Comment Re:A bit self-defeating (Score 1) 301
Reading up on the Wikipedia article on this guy...
But his thesis is that such events are fundamentally unpredictable. If he made a fortune, it means _he_ was able to predict it, well enough to profit for it. Which argues not that the events are unpredictable, but rather that his model is better.
His thesis is not that he can predict when Black Swans will happen. Just that eventually they will.
His trading method, which is definitely unorthodox, is to steadi