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Comment What to expect... (Score 1) 80

There are a lot of predictions from different people, who all agree pretty much on one point: the best chances for increased activity is around 4:45 GMT on the 19th, maybe a little later (up to 6:30 GMT). That's the 'easy' part...

The hard part is to predict how many meteors there will be. The more optimistic predictions say something like 2 per minute at the time of the maximum. Still a pretty good show I'd say...

The sad news is that most of the meteors are expected to be rather faint. No big fireball show like in 1998 this time... Luckily it's near new moon, so that sometimes annoyingly bright thing won't bother us this year, but still you should find a dark spot as far away as possible from bright light sources (street lights, cities, ...)

Btw, the International Meteor Organization collects observation reports. Check http://www.imo.net/visual for an explanation of the observation method and http://www.imo.net/visual/report/electronic for the report form.

Conclusion: it's nothing like the magnificient outbursts we had between 1998 and 2002 (which sometimes had thousands of meteors per hour), but it's still a good chance to see some meteors.

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