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Comment Re:I Know Where The 22,000 Went! (Score 1) 474

Insurance agents, bus drivers, taxi drivers, chauffeurs and hired drivers are also going to see far fewer jobs.

All of these different levels of people will still be here. They will still have bills and need to eat and have shelter, but WHAT are they supposed to do when their jobs go away?

Just piggy backing on what you said here because you're actually understating the effect on insurance from car automation. It's certainly not *just* insurance agents. Personal auto insurance is a ~$125B industry today. Not even including commercial auto! That doesn't just affect the local agent a consumer works with, it's the entire industry. From executives, accountants, actuaries, underwriters, analysts, IT, software vendors, everyone. By some estimates, this industry will shrink in excess of 50% by 2040.

Comment Re:I Know Where The 22,000 Went! (Score 1) 474

Society has failed structurally to provide many with the opportunities and tools to keep a viable career path open for their working lifetime.

Why is it society's responsibility to teach you job skills? Society (by which you obviously mean the government) already gives everyone 13 years of education (K-12), and if you walk away from that with no job skill that can't be better done with a servo motor, that is your own fault. I don't think there will be a big revolutionary change if we change the schools to teach for, say, 13 and a half years. People that are willing to learn will continue to do well, and the rest won't.

No, society doesn't have to mean government but it does include it. It's the entire collective, both people and its government. Either way, I used to once agree with you 100% about 5-10 years ago. Since then I've realized I was being naive. Not everyone is smart, ambitious, and young as myself or the group of people I associate myself with. We're talking about 9,000 men and women who may have done nothing but work their factory line, every day, every week, ever year, for what? The past 5, 10, 20, maybe even 40 years? The reality is our brains lose their edge very quickly. It's hard to keep it in good shape when you have a mind numbing job like that. Though no doubt, I'm confident some percentage of those 9,000 did retool/reinvent themselves after losing their jobs. I'm still sure many of them didn't. I'm sorry but the reality is they're going to be left behind. I'm sure the odds of getting left behind increase significantly if they're 50 or older. We need a culture change, we need a society change, we need an education change, we need to at least improve something somewhere. I really don't have a good solution. However, I do know expecting them to do it themselves is exactly why where we are today.

Sure, if we could change the world such that everyone retains their youthful, ambitious, flexible, mind during their entire employment career, regardless of the career path they chose, then yes, that would be the ultimate solution. But that's just not reality.

Comment Re: The denialists need to be dealt with somehow. (Score 1) 331

Good thing there's a better approach then. We can merely wait a few decades and get better data than all that awesome data you mention. The future can't be faked. Funny how you're so confident and then when questioned, it's "Science is not about being sure." Well, my view is that when you use science to justify a massive restructuring of all human society, you better be backed by a lot more than that.

Really? You never act on any evidence unless it's 100% certain, if and only if it's 100% certain? For health, profession, traveling, disease, safety, investments, anything? You never make estimates or take precautionary measures on anything? It's almost like you're insisting you only see things in black and white. I somehow very, very much doubt that.

Casting aside the science for a moment. I imagine nearly everyone, including you, is willing to take measured precautions to protect themselves even if the is nothing more than mere shreds of evidence to cause harm. Science enter stage right, there's plenty of evidence supporting climate change. Climate change has been happening since this damned planet formed. Only debatable questions are who, what, when, and how much. The current "sensationalized" theory on the table is predicting a a couple degrees increase in temperate in the next 100 years. The temperature is not even that big of a damned deal, 2 degrees doesn't hurt anybody much. It's all the other far more adverse effects on the global planet. Acidity of the ocean, rising sea water, changing weather patterns. Why do those things matter? Because we've invested trillions, trillions, and trillions of dollars building things like agriculture, residential, infrastructure, canals, water ways in the world with certain assumptions that are unwinding before our eyes. I'm not sure if you really intend to portray yourself is not caring about protecting our society until it's far too late to reverse it.

Comment Re:Waze (Score 1) 151

And Facebook, an app that just eats cycles and battery life on both iOS and Android. That such a major player as Facebook writes such a shitty awful resource hogging app frankly shocks me... until I remember iTunes on Windows.

Oh I very much doubt it's an accident at all. Facebook makes their living off gathering information from its users, aggregating, and selling/advertising. I can guarantee that's at least partially if not entirely why their app is "resource hogging".

Comment Re:This shit again? (Score 1) 114

Wasn't it already figured out that trying to blow nukes off on an asteroid surface would achieve approximately JACK SHIT?

