Reminds of Jean Baudrillard, the philosopher who predicted representations of reality replacing reality, leaving the *desert of the real* (source of The Matrix quote) behind. Except it has reached a new level, where more abstract representations are replacing lesser ones:

* Simulation is the situation created by any system of signs when it becomes sophisticated enough, autonomous enough, to abolish its own referent and to replace it with itself *

I will believe it when the costs of anything produced that way actually come down. The overall trend prices reveal (long before AI) is the redirection of money toward vertically integrated walled gardens which produce in narrow niche but do not work broadly, or complete BS.

The main thing is Silicon Valley is incredibly resistant to supply chains that are not vertically integrated. Bot arms and actuators need to laterally integrate with a bunch of handheld power tools and heavy equipment the companies already have and be remote controlled and overseen by people they already employ. Silicon Valley will not even let people really own their own phones, let alone bots, so they will stay in their risk averse isolation, playing the safe arenas.

Oops, typo. UNTIL it can replace dangerous nasty jobs it is a BS machine and cannot cut any hours people would actually want cut.

My theory is all the jobs Ai replaces are BS anyway. Consider this, in 1950 an entry level construction worker made minimum wage, $1/hr which entitled him to 1/8000th of a median $8000 house. Today he makes $20/hr, which entitles him to 1/20,000th of median $400,000 house. In every single productive basic life field itâ(TM)s the same, both for workers and businesses, the share they get of what the life basics they produce is less, even as efficiency producing them increases.

The reason why is an ever growing amount of people do bullshit for a living, which does not contribute to anything real people need and this is the fundamental arena where AI works. Things like making copy no one reads that looks legit at quick glance. Zero value added, but it is a paying job.

It is also why AI cannot replace any of the dangerous gross jobs people actually want replaced: mining, road crew, caregiving, janitorial, etc. instead it replaces creative writing, art, music, the things people like doing but don not have tangible metrics of success except that it looks like art or sounds like music.

So bottom line, once AI can build houses, clean bathrooms, assist seniors with body care, it is a giant BS machine.

It is really stunning to go back to people like Euler and see how brilliant they were before they had computers. So much of math was invented from avoiding tedious calculation.

But the hard truth is that mathematician may be another fleeting job of history. Think of the genius that went into violin making, glass work, all these fields before industrial processes replaced them. How valuable was a top 10,000 piano virtuoso in 1730, before we could just listen to beat one recorded? So many unique and valuable geniuses just erased. But at the end of the day, humans just need food and shelter. Love of math, like love of piano, will not die but social need will.

The strange thing is how many people are still choking in mines wondering when the roof will cave in, still wiping butts in nursing homes, still risking life and limb fighting fires. The social perception of valuable math genius robbed some of their heaven and left others in hell.

Probably some Epstein class hacker who picked his name in the first place.

Why would you trust a company who wants to do this to NOT be going through your garbage, reading every letter and compiling dossiers?

Exactly. The government does develop technology, like Siri at IARPA and it hands it out to billionaires in private sector (Apple)

Bond: You expect me to use your data centers?

Villain: No mister Bond, I expect to make use of your data!

The cloud model they are pushing is about data collection.

Regressing on open source is exactly the plan, pushing the industry toward Chinese models and yelling about national security, and needing government intervention to support their business, that is the playbook.

I was an essential worker during Covid, and I got it twice. I was just never the same after, spacy forgetful, all kinds of problems. At work I was top tier before, but had problems after. Like I hyper aged from COVID or something. I wouldnâ(TM)t underestimate the amount of people who are actually messed up as workers from that.

It is actually pretty deep with AI. Long ago here I was writing about how memory that minimizes erasure should use less energy than flash memory with its erase cycles, and that is what MRAM does. Spin changes only consume energy with bit change instead of full erase voltage discharge. (Landauerâ(TM)s principle) If you look a brain architecture (20 watts) vs AI simulations (200,000 watts to do similar) on difference is the brain maximizes non erasure. Thoughts are combinatorics selections that fire others based off learned weights. Only in learning (weight change) are things erased. The computed simulation of the same erases from processors with each step. So thereâ(TM)s that. Then the other thing is for general compute, AI is a statistical stochastic process modeled deterministically with fake randomness added. There is probably a way energy cheaper way to do it using natural noise and randomness.

The computer architecture we use for AI given what it does and how much of it is probabilistic is really dumb and wasteful, spintronics is one candidate to speed it up if a few problems are solved.

No, we were/are screwed. The 4 women with 5 kids is misleading, with their husbands it is 8 people with 5 kids. Replacement with no growth is 2.1, which suggests 9 children for 8 people or 4 women, and 1 will not breed or die. This is a long term leading indicator for population collapse (still rising due to boomers living long) and GDP collapse, and concentration of national debt to unsustainable levels, not to mention collapse of social security, etc.

Expect the stock market and k-shaped economy to keep going up, as claims of investors parasitize productive workers more and more. They call it Late Capitalism. We are actually toast. Meet Jesus and read Marx.

Yeah, that is correct. People are choosing not to have kids. Fertility rate is medical.