Comment bad models (Score 1) 882
The main reason my late dad among other two dozen top meteorologists signed that letter to a prior POTUS Bush (Barbara's husband) not to sign Kyoto agreement, as he explained to me, has been that we simply do not know. We would not probably know it for a very long time to come, more likely in our lifetime than not. The atmosphere and the ocean are too complex objects and the data cannot be reliably gathered, as one cannot get vertical data everywhere.
And as far as 'global warming' or 'global cooling' crowds are concerned, they are not really taken seriously, as the models they are running and base their conclusions on, are very well known to be inacurate compared to the real thing. The data that needs to be gathered from all over the globe including oceans and atmospheric layers up and down to feed these models is simply not available and would like not be available.
So it is a bogus, and "everybody knows the books are cooked".