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Comment Re: Impressive (Score 1) 146

It is much easier to blast a path across your country for a new train line when you own all the land and can simply kick the people out and bulldoze anything in your way.

Most countries, including the US, have eminent domain laws that allow the government to take over private property to make way for infrastructure projects, so that's not a valid excuse for why the US can no longer build infrastructure.

In China, on the other hand, you regularly have projects held up by property owners who refuse to move in a phenomenon known as "nail houses", with roads and highways either being blocked or forced to be re-routed around such "nail houses".

Comment Re:If it's reported _here_... (Score 1) 53

...it's hardly clandestine.

To be fair, the headline refers to it as being done “secretively”, as in, trying to keep it a secret, rather than saying it was done “secretly”, as in, successfully kept it a secret. But yeah, calling it clandestine right after that is a bit much.

Perhaps you missed the following in the summary

... the China Aerospace Science and Technology Corp. (CASC) announced. ...

Publicly announcing something is the exact opposite of "clandestine" or "secretive".

Comment Re:More context (Score 2) 54

And the reason for #2 is that their crew module does not have the maneuverability and / or the life support duration to allow a longer path to the space station. It sounds like their margins are razor thin, and there are probably many others we aren't aware of.

There have been previous Shenzhou missions that spent several weeks in space, so maneuverability and/or life support duration is not the reason for the short time interval between launch and docking. Indeed, in the previous Shenzhou 9, 10, and 11 missions that docked with the Tiangong 1 and Tiangong2 trial stations, the docking all took place more than a day after launch.

Comment Re:21,477 coronavirus deaths in NYC so far (Score 1) 151

These are only the coronavirus deaths in NYC. NYC suburbs like Nassau and Westchester counties are counted separately and they also have high numbers of deaths.

Also, the actual NYC population right now is likely quite a bit less than the 8.4 million estimate from before the pandemic. Large numbers of New Yorkers have fled the city and many apartment buildings in Manhattan are half empty.

Comment 21,477 coronavirus deaths in NYC so far (Score 4, Interesting) 151

That's about 0.26% of NYC's entire population of 8.4 million people. So even if all of NYC is infected, the infection fatality rate is still at least 0.26%. Antibody tests taken from NYC grocery store customers have ~20% positive rate. Assuming that's representative of the entire population, the actual NYC infection fatality rate is ~1.3%.

Comment Re:That all (Score 1) 258

I do have experience with forecasting and understand exponential and logistic growth curves.

Unfortunately, most people are not like you and find exponential growth unintuitive. For a disease that doubles every 3 days when uncontrolled like covid19, delaying action by 3 days means you'll end up with double the number of cases and deaths, and delaying by 10 days means you'll have ~10x the number of cases and deaths. The total number of cases/deaths will change dramatically with just a slight change in how quickly and decisively a country takes action to control the spread of the disease.

Did China act more quickly and decisively than the countries that are struggling with it now? Absolutely. When China put Wuhan into lockdown on Jan 23 and the rest of the country a few days later, western media and governments mostly focused on criticizing China's measures as violations of personal freedoms and human rights and doubting the necessity of the measures due to the small number of cases/deaths in China at the time. Instead, our political leaders and officials should have been paying attention to the rapid exponential growth of covid19, which is the key piece of information regarding the spread of an infectious disease.

Now, these same political leaders and officials are blaming China for misleading them, despite the fact that the rate of growth in case numbers reported by China almost perfectly matches those seen 6~8 weeks later in other countries.

https://aatishb.com/covidtrend...

Politicians who claim that they were misled by China's relatively low total numbers are either still missing the point about exponential growth or are simply making excuses for their lack of action. What makes this worse is that many of our political leaders clearly understood the danger early on, as evidenced by them selling their stock portfolios in February after CDC briefings. They took action to protect their own wealth but did not bother to do anything to save the lives of the people they were supposed to lead.

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