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Comment Re:Algorithm (Score 5, Informative) 95

Imagine three very similar scenarios:

1 The landlords get together over meal, negotiate prices: "I want to charge at least $2000/month for a one-bedroom..."
2 The landlords all call "Vinnie" for pricing advice: "Hey Vinnie, what's the going rate for a one-bedroom?..." Vinnie knows what everyone else is charging, so the landlords all ask the same rent.
3 Replace Vinnie with Vinnie-5000, basically a bot that suggests rents: "VINNIE-5000 recommends you charge $2000 for a one-bedroom."

All three scenarios are examples of collusion. The fact that we replaced person-to-person negotiation with a machine doesn't change the collusion part.

Before RealPage, standard practice for big landlords was to try to keep all their units rented as much as possible, discounting rents as necessary to get or keep tenants. RealPage takes the opposite tack: RP advises landlords what to charge, and RP advises landlords to stay firm on rents: no discounts. Existing long-term (e.g. desirable) tenants get the the same rent increases as a just-vacated unit. Result: renters see the same pricing everywhere, because the landlords are colluding. Existing tenants outraged by a rent increase won't leave, because they can't find a better deal anywhere else. Over time, rents are ratcheted up, and landlords make more $$$.

Here's yet another way to look at it: Why would all the big landlords in a given city agree to pay RP for "advice" about rents? Could it be that landlords make more $$$ using RP?

Comment Re:Where's the Water, Gavin? (Score 0) 203

https://pjmedia.com/victoria-t...

We thought it was terrible when Newsom and the previous Democrat tenant of the governor's mansion, Jerry Brown, forsook food and water for people to send millions of acre feet per day of fresh water into the salty ocean, during droughts and rainy days alike, to save a bait fish.

Per NY Times regarding LA County “The bulk of the roughly $1 billion collected from Los Angeles County taxpayers over the past four years to store more water has gone largely unspent.“ $1 billion taken, they dump water then we get placed on water restrictions.

What does this have to do with the fires in L.A.? This is a made-up MAGA narrative of nonsense crafted to enrage the faithful. If CA allocated more water to Big Ag, that would make the Republicans happy, but how would that improve firefighting in Los Angeles?

The hydrants in Pacific Palisades are fed from three, one-million-gallon, tanks in the hills above. Firefighters have been draining the system faster than the pumps can refill the tanks. The system was designed decades ago, long before climate change was understood.

CA reservoirs are all at historically high levels. There's plenty of water in L.A., they just can't pump it up to the Palisades fast enough.

Comment Re:congress shall make no law (Score 1) 134

I don't understand. On one hand you agree that the Constitution does not apply to foreign states and on the other hand you state there is no exception in the first amendment for hostile foreign governments? Not sure how to parse this?

Yes. Exactly. The First Amendment restricts our Congress from abridging speech, or "the press." I don't see an exception for "press (or a website) owned by a hostile government."

The issue is the nexus to Chinese government not TikTok itself. Selling TikTok to someone else... say a US or European buyer would address the legal problems.

If the First Amendment has an exception for a "hostile foreign government," howabout an exception for a "hostile domestic newspaper?" If Biden can do this to tiktok, because tiktok's owner is "hostile," then can Trump do the same to the NYTimes, because "the NYTimes is hostile" to Trump?

Comment Re:congress shall make no law (Score 1) 134

The US constitution does not extend to foreign states...

I agree. However, the First Amendment says only that our Congress "shall make no law...abridging the freedom of speech, or of the press..." I see no exception for speech or "press" from hostile foreign governments.

And, yes, China is a hostile foreign government. Don't get me wrong; I don't approve of Xi, or the Chinese government, or the Great Firewall, and I don't use tiktok. I'm not terribly fond of Facebook or X, either. (I am a bit partial to Slashdot...) And, for the sake of discussion, let's agree that China pushes propaganda via tiktok.

My concern is: if our Federal Government can ban tiktok, can the same logic be used to ban Facebook, or the NYTimes, or X, or Slashdot?

Comment Re:congress shall make no law (Score 1) 134

TikTok just weeks ago tilted the Romanian elections to a Nazi whacknut before the results were annulled by the courts on the grounds of interference.

Doesn't that also happen on Facebook?

https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2022/01/04/facebook-election-misinformation-capitol-riot/

Alternatively, would the Romania elections problem "go away" if tiktok wasn't Chinese?

