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Comment Criminals don't need an excuse. (Score 1) 93

It's not a stretch to imagine Iran-based threats are motivated by profit more than nationalism. My bet is they are working just as hard now as they did before war and before the ceasefire. Many threat actors, be they nation-state based or just plain old criminals have sophisticated operations. Any company that doesn't have a firewall, monitored endpoint protection, cloud protection, anti-virus, employee education, 24/7 active monitoring, and more is a target that will be compromised sooner or later... if not already.

Comment Re: Thoughts and prayers (Score 1) 86

You're mixing categories to make a point that doesn't really hold up. The Model 3 sits in the midsize EV segment, there are also compact, full-size, luxury, and SUV classes. It's a solid car, but it's not the global benchmark across all segments. There are highly competitive EVs coming out of China that we simply don't see here, largely due to policy and trade barriers, not because there isn't demand. If those cars entered the U.S. market at scale, Tesla would face real competition, and yes, that would put pressure on margins.

On the autonomy side, comparing cars to horses misses the point. Solving full self-driving is a fundamentally harder problem than building a functional internal combustion car ever was. It's not a linear progression, it's an entirely different class of engineering challenge.

Right now, true FSD (meaning a system that can handle the full range of real-world driving scenarios without human intervention) doesn't exist. The SAE levels help frame this: Tesla is operating at Level 2 (driver assistance; steering, acceleration, braking, but constant human supervision required). That's useful tech, but it's not autonomy. Systems like Waymo push closer to Level 3 in constrained environments, but even they rely on human oversight and intervention when edge cases show up.

In short: good progress, but we're not at "human-equivalent driver" yet, and that gap is a lot bigger than people make it sound.

Comment Optimistic at best, Fraud at Worse. (Score 1) 126

And honestly, it is closer to the latter.

$20 billion sounds like a lot until you compare it to the reality of building a modern semiconductor fab. TSMC has already spent several times that on its Arizona fab, and it is still not operating at full capacity.

Why? Because the hard part is not just construction. It is the supply chain.

Take water, for example. Semiconductor manufacturing requires ultra pure water, but water chemistry varies by location. In Phoenix, TSMC had to design and build a bespoke purification system tailored specifically to local conditions. That is not a one off problem. It is the norm.

Or chemicals. The US does not produce some of the ultra pure acids required for advanced chipmaking. Those still have to be imported from Taiwan. And that is just scratching the surface. There are hundreds of highly specialized inputs and processes that have to align perfectly.

This is why ground-up industrial ecosystems are forming around TSMC’s Arizona site, backed by billions in private investment. Suppliers are willing to commit because TSMC has decades of credibility and long term sales already locked in.

So the real question is not whether someone can spend $20 billion (but probably *much* more.)

It is whether they can build and sustain the entire ecosystem required to make that investment actually work.

Ignoring the lack of chip-making talent existing in Elon Musk's companies, Do you really think he can pull that off?

Safe bet: Not a chance.

Comment Re: So ... (Score 3, Informative) 116

Actually, two things: Had that been a spy balloon, it was a gift from heaven for the sigint folks who could mislead it with intentionally fake transmissions. Second, it was large enough that it would have caused damage if it fell on the land. It was not possible to know where it would crash because it was high enough that modelling the tragectory of the fall was not possible with any accuracy. It could have squashed a cow, a building, or a person. Not worth the risk. Oh, and the third thing: In the end, it was a weather balloon, just like China said.

Comment No kidding? (Score 3, Interesting) 59

Whenever I report an obvious fraudulent posting on Facebook Marketplace to Meta, I get a form letter back telling me that the item I reported did not violate their community guidelines. Hmm. New iPad for $20.00 from a user that signed up a month ago. Better yet, make that a couple of dozen listings just like that, all using images scraped from eBay? I'd think Meta would provide much more value to their users if they would prohibit and remove postings like that.

Comment Around the same time as Fusion power. (Score 4, Insightful) 49

Right now we know fusion power exists. All you need to do is look to the sky.

We know general intelligence exists, look in the mirror for an example.

The problem is, we don't know *how* to create sustainable fusion power on Earth with our current technology.

We also don't know *how* the human brain fully works and the mechanics of what makes us self-aware. That makes emulating it impossible.

Both disciplines have a vast amount of resources dedicated to figuring it out.

We can safely say, that we cannot predict when wither will come to fruition.

That leads to the joke, "Fusion power is always 50 years from *any* given point in time."

AGI isn't far behind that.

Comment Reasons to be "Nice" to AI's (Score 2) 105

There is no such thing as the "welfare" of an AI model. Any company "researching" that is simply attempting to chisel investors. Now, there's no doubt AI has become good at emulating the responses a self aware and emotional person would have, but it is, at its core, not self aware.

That does not mean there aren't reasons to act "nice" to an AI. Here's a few I can think of:

- Children are the ultimate emulators. They do and will talk to each other as they hear you talking to an AI. Speaking to an AI in a way you would talk to a person sets a good example for them in developing interactions amongst themselves and others (humans) as they grow.
- Hearing a rude interaction sets the tone for a group. Better to give a positive spin when others are around. Best to keep the habit and try to do that all the time.
- Using natural spoken language makes training and improving the AI model more accurate.

There's more. None is for the well being of the AI, but the welfare of human's exposed to the tech should be what are most concerned about.

Comment Free Speech has Consequences (Score 1) 233

The anonymity of the Internet enables keyboard warriors to write things they never would say in public. It also allows (some) people in public to say things because they can reference what was said on the Internet.

If I am on a web site that's devolved from intelligent discussion to name calling and hatred, I go elsewhere. I take my eyeballs with me too. Advertisers know this. It makes bad business sense to allow a free for all on any social media web site. Those that are trying to do that, see X and Truth Social have seen advertisers leave, or never consider them as a platform to attract new customers.

That comes down to freedom of choice.

You can choose to allow chaos on your web site, I can choose to go to a different one.

Corporations can also choose to advertise on which ever web site they choose. Again, freedom of choice.

Anything else is at best whining and at worst, traitorous.

Comment Re:As a conservative . . . (Score 1) 233

So, I do see "liberal" posts on sites like Facebook getting tagged too.

But that's not the point of it.

1: Sites that allow unregulated posts tend to offend (some) users.
2: Offended users go elsewhere.
3: They take their money with them.
4: Advertisers do not want to be associated with sites that offend.
5: They take their money with them too.

For reference, look at the growing list of companies that no longer post or advertise on X. Also look at the minimal amount of advertising on Truth Social.

Free speech is the foundation of our country, but when it's allowed to devolve into useless name calling and hatred, it's freedom of choice to not support it anymore.

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