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Comment Re:Honesty... (Score 1) 152

The data seem to indicate Model 3s hold value quite well:
    https://insideevs.com/features...
It may drop with new features as you suggest, but there is also the fact that old cars get features via OTA (very rare for other cars) and that EVs tend to hold up well over time (Tesla's initial quality problems matters less for a vehicle you can inspect before buying).

I don't own an EV but my next car will be one. Right now that means a Tesla unless some competition really improves their game. I considered the first Leaf when it came out but the range wasn't sufficient.

Comment Re:is it though? (Score 2, Insightful) 216

For investing there is a big difference between knowing something is likely vs a sure thing. A quick $2000 stimulus was also a campaign promise, and if you banked on that you lost.

You seem to follow the logic that following the laws and regulations means something is moral:
    "argument that it is immoral ... However, she followed due diligence by reporting ... as required by law"
Some countries have capitol punishment for stealing. Is that then moral?
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

If it's ok she knows for certain other things people could guess, then the SEC should open up insider trading for everyone. Very rarely are announcements made that weren't reasonably likely potential outcomes. As a bonus, making it legal would make it moral -- or did I miss something?

Comment Re:Immune system science (Score 2) 162

Here's a randomized double-blind clinical trial:
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?...
Oh but it's small you say. Did we engage in giant studies before deciding to distance, wash hands, or wear masks? No, we move forward and gain data along the way. Hell, we still clean surfaces despite zero evidence of transmission via surfaces:
    https://www.hsph.harvard.edu/n...

And of course there are a lot of studies and evidence piling up on vitamin D, nearly all pointing in the same direction:
    https://www.youtube.com/c/Camp...

Do you also advocate waiting 3-6 years to make sure the vaccines work, as is typically done? There are times where you want to wait to be 99.9% sure, but there are other times, like in a pandemic where 90% is what you go with to end the predictable known suffering of the alternatives.

Comment Re:The problem with folks pushing Vitamin D (Score 1) 162

"tend" would imply it's more common than not. Also, YouTube is a right-wing rabbit hole, echo chamber, so we should be able to find lots of videos backing up your stance. Let's see:
    https://www.youtube.com/result...
I scrolled through about 100, and none of them make the claim you say supporters "tend" to push.
I see doctors, scientists, a few news items, and random people all saying about the same thing. This could help if you have a vitamin D deficit, in particular as many people spend more time indoors due to lockdowns and winter.

Your argument is about as sound as saying "masks are bad because bank robbers wear them".
And there is truth to what you say regarding the politicization of masks. Not vitamin D though, you're just making it up because you like the sound of that being similar. Let's not politicize it too.

Comment Re:Glad to live in the USA (Score 1) 403

While it is sad how big and inefficiently US presidents travel, it is an extraordinarily dangerous job, perhaps only below being a prosecutor in Latin America going against the cartels. A president has a ~7% chance of dying during a 4-year term.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

Comment Re: Says bloomberg (Score 1) 497

Given that CA's mean wage $75,400 is while Kentucky's is $50,701, isn't that fair? Are we against progressive taxation and some amount of redistribution now? Or should redistribution only be within-state? -- a rather Libertarian argument.

The net (mean wage + per capita inflow) for CA and KY is $75,052 and $56,685, respectively. That pretty much sums up why the working rich would much rather be in CA, NY and similar states even though money is "taken" from them.

I live in CA, and while I don't mind high taxes per se, however they seem to be spending it quite inefficiently. If CA ever loses Silicon Valley, we are quite screwed due to that inefficiency. As Elon Musk summed it up, CA is too used to winning (as it the US in general). Regardless if everything else he says or does is wrong, that quote is spot on.

Comment I predict... (Score 2) 81

I predict the next vaccine will announce 94% effectiveness.

We'll know they are messing with us when someone accidentally claims 102% effectiveness.

Jokes aside, I hope these results hold up under longer analyses, but it's super promising to see what appears to be high-ish confidence that it'll be effective enough (>70%) to drop R0 well under 1.

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