Comment Soon because desktop computer can do AGI (Score 2) 49
I suspect it will be soon, because powerful desktop computers probably can already do AGI.
Eliezer Yudkowsky predicted that a superintelligent AGI could be done on a "home computer from 1995" https://intelligence.org/2022/...
Steve Byrnes predicted (with 75% probability) that human equivalent AGI could be done with 10^14 FLOP/S and 16 GiB of RAM https://www.alignmentforum.org...
I have done some back of the envelope calculations and think 500 GFLOP/S and 1 GiB of RAM could probably create an independence gaining AGI. https://www.researchgate.net/p...
So I think it is just a matter of figuring out the computer program to do so.