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Comment Re:If you think 2008 was bad (Score 2) 51

good foundations, but what happens at scale? how trustworthy are the custodians of stable coins to maintain solvency? if you create a stable coin, and back it with treasuries, which the idea is they are completely safe, right? but what if treasuries become not safe.

just as bank notes were the first abstraction from gold, it seems like this is an abstraction from fiat. bank notes issued against gold had similar governance issues; who verified the gold deposits and that banks couldnt just print more certificates than they could redeem instantly?

i would be desperately concerned about allowing this practice. but it seems like its the direction we're going, which if you game it out long enough it will eventually just explode.

Comment Re:FUD article written on bad foundations (Score 1) 91

i appreciate your engagement. i checked the links provided and they are more self-referential "research". there's no real study behind any of these "analysis" beyond what i would call napkin math of taking a series of estimates to emerge with a cost to mine bitcoin.

for example, very simplistically, you can take guess at the cost to mine using the mining rate of a typical miner and multiply that by the cost of electricity, and then obfuscate that behind some more hogwash, but that simplistic analysis is grossly inaccurate because it assumes that all miner's are using the same electricity rate. for example, bitcoin thrives on cheap electricity. cheap electricity comes from lost or stranded sources and contributes to the hashrate.

there are also power sharing agreements in place where bitcoin miners operate as a consumer of last resort and turn themselves off when the grid demands them to.

in the end, what im saying is the original article has no citation and there is no good study that concludes with any accuracy whatsoever what the cost to mine a bitcoin really is. you can guess at it, but you'll never know. the only insight that could be close to accurate would be based on whatever disclosures a publicly traded company made in their required filings.

Comment FUD article written on bad foundations (Score 1, Informative) 91

I don't think this article was really worth posting.

The article doesn't even provide citations for the cost factors cited, and it basically boils down to "I've known it all along!" but the author doesn't really understand what they're writing about. It's PCGamer, an article by a games author, dissing on bitcoin using no outside citation for the cost factors.

i did a quick google search hoping to find some sort of source for the figures invented and couldn't find it. "German bitcoin $200,000" only google search result is this article.

Comment Climate change is real but this isnt the threat (Score 4, Informative) 211

Climate change is real and it will raise costs for insurance, but the real driver behind raising costs for insurance is the inflationary monetary supply. The cost to insure a building is far higher in 2025 than it was in 1980, not because its more likely to be destroyed but because the cost for replacement is so much higher. The labor isnt there, the materials arent there, all of the economic value has been sucked out of the economy and replaced with air.

Comment Re:Seriously...this again? (Score 1) 153

there's no better asymetric bet than bitcoin still. 1.7 trill market cap, gold is 21 trillion. if you start to include other assets with a higher value than their utility, like housing, bitcoin has the higher utility as a store of value and reserve. its easy to see the further potential growth.

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