Comment Re:congress shall make no law (Score 1) 134

The same way they can shut down a pirate radio station, guy.

The right to free speech does not include the right to a platform. That much should be clear after years of cancel culture.

I'm skeptical of the "pirate radio" comparison; radio involves finite, shared radio spectrum, and if it wasn't regulated, it would devolve into chaos, and become unusable. And "unusable" is definitely not in the public interest. I see no First Amendment issue here.

Comment Re:congress shall make no law (Score 1) 134

Freedom of speech is not the freedom to do as you please so long as it is conducted by speaking. For example a hostile foreign power conducting information warfare against the US is an act distinct from speaking.

In this case the issue is unambiguously not freedom of speech as evidenced by the fact TikTok would be allowed to continue if China divests.

Can you point out an example of information warfare? What has tiktok done?

I'll note that I'm no fan of the Chinese government, nor do I use tiktok. But I don't understand why is tiktok illegal if it is owned by the Chinese government, but legal if owned by somebody else?

This just "feels like" a do-over of Shenck vs. U.S. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... .

Comment congress shall make no law (Score 2) 134

I still don't understand how the federal government can ban tiktok when the government is restricted by the First Amendment:

Congress shall make no law respecting an establishment of religion, or prohibiting the free exercise thereof; or abridging the freedom of speech, or of the press; or the right of the people peaceably to assemble, and to petition the Government for a redress of grievances.

https://www.npr.org/2024/05/14/1251086753/tiktok-ban-first-amendment-lawsuit-free-speech-project-texas

https://knightcolumbia.org/content/knight-institute-comments-on-challenge-to-federal-tiktok-ban

https://www.techdirt.com/2024/12/06/dc-circuit-upholds-tiktok-ban-in-alarming-ruling-claiming-it-actually-enhances-free-speech/

Comment Re:Problem identified (Score 1) 310

I believe that's what Pacific Gas and Electric ("PG&E") charges for gas and electricity.

PG&E covers most of California, including most of the SF Bay Area, and much of the outer-LA area, plus most of the huge areas in betwee. There are other companies in southern CA: Southern Edison, San Diego Gas & Electric. I assume these others charge less than PG&E.

Better than those are the municipal power outfits. In the Silicon Valley, the cities of Santa Clara ("Silicon Valley Power") and (I believe) Palo Alto have their own municipal, non-profit power companies for electricity. There's SMUD in Sacramento, and REU in Redding. Los Angeles has their Department of Water and Power ("DWP").

I don't know what Santa Clara, Palo Alto, or Los Angeles charge, but I assume it's less than PG&E. Last I checked, SMUD uses time-of-day metering, so charges vary, but IIRC, SMUD tops out around $0.36/kWh in the evening. Redding does not have time-of-day metering, and charges $0.15/kWh all the time.

I believe part of the reason that PG&E is so expensive is the legal settlements they paid after their equipment failures caused some forest fires and 85 people died ( https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... ). PG&E declared bankruptcy over that ( https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... ). Also, PG&E went bankrupt years ago as an unintentional side-effect of some badly-drafted deregulation imposed by the state ( https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... ).

Interestingly, AFAIK, none of those municipal utilities supply gas. PG&E supplies the natural gas in most of CA.

Comment Re:except that cold deaths are 9x more (Score 1) 161

I looked at the first linked article, and it refers to research (that I didn't look at) that correlated temperature with death rates. Many temperature/death-rate graphs were shown, each with a local "death minima," at that "just right" temperature where death is minimized.

The linked article makes no attempt to show that "cold days cause more death"; it just shows that "cold days correlate with more death." It might be (speculating here) that there are simply more cold days every year than "just right" or "too hot" temperature days. The linked article didn't say.

We're all well aware that hot weather will cause more death. The linked article does not show that cold weather causes more death, nor that warming will lower death rates.

Comment Re:Probably going to be better than CA (Score 1) 58

First: Thank you for pointing this out. I've been a TT customer for years, and I was blissfully unaware of this. This may explain some of the spam I've been receiving recently.

I use TurboTax because my taxes are a bit more complicated than most. Yes, I could study the IRS forms and do it all myself, but that's another cost. TurboTax is a good deal for me; if I hired a CPA, I'd be spending about $1k every year.

But I didn't know about TT snarfing and sharing my credit report.

Are you aware of any tax-prep software that doesn't snarf&share my personal info?

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