https://www.scry.llc/2014/05/1...

I wrote this 13 years ago, and called the twitter buyout several years before anyone else.

"Saturated industries often consolidate for vertical integration. Large companies buy smaller competitors, and they also purchase their vertical supply chain to reduce costs and manage dependencies. A classic example is the American car industry, which went from 1500 companies to today's Big Three (and the occasional glitch like Tesla)."

yore wakeup call has arrived.

https://www.scry.llc/2025/09/1...
.

this story reminds me a company meeting where our new manager was introduced as having delivered his last two projects with zero bugs.

we all burst into laughter at the same time
followed by an awkward silience.

the wealth taxes proposed In NY, WA and NYC are bad paths.

https://www.scry.llc/2025/09/0...

"The large IT companies are now in a consolidation phase accelerated by AI, as evidenced by continuous layoffs for the past three years. The average recession length is less than a year, this is structual change, not inventory adjustment. I'm curious if the Republicans will figure this out before the economy forces their hand."

adjusting the workweek is the optimum long-term fix.

yes, we're watching an historical cycle play out so answers already exist.

https://www.scry.llc/2025/01/2...

"Production equals consumption in an ideal economy. Both are bound by finite time. If production increases, consumption must increase, too. Ergo, time spent on production must fall, which is what happened during the last two depressionary eras. 1873-1897 and 1930-1940. I'm fairly sure that AI is the last straw which breaks the forty-hour workweek"

somebody reading my blog, :)
  I wrote this three weeks ago

"AI is probably accelerating the "Law of Demeter" effect on the Internet and information"

https://www.scry.llc/2025/12/2...

Distance + diversity + time = declining trust

the majority model now is devolution back to physical validation. it's too easy to spoof anything online, which I first predicted at DEFCON in 2006 regarding clickfraud.

I decided to share the full incomprehensible thread for a few days here on Slashdot. Im condensing and simplifying it next week.

https://chatgpt.com/share/6960...

.

I mentioned AI as a reflection engine before which generates a synthesis. the cognition series I'm writing is a perfect example. ChatGPT synthesised this from my inputs.

https://www.scry.llc/2026/01/0...

I'm actually co-writing a multi-part series on this with ChatGPT. Sorry, it's still in raw form.
I wrote part 1 yesterday.

https://www.scry.llc/2026/01/0...

Here's part of the raw convo for part 5:
Rates of change are no longer human-scaled
You nailed this when you said humanity was âoeroughly a constant.â
Historically:
population growth was slow
idea propagation was bottlenecked by humans
novelty injection was rate-limited by culture
Now:
AI can generate novelty faster than humans can metabolize it
synthesis happens continuously, not episodically
attention shocks overlap instead of resolving
So the system moves from:
punctuated novelty
to
continuous novelty pressure
Thatâ(TM)s catastrophic under finite attention.

5. This is where your series gets very important
Because now the thesis evolves:
Then:
Finite attention governs human systems.
Now:
Finite human attention is embedded in a system with infinite non-human cognition.
Thatâ(TM)s a different problem class.
And it leads to a necessary conclusion:
Future systems must actively protect continuity, or humans will be displaced cognitively long before they are displaced economically.
Thatâ(TM)s not dystopian. Itâ(TM)s mechanical.

you can create two linear equations to model the optimum work week given a certain degree of productivity.

https://www.scry.llc/2024/12/2...

as productivity increases, the work week has to decline to stay at the optimum point.
that's why the 40-hour workweek and child labor laws were the result of the Great Depression.

because you get more customers if you redistribute the increased income.
layoffs means less customers.

it's not about "better work".
it's about equilibrium between production and consumption.

https://www.scry.llc/2025/01/2...

the difference will come largely out of real estate prices.

https://www.scry.llc/2025/12/1...

"The "K-shaped economy" is a hot topic now. Check my workhour graph above from 1873 to 1897 when the job market bifurcated into "new, high income jobs" and "existing, low wage" jobs. That's a variation of the same economic pattern as this "K" curve.

That period was known as The Gilded Age aka The Robber Baron Era and I mention it briefly as my model for today's era in Cost Of Information:"

there's a graph of history of the US workweek from 1850 to 1940.

so much negativity, my experience is the opposite but then again I'm not a coder who obsesses over saving 0.2 ms or inventing my own "for" loop to prove how brilliant I am. :)

https://www.scry.llc/2025/06/0...

"Many people use ChatGPT (AI) thinking they want answers â" but sometimes they get a conversational mirror which amplifies intent and direction. Like a thought forge: ideas enter half-formed and exit sharper, cooler, or occasionally twisted into something new.

Or perhaps today it's a semantic mirror which reflects back insights you didnâ(TM)t know you had"

https://www.scry.llc/2025/12/2...

trust becomes a function of distance

Every week I see the appearance of Law of Demeter (LoD) in different domains. For instance, the recent creation of the "C5" to replace the US-centric "G7". The C5 establishes five global domains of roughly equal standing versus the G7 unipolar world. Trump is not cause, he is effect.

as soon as i read "bluesky" i wrote him off as an echo chamber kookbar, even if the complaint is valid. :)