They're not sufficiently powerful to break up mass, and due to being nuked in space, the kinetic transfer is significantly less, therefore "deflection" wouldn't happen either.

Well you figured that out pretty quickly. Obviously you plotted out your formula out proving its impossibility on the back of a paper napkin, right? Can you show your math before you start discrediting your fellow scientists on this idea? You can figure this out on a napkin if you want to using the formula below as a starting point and then estimating the mass, velocity, and kinetic energy of an incoming asteroid. You could calculate how much kinetic energy is needed to deflect an asteroid.

It has been estimated that a velocity change of just 3.5/t × 10^-2 ms^-1 (where t is the number of years until potential impact) is needed to successfully deflect a body on a direct collision trajectory. In addition, under certain circumstances, much smaller velocity changes are needed. wikipedia

Comment Re:Cynical (Score 2) 440

Where is the money to provide this "Universal Basic Income" going to come from? How will employers that still have a workforce respond in terms of existing wages? How much inflation will this cause? What will happen to home prices/rents/leases/etc costs? Don't seeing it working realistically until human nature changes dramatically...

I completely understand your cynicism because I agree but I don't see an amount specified in the article. If it's something meager like $7K-$15K then I'm not sure it would truly change much of anything. I mean in the US, I think we more or less already have this under different names and parameters? I would be of the opinion that welfare, medicaid, medicare, social security, and the standard tax deduction all touch the spirit of a "universal basic income" except through complex rules, inclusions, and exclusions. I think current laws' end result is trying surgically pinpoint the people that need it "more" but than others. More or less they favor the people that are old, impoverished, or crippled but even those doing well still get some minimal benefits annually. Without knowing all of the rules it would be hard for me to be supportive or not but if they did away with all of the other existing systems of support I would certainly be in favor of overhauling and simplifying the entire system top to bottom. Now if the amount was something like $30K or more, my opinion would shift drastically.

Comment Well... (Score 1) 307

I personally believe marijuana usage should be legalized. It's no more harmful than other substances like alcohol or tobacco for example. That being said, I would strongly discourage my kids and friends from using the substance. Granted this is just my personal anecdotal evidence, but any of my friends, or anyone at all I know that has ever smoked pot on a regular prolonged basis seemed to have been completely robbed of any serious ambition. It seems like nothing really much mattered to them anymore, they were perfectly happy being mediocre people. Go home, chill, and smoke pot. Just my personal observations, not scientific facts.

Comment So much beating around the bush... (Score 2) 519

My opinions may not carry much currency because they're purely anecdotal. I still believe the US education system is one of the best in the world but at the same time I think our sometimes lack-luster education and performance results are far more culturally based than anyone gives it credit. Growing up as a US-born child of an immigrant family may give me a very biased perspective but I use it all the time nonetheless. My story is typical for many immigrants, it's practically a cliche. My parents didn't know English and came to the US with $400 in their pocket in the early 80s. Yes, we were on welfare, yes we collected food stamps, yes my family took terrible low skill and low earning jobs like cleaning, harvesting, and the like, yes we grew up in the inner city being the 1 of 2 Caucasian families in the entire neighborhood, yes we had 3 generations living in one household, and yes English was not my first language.

But we climbed the *#!@ out of there as fast as we could, because that's why we came to the US: to do well. We came with ambitions, with the belief that education was one thing the "man", whether it's a Soviet government or oppressive oligarchy, could not take away from you. Not doing well in school simply was not an option. My mother get her degree and my father got a decent job at a factory. While my parents certainly did well for themselves, the next generation, like myself, we did even better. I can say from my limited exposure to the education system, at least here in NY, is that very, very, very few of my classmates had the same ambitions. In fact, most would have seen me as being aggressively competitive but in my eyes and my parents I was only allowed to see myself as still not trying hard enough. I admit that half of my class mates were brighter than me, but I'm sorry to say that few of them tried half as hard nor did as well.

If every kid had that ambition you'd have to be scared of what the US could do instead of can't do. Unfortunately it's my observation that many kids *and* their adult parents here in the US lack any self control. They are far too wrapped up in finding the next source of entertainment than setting up a future for themselves, family, and country. Be it TV, alcohol, music, fame, partying, drugs, games, and sports (yes, I said sports, let your verbal abuse fly!). There's nothing wrong with any of those things are just fine per se, as long as they're done in moderation.

Comment Re:Then start fighting real pollution you moron (Score 1) 119

I don't know much of anything about that mining company specifically but just want to remind everyone that just b/c a company goes out of business it doesn't mean the participants didn't have a good run while it lasted. You'd hope someone founding or running a company would throw everything they had into it to make it work. But it's certainly not uncommon to see exactly the opposite, people extracting so much wealth out of the business that it's driven into the ground.

