A.I has only been a thing for about a year, so new that bigwigs where I work are still asking IT if we can get their laptop to run an LLM.
I have a degree in computer science earned back in 2006. I can say from my entore career in IT since 2006 that the main cause of it all is: cloud and outsourcing.
Here in the UK many companies will still have IT depts. But It is the department that is the least funded and most abused. Where I currently work we have just lost an employee to retirement. She had been in this company for over 40 years, he first IT job and she started here when there was indeed a mainframe and reel to reel tapes of data. She had 40 years of history on names, computer names, policies everything. I find a DDS tape from the 90'w with an innocuous computer name on it and she would tell me what it was and if it mattered.
Retired.
Now here in IT we have myself and one other like me, both of us Senior IT Sytems Technicians, plus my boss who is the CSIO and me acting as his deputy CSIO and a guy ho does all the 1st line stuff. So 4 of us in total. With my manager usually in meetings you can say it's more like 3 of us. Today its just me... one on holiday, one ill and the boss does the early shift so he already went home.
In my previous place where I worked for 8 years I spent the last 5 months of that working entirely by myself as the ONLY person on the service desk, handiling all 1st-3rd line and infrastructure issues alongside by brother in law sysadmin and a useless service desk manager and a head of IT who ran the service desk into the ground. Made myself and the other guy, who had been there 25 years redundant by having us re-apply for our own jobs. We had to take a fecking PERSONALITY TEST!! We both failed, even though I had 8 years of experience with the IT in the office and the pubs (it was a pub company) I wasnt the "type" of IT guy wanted. The older guy WALKED OUT. I dont blame him. Just walked right out of the building... I was a weak kind soul who stayed during my 3 months noticer panicing about losing the house while TRAINING UP THE REPLACEMENTS. Yep a whole new IT team.. Oh god you should have seen their faces when they found out I had a week to go they were bricking themselves (shitting their pants) at the prospect their mentor was going to leave them to handle it all. They were apparently the "correct" type, however I found one to be quire brash and obviously not the "customer service type" I was tols was needed. They also had no idea about anything, I had to show them Active Directory, Azure, card payment terminals, printers, the lot. Thgey hadnt even a clue about SERIAL PORTS and 9 pin IMPACT PRINTERS. Now, you'd say that was old hat tech no? Well in the hospitality industry that stuff is standard. The tils, those things that take peoples money, use them to print orders and receipts. They all use serual (USB is an option on some) and yes they are brand new. The dot matrix RIBBOM using impact printers (two colours too!) wre essentai pub equipment as they are the only kind of printer that can work in a blazing hot kitchen. Thermal printers and kitchens strangley dont mix well.
Luckily I found a job where I am now.
But now I have experience with entrprises. Where I am now is small, much smaller than where I was. However thes eemployees are much more tech savvy, many are brainiacs by profession. So there are less tockets but they usually are bigger deeper ones. But we have become part of a much bigger company, that has over 90,000 employees! Its not a take over or a merger, we are supposed to be independant arms off the whole. But they dont have ANY IT dept! 90,000 employees and the whole giant has no IT bods on site.
They outsource it all to someone else. You cant get an IT job in that giant unless you are a manager. Everything is done by contractors.
My previois place was using the cloud and I implemented much of that infrastructure and the automation, the ability to spin up a network and a VM with a few clicks and a config file?
Thats where its going. A few select human jobs in a cloud provider or a contracor leaving the rest of graduates essentially surplus to requirements. Now, if companies started respecting and growing the IT depts it would change everything, but we all know that us IT bods are the first to get trimed or the chop entirely, followed by the developers.