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Comment Earth's Energy Balance (Score 1) 1039

Your argument that the Earth's heat must be stored someplace strikes me as a logical fallacy. We really do not know enough about the energy balance to draw any conclusions; but the basic assumption in any energy-balance calculation is that heat in minus heat out equals net energy absorption, which is proportional to temperature increase. If the temperature of the Earth stops rising, then the assumption would be that more heat is being dissipated. The global warming theory assumes that increased greenhouse gas causes less heat to be dissipated. If temperature stops increasing while CO2 continues to increase, that proves- as much as anything in this sphere can be proved, which is not very much- that CO2 does not control temperature. This is already proved in many ways. Over the past 3000 years, there is no correlation between CO2 and temperature. The current warming trend began before the Industrial Revolution, and most of the warming since 1800 had already occured before CO2 began to increase. As CO2 began to increase, temperature decreased from 1940 to 1970. Just as alarmists cried that human emissions were causing global cooling, temperature began to increase. This correlated with changes in the solar cycle. The temperature profile since 1940 also correlates with changes in the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation. Our first suspicion should be that the Oscillation and the temperature are both correlated with solar cycle. There is a very strong correlation between temperature and solar cycle, on every time scale: millennia, centuries, and decades. In "Daggers Are Drawn Over Revived Cosmic Ray- Climate Link", Science 319 (2008), p144, Jacobo Pasotti references a paper in "Earth and Planetary Science Letters", by geophysicist Vincent Courillot, director of the Institut de Physique du Globe in Paris. Courillot and coworkers have published a very strong correlation between the Earth's geomagnetic field, solar irradiance, and 20th century global temperature. There is evidence that the Sun is entering a phase of reduced irradiation. Solar cycle 24 is behind schedule, which indicates we are entering a new little ice age. None of this can support a definite prediction; but past climate patterns predict global cooling for several decades, bottoming out at a temperature slighty below 1776, the low point of the last Little Ice Age. See the following link: http://www.lavoisier.com.au/papers/Conf2007/Archibald2007.pdf Global warming is beneficial to human life. Cooling is tough, hitting agricultural cycles especially hard.

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