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Comment Re:It's true it can't lose (Score 1) 636

These are new times in warfare

Well, actually, there's nothing new and revolutionary about this whole guerilla style of fighting. During WW2 Yugoslav partizans managed to liberate most of Yugoslavia by themselves using only guerilla tactics against German and Italian occupators and domestic collaborators. Actually, the same territory was problematic for conventional armies ever since the Roman times (Illyricum was never a Senate province), because of various technological levels of guerilla warfare.

Guerilla warfare is about morale as much as it is in unpredictable damage. You can predict in a conventional battle what kind of losses you might take. With that in mind, you can plan your moves. Guerilla means you might lose a shipment of food or fuel for some troops, a communications link, a truck or a single tank or anything else, and watches and guards have very little effect on such losses. An obvious economical calculation goes in favour of guerilla warfare: how much does an improvised piece of explosive cost in terms of a truckload of fuel? Any at-all-organized guerilla force can plant such a device with almost the freedom of location as that of an airstrike.

One might find a similarity with chaos theory here. Guerilla is about chaos, it resides in chaos and pulls towards chaos, although somewhat controlld chaos. Conventional warfare is about predictability and global strategies. If you're facing a guerilla threat, there's no point in looking at a global map and representing your army divisions as if playing Risk.

'ave fun!

sm

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