Comment Re:Then start fighting real pollution you moron (Score 1) 119

Then why are you not fighting pollution, instead of CO2 which plants need to live?

The whole problem I have with you WarmMongers is that you in fact have essentially ended the fight against real pollution to tilt against the CO2 windmill, all for the sake of making a few people (not you BTW) rich.

So why can't you do both? I seriously doubt there were many so-called environmentalists that didn't say "boo". Anyone I know thought it was a complete disaster, environmentalist or not. Unfortunately there are tens of thousands of disasters like this, both big and small, short and long. The great lakes, oceans, farm run off, on and on and on... nearly all environmentalists care about all of them so I have no idea what you're getting "sickened" at. Either way, I hope you would at least admit that if the current estimates of warming, 2-3 degrees in the next 50-100 years, if "true", would inflict far more damage globally than one river locally? Even if it's not during our lifetimes.

Of course plants need CO2 to live, exactly who is advocating taking it all away? The argument is about moderation, not complete elimination? Not sure if you're just being deliberately facetious there or what.

Comment Re:License Plates and registrations ... (Score 1) 223

We need new regulations for drones, because they've changed the game in terms of privacy.

We need laws to protect people from spying, both by private parties and government entities, via drones.

We need laws that say you can't just fly a drone over someone else's property and follow them around, or look in their windows, or whatever. We need regulations to define reasonable expectation of privacy directly to drones.

IMO, we need to have some ability for people to defend themselves from these things as well, whether it's jamming them, shooting them down on your property, whatever.

Agreeing vehemently. I mean I've always agreed with this, but it just kicked up a notch last month when the obnoxious neighbor in my neighborhood decided to get a drone with a mounted camera. You know the neighbor that never says/waves hello, holds ginormous parties that block traffic on our street, cranks the music, "uses" his punching bag while keeping his garage door open, likes to rev his boat's engine while mounted on-trailer for hours, and oh... and a Cadillac Escalade for each and every family member. Yes, those kinds of neighbors. Apparently he finds it very entertaining to fly his drone around the neighborhood, land on people's driveways, go in their backyards, flying around above everyone's houses - mind you which 50% of our neighborhood has skylights which naturally isn't easy to install curtains on. It's people like that, who lack common sense, that *need* to be regulated and unfortunately ruin it for everyone else.

As a side note, I can't wait for those neighbors to move out :)

Comment No, Let's Go To Mars (Score 1) 684

If the NY Times author wants to criticize the time lines that's perfectly fine and dandy... and very much so accurate. However with the Slashdot OP suggesting removing it from our list of goals altogether, that's a far worse joke than the joke "Mars One" and "Inspiration One" are making. Out of the bunch, (Elon Musk) SpaceX, is the only one that can be taken seriously. NASA however is the most honest about it, they have it slated for 2035 at this present time which we can already suspect will slide backwards. I'm fine with the general mania though. It's a similar kind of mania that got us to the Moon. The timeline by which the US (and almost Soviets) achieved that goal with the technology they had was pretty ridiculous. All problems can be solved with the correct dosage of time and money. Nearly all the time, lots of both of those resources are needed.

Comment Re:Guess what? (Score 1) 301

This is an age old argument, likely without a real single answer but a lot of controversy. While I don't have all the same data and theories to back up my opinions like you do, I do have some anecdotal observations I think we can all agree on. In my humble opinion, human beings certainly have an instinctual nature that is likely baggage from everything we've evolved from both in our hominid line and everything prior to it. I think that would be impossibly difficult to deny. All of which includes the deep desire for the propagation of our species, with multiple mates, with all of the evolutionary advantages it brings to the table. However one of the critical traits of our homo sapiens nature that make us stand far out from any other species is the fact it is in our very nature to override our nature. Based on all of the cultural variety we see out there today, there really are not limits to our social behaviors and constructs but there are definitely many commonalities. We create things like honor, laws, bravery, religion, stoicism, politics, morality, matrimony, and on and on and on... The inner strength and power we have to command and control our desires and behaviors and direct them in many different shapes and forms is really quite fantastic.

We can easily find a surprising amount of intelligence in many other species on our little planet but none of them exhibit the nature-over-nature trait as strongly as we do. Truly, I believe that is what makes us human. So my personal counter to the age old question "Isn't that a natural and physical need?" would be, "yes it certainly is, but I and many others would consider it a weakness in your humanity."

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