports.com)

thecarchik writes: There’s no word on when the new version of the Mazda2 will finally reach the U.S. but when it does we can reveal that it will return a fuel economy of 70 mpg--without the aid of any electric motors. This is because the car will feature Mazda’s next-generation of drivetrain, body and chassis technologies, dubbed SKYACTIV.The new Mazda 2 will come powered by a SKYACTIV-G engine, Mazda's next-generation direct injection gasoline mill that achieves significantly improved fuel efficiency thanks to a high compression ratio of 14.0:1 (the world’s highest for a production gasoline engine). In addition to the improved fuel economy, Mazda also claims that the higher compression ratio enables more torque, especially at lower to mid-range engine speeds, which should make the car a whole lot more fun to drive around the town.
Transportation

Submission + - Why Silicon Valley Won’t be the Green Car De (greencarreports.com)

thecarchik writes: NPR boldly pronounced, "The new automobile of the 21st century is likely to benefit from the culture of Silicon Valley, where people are used to taking a chip, a cell or an idea and working on it until it becomes something big." We’ve thought about it for a year, and discussed it with many people. And we don’t believe it. Silicon Valley is the wrong place to build an auto industry, for three main reasons.

Comment Re:And? (Score 1) 225

As a business whose sole existence is to make money and pay their shareholders, is anyone surprised at this?

Just a reminder that any business that does not have profit as their sole purpose will not stay in business very long. That doesn't mean that business = evil, but it's good to remember that the purpose of a business is to make a profit. Nothing else. Overall I agree with your point though. I'm generally against more regualtions, but this is a good example of why they are probably needed in this case.

Slashdot Top Deals

A bug in the code is worth two in the documentation.

Working...