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Comment Re:Question (Score 1) 20

retains access to the AI startup's technology until 2032, including models that achieve AGI

Exactly how do they envision an autocomplete gaining sentience?

It hasn't been "autocomplete" in a long time. Sure, there's a training step based on a corpus of Human language, and the autoregressive process outputs a single token at a time, but reinforcement learning trains specific behaviors beyond merely completing a sentence.

Besides, the best way to write something indistinguishable from what a Human might write is to, well, "think" like a Human.

Comment Re:who (Score 0) 110

If that's what an independent agency is, then independent agencies are blatantly unconstitutional. "The executive Power shall be vested in a President of the United States of America" is literally the first sentence in Article II. If it is serving an executive function, then the executive branch "calls the shots."

Comment Will we finally learn our lesson? (Score 1) 32

Are we, as a sapient species facing an uncertain prospect of continuence in a world full of rapidly-advancing bullshit going to learn from this catastrophic and absurdly predictable failure of information security, personal and professional ethics, civilian government, market economics, basic common sense, and consumer psychology?

Eight-Ball-Based-On-Cursory-Reading-Of-Literally-Any-Slice-of-Human-History says "no".

What do you say, and why is it also "no"?

Comment Re: I'm rooting for it!! (Score 1) 166

Orion stays in orbit until it returns to Earth. It has no capability whatsoever to land anything or anyone on the moon. It transports the crew from Earth to NRHO and back. The HLS takes them to the moon, along with all the supplies and equipment needed to perform their mission there.

16 refuelings is based on pessimistic estimates of tanker payload. The real number is likely to be lower. The intention is to reuse the tankers, but if they can't, fewer tankers will be required, because they will not need to carry heat shielding, flaps, or return propellant. And if they do use expendable tankers, they could build 17 Starships for a small fraction of the cost of a SLS/Orion launch.

And the astronauts won't even launch until the fully-fueled lander is in lunar orbit waiting for them. It can loiter there for at least 90 days, a capability that will likely come in useful considering SLS's demonstrated issues with getting off the ground on time. When they finally got it off the ground the last time, it took sending a "red team" out to the partially-fueled SLS to deal with propellant loading issues.

Comment Re: Doesn't cost billions... (Score 1) 95

Also, hydrogen's specific impulse advantage comes with major disadvantages. If you just took Starship and gave it hydrolox engines, it wouldn't have the performance needed to reach orbit, because you simply wouldn't be able to fit enough LH2 in the available tank volume. Despite the higher specific impulse, you need a far larger tank volume just to match the performance of denser propellants. And now you've got a lot more surface area to shield against reentry, and it also has to be insulated to keep the LH2 from boiling off too quickly. Notice how the Shuttle didn't even try to bring its propellant tanks back...

Comment Re: Sounds familiar (Score 1) 95

A notable difference is that replacing a single Shuttle tile could take three days. Most of Starship's tiles are attached with metal clips and can be replaced in seconds, they can largely re-tile a ship in a day. The vast majority of the tiles are also a few uniform shapes...each Shuttle tile was unique, made for a specific location. So even if not perfect, it's already a huge improvement.

Comment Re: Simple... (Score 1) 199

"Weather alerts, flood, tornado, etc. should be able to wake people up."

They're already *able* to wake people up. What do you do about people not wanting to be woken up who silence their phones? Do you pass legislation making it illegal for phones to be able to silence certain alerts? Okay, some people will put their phones somewhere other than their bedside so they can't be woken up. Do you make that illegal, or at some point do you just say "Okay, you know what, this is on you"?

Comment Re: Simple... (Score 1) 199

Okay, all those alerts saved one life.

And all those alerts convinced a bunch of people to silence their alerts, and resulted in lives lost.

Have you bothered to compare the two numbers to see whether the alerts are, in fact, justified? Or do you always only look at a benefit and ignore any associated costs?

Comment Re:Ouch (Score 2) 97

"the experience in building the cargo craft really helped them."

It certainly did, but it's not like Boeing lacked experience. In fact, early on there was a serious push for sole-sourcing the crew contract to Boeing based on their history with the Shuttle, that SpaceX was too inexperienced and couldn't be trusted to get the job done.

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