Comment Re:Now adjust the price (Score 1) 29
The dollar numbers are certainly much larger now. However, the PE ratios and the PEG ratios are nowhere near dot-com bubble levels. It could be argued that all the current AI sales will pop all of a sudden, but that's totally different from 25 years ago when the sales were never there in the first place. Only a few companies like Tesla and Palantir have dot-com level PE ratios, and those valuations are indeed crazy.
While it's true that companies like Nvidia have great revenue/earnings numbers, Cisco had real revenue back in 1999 as well. It's not that nobody's buying the hardware, it's that the people buying the hardware might not actually have a business model that justifies that much hardware purchase, and as soon as they realize that they'll stop buying hardware and suddenly the revenue for the hardware suppliers goes poof.
I suspect that, like with the dotcom bubble, there is something important going on here. It's just that nobody knows what the big important business model for AI is going to be, so they're all madly investing tons of money to try to get there. Some of these AI companies are going to turn out to be the equivalent of Amazon, some of them are going to turn out to be WebVan, and we don't know which is which yet.