nice description of classic econ 101, which is a valid model over certain conditions.
now is not that time.
https://www.scry.llc/2022/06/1...
The real reason the System.pushes "savings" is to keep their fiat out of circulation to prevent inflation. Fiat money is about dangling a carrot now to get performance,and fifty years later you discover it's all vapor.
"the number of hours worked in the information sector has dipped since 2022, while the sector's economic output has increased by about 8 percent a year".
I told you so.
https://www.scry.llc/2024/12/2...
"The real cause of economic depressions is the mismatch between production time and consumption time which occurs gradually as productivity rises. Governments then create make-work jobs in a haphazard attempt to maintain consumption (equilibrium). Eventually, the impedance mismatch leads to collapse and a new system. We are probably on the verge of that change."
Recessions are an inventory adjustment and usually 12-18 months long.
Depressions are structural changes in the economic foundation lasting several years. Notice falling hours since 2022 comment.
rose 37% on Cramer's negative outlook.
for hyperinflation, haha
I've posted this here several times in hopes of sparking a clue. Here is a graph and explanation of the US workweek from 1860 to 1940, when it declined from 60 hours, to 48 hours, and the today's 40 hours...
https://www.scry.llc/2024/12/2...
Here is the corresponding Cost Of Information theory...
https://www.scry.llc/2025/09/1...
You can describe the economic theory of equilibrium with two linear equations which describe the optimum balance of production vs consumption over time as the rate of productivity rises.
Proposition 13 is about property tax. Newsom and Sacramento cooking up a HUGE meal of new taxes like Virginia because they've already run the numbers on how much of the "billonaire wealth" has already left. CA State gov is lookkng at a 30% loss of tax revenue instead of a $100 billion increase.
nope, they expected everyone to sit quietly to get plucked. CA budget is already in a hole now due to exodus, so now they MUST pass the tax to limit their losses. That's why they're floating a bunch more taxes now, the billionaire tax will probably create a permanent, net loss of tax revenue in the range of $50 to 100 billion per year.
https://www.scry.llc/2026/01/1...
Me, now residing comfortably in Florida on an $80/month property tax.
AI doesnt care about weather, clean air, healthcare, recreational opportunities, etc.
Good luck!
almost $1 trillion has left CA since that tax proposal was floated.
https://www.scry.llc/2026/01/1...
and most of the VC capital is AI bubble investment?
yeah, let's see how that works out.
Bitcoin miners began shifting to AI sixteen months ago.
https://www.scry.llc/2025/02/0...
Most people are still unaware that collectively the Bitcoin miners have lost around $5 billion since the last coin halving (April 2024) and are still losing money. Current loss:
Annual Coin Income: $64k x 165k coins = $10.5 billion
Annual Energy Cost: 130 terawatts @ $0.105 per kwatt = $13.6 billion
Annual Net Loss: $3.1 billion
although I've depicted the Credit Cycle as a symmetrical sine wave, thetime frames of up and down cycles ARE asymmetrical.
https://www.scry.llc/2022/06/1...
The Cost Of Information theory -
https://www.scry.llc/2025/09/1...
"Assume the declining cost of information (COI) has driven economic activity for fifty years. Then the stagnation or increase of COI could be disasterous for the economy. The preceding graph shows an inflection point in Internet user growth, implying that Internet growth is slowing and will soon stagnate."
prove there's nothing malicious in the Chinese models.
you can't. it's too much data and too many pathways.
yup. much of the market is going to demand not only open models, but local location and ownership.
there's definitely concern about exposing private data to 3rd parties.
"A sovereign system keeps organizations in control of their data, AI, and decision-making rather than depending on external providers"
https://www.scry.llc/2026/07/1...
Look at the Google trends graph. I posted this before about six months ago, the trend is gaining traction.
a metric i drafted twenty years ago as an indicator of "peak information"...
"Assume the declining cost of information (COI) has driven economic activity for fifty years. Then the stagnation or increase of COI could be disasterous for the economy. The preceding graph shows an inflection point in Internet user growth, implying that Internet growth is slowing and will soon stagnate.
We could build a COI monitor by creating a weighted market basket of information-related costs and prices. Cost of microchip inputs versus their price. Cost of telecom inputs versus their price, etc. Monitor changes over time to throw a warning flag when the Information Revolution has peaked"
I have hardly ever known a mathematician who was capable of reasoning. -- Plato
