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Comment Re:Please help (Score 1) 35

A lot of us who were around for early Bitcoin have similar stories. The thing is, I neverwould have held them until they were worth "$1 million or $2 million" because I didn't believe in it. Neither did you. If you hadn't sold them at $650, you would have sold them at $6,500. And if you didn't sell them then, you sure as heck would have sold them at $65,000. And so forth. Yes, if you still had your 50 bitcoin, you'd be retired. But also if you bought and held Apple through the pre-iPhone years. Or if you'd shorted Enron.

Comment Re: Difference? (Score 1) 84

At the moment an AGI is at most 2 years away, by any way you would like to measure it.

This seems to be the talking point in the public and the media, but it's far from consensus among the people who work on these things. The functionality you see from ChatGPT and the others right now does not extrapolate into the features that many people want to believe are coming. And, of course, there's no shortage of people with a financial stake in the current tools proselytizing about it.

But the truth is that LLMs do a great job of *simulating* intelligence. There are a lot of examples of them assembling sophisticated and potentially useful text. There are also a lot of really disingenuous examples of them essentially reproducing information they were given in the chat context that are being presented as examples of great insight (or great error!) These are going to be wildly successful tools for some tasks in some areas, and wholly unsuited for many others - and it won't be a "trivial iteration in the code" to "include the use case."

I think what you're going to see is companies moving the goalposts on the definition of AGI as the limitations of these LLMs start to come into focus and the hype machine has to keep running. So in that regard maybe you're correct. But a generalized, autonomous, learning, multi-tasking, insight-generating AI is still a long way off.

https://www.technologyreview.c...

Comment Re:so much for one of the benefits of bitcoin (Score 1) 76

You’re right if you define “bitcoin” as “bitcoin the platform”, but then who cares? What’s the point of anonymous money transfer that has no context? To have any value at all it has to satisfy a debt, pay for a service, purchase a good, or do something related to human existence. Without that, it’s arguably not even money. Or an asset. Or a store of value. Or whatever. Just signed blobs being shuffled around between owners. So once you define “bitcoin” as “bitcoin the ecosystem”, and then yes, the things you point out ARE bitcoin’s problem. You can’t own the utility of bitcoin while disclaiming the traceability of it.

Comment Re:Current adoption does not support this valuatio (Score 1) 159

Yes, there will be more electric cars in the future, but nowhere near at the level to justify these numbers.

Agreed, if for no other reason than the grid needs serious upgrades in many areas to support them at that scale (looking at you California...)

Comment Re:When the delete costs less than the repair bill (Score 1) 336

Anyway I have no illusions that the guys belching smoke at intersections are doing it to save on repair bills.

In my experience as a diesel truck enthusiast, this is the reason about half the time. DEF system breaks, truck goes into limp mode, and the cost to delete is less than or equal to the cost of repair. May as well delete and get the extra benefits.

Comment Re:I thought they are not the same thing (Score 1) 325

and then are given the impossible task of fairly and consistently applying some cleanup rules afterwards

No, they are not. They choose to do so, and thus assume the burden of doing so fairly and consistently. Section 230 allows them to remove user content without libel, it does not require it.

Comment But the states! (Score 1) 1430

I wonder which elector he would have vote against the candidate chosen by the will of the people in his or her own state. That's kind of the point. And this business about Wyoming voters having more than one vote kills me. By that logic they have more than one vote on everything that passes through the Senate as well.

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