Want to read Slashdot from your mobile device? Point it at m.slashdot.org and keep reading!

 



Forgot your password?
typodupeerror

Comment Bayesian thinking (Score 1) 365

There's a brilliant article that discusses this problem here: http://yudkowsky.net/rational/bayes. About a quarter of the way in there's a look at a few different ways of expressing the quantities. It seems frequencies are good (3 in every 1000 innocent people will be IDed as a terroist or 299 in every 300 people identified as a terrorist are innocent). People intuitively focus on the expected outcome - postive test result == terrorist and negative == not a terrorist. Maybe the way to make it clear is to tell them the non-intuitive statistics (299 in 300 that appear guilty are innocent while 1 in 30,000 that appear innocent are guilty). The issue is that if you tell someone "Q given P" (positive-result given is-terrorist) they always fall into the trap of thinking "P given Q" (is-terrorist given positive-result). Saying the test is 90% accurate is saying "Q given P 90% of the time". No one understands prior probability yet figures like this always ignore it.

AMD

Phenom IIs, Core I7-920 Win Out In Value Analysis 214

An anonymous reader writes "We've all seen processor benchmarks, but how do today's enthusiast CPUs look when you account for performance per dollar? Using a smorgasbord of charts, scatter plots, and performance tests, The Tech Report attempted to single out the highest-value offerings out of 16 popular Intel and AMD processors. The results might surprise you: AMD's 45nm Phenom IIs (both triple- and quad-core) prove to be strikingly competitive with Intel's Core 2 Quads. And, on the high end, Intel's $266 Core i7-920 turns out to be a compelling step up despite the higher costs of Core i7 platforms in general."

Slashdot Top Deals

The bigger the theory the better.

Working...