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Comment Re:Death numbers. (Score 1) 164

Yep, and if the studies that imply that for every 1 we find there are at least 6 more that go undiscovered then we are seeing the death rate much lower than usual flu like problem that we don't bat and eye out.

I am pretty sure we would do the exact same thing for the flu where it not for the fact that we largely have develop some from of herd immunity to it. 0.1% mortality would still mean hundreds of thousands of deaths in the US.

Comment Re:Death numbers. (Score 2) 164

Looks like 1-14 days from infections to symptoms with a peak at 5 days. https://www.who.int/news-room/...

In China there are reports that it takes 7 - 14 days from symptoms until ICU admission (for non-survivors) and 3-11 days from ICU admission to death (table 3). https://www.thelancet.com/jour...

From Italy there is data that from ICU admission to death take about 10-12 days and recovery takes even longer with 15 days. https://www.esahq.org/esa-news...

So that would be 11-39 days from infection to death with a median probably somewhere around 3 weeks.

Comment Re:Death numbers. (Score 1) 164

Looking at Italy the death toll related to covid (JHU: 15362) is already 2.4% of the total of all death from all causes of the whole (!) year 2018 (633133 deaths).

If you assume their peak death toll is around 900 death per day that translates to 1.5 covid related deaths per day and 100k population. Where the 2018 average of all causes is 2.6 deaths per day and 100k population.

Spain is similar if not worse averaging 2.5 death per day and 100k population in 2018 (423636 deaths), and their peak on thursday of 950 death translates to 2.0 covid related deaths per day and 100k population.

Comment Re:"Lost month"? (Score 2) 412

It is not like the individual members just decided to block the export. That export block is the EU response: https://eur-lex.europa.eu/lega...

My understanding is that these export blocks also work more like giving the government authorization to regulate the trade much more closely than actually blocking export of surplus material within the EU.

Also don't forget there are a number of patients airlifted from Italy. The latest I read was there were/are 73 critical patients evacuated from Italy to Germany and around 30 with a further 20 planned critical patients from France.

Comment Re:American problem is American (Score 1) 441

Or it might be that in the EU workers also spent time not working ...

Let's compare the working times [1]:
United States 1,790 hours work / year
Germany 1,371 hours work / year

And Productivity [2]:
United States $ 68.3 GDP / hour
Germany $ 65.5 GDP / hour

Not that much of a difference ... and the time off is totally worth it :) [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... [2] http://time.com/4621185/worker...

Comment Re: one of the biggest issues with 'tech' movies (Score 1) 73

I have not seen the movie but a bank transfer with a progress bar that takes minutes does not sound unrealistic. Banking systems are highly distributed and need a high level assurance/consistency. Not so long ago an actual (inter-bank) transfer (e.g. within Germany) would only be done overnight, hours after it has been booked internally. The progress bar could represent all the different synchronization steps ...

Comment Re:Kind of a small startup for statistics (Score 1) 80

25 and 7. I guess that they claim that the applicants numbers count, because "[...] Asian applicants were routinely eliminated during the resume screen and telephone interview phases despite being as qualified as white applicants [...]". https://www.dol.gov/sites/defa...

Comment Re:guilty! (Score 2) 80

One of their claims is that from 730 "qualified" applicants for positions as QA Engineer only one Asian were hired and six non-Asian. Even though 77% of applicants were Asian.
So they do not claim that the hirings should be representative of "the population", just that this is an unlikely outcome for a discrimination free selection (actually they claim a chance of 1 in 741).

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