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Comment US government tradeoff (Score 1) 153

What I'd want is guaranteed bandwidth available at a token price to US residents (probably $1/month, proving they care), with different bandwidths reaching different total proportions of paying residents, including some bandwidth guaranteed available to 100% of paying residents, while not hindering residents from paying more or companies from delivering more if residents pay for it. If over 50% of residents in a given area are paying extra for bandwidth, investigate and fix it, probably by raising subsidized bandwidth (and total cost to US and US taxpayers) if it's by residents' free will, or breaking local monopolies if it isn't. My wild guess is that would land on fiber bandwidth for 80% of the population and starlink bandwidth for the next 19.9% today, and cost around $20/month per paying resident in US subsidies. The US would have to do some heroics for the remaining 0.1% of paying residents.

Comment Re:Shame on them! (Score 4, Funny) 101

[verse]
There is no clever coding or cost
That can guarantee no data loss
Nothing can protect it from the likes
Of military action, or asteroid strikes

[verse]
But there is no need to invoke vicious thugs
The biggest losses are from software bugs
And fat-fingered admins who erase
There is no cure when you run out of space

[verse]
Single mode of failure's in between
It's not the best, but not the worst I've seen
Any 1 of n up does quite well
Every 1 of n up ... is hell

[verse]
Triplication loss requires losing three
Erasure coding is much higher degree
Triplication loss is p to the third
Erasure coding's p to the absurd.

[verse]
Erasure Coding stops random leaks
It's more like draining a bathtub, so to speak
If fixes are faster than failures, data's preserved
Otherwise loss is certain and well deserved

[verse]
Erasure coding's clever design
is that two points define a line
On the line a third point can be placed
Then any one of three can be erased

[verse]
A parabola takes not two points, but three,
Or d points, for curves of higher degree.
n=k+d, when k more points are placed,
Then any k of n can be erased.

[verse]
Erasure Coding stops hardware leaks
But not admins or management freaks
So: backup in several unrelated places
Immortality any 1 of n embraces

[verse]
Frequently no matter what you do
You find your worst opponent is you
The safest place your data could have gotten
Is the one that you've forgotten

[verse]
Use Erasure Coding to watch each cloud carefully
Use several independent clouds for redundancy.
Immortal data's impossible, tough,
But perhaps the end of time is good enough

Comment Re:It _is_ already paying off. Epic style. (Score 1) 121

Suppose you get a free LLM that can run locally and use prebuilt indexes of a 1M line codebase and be a good coder in that environment. I don't think it's there yet but it's close and coming, probably in the coming year. After that no company collects AI fees for coding, but the increased coding productivity continues.

Comment DST vs standard: change timezones (Score 1) 263

Yay! Washington state has been blocked by congress from doing this 2019. It's been a litmus test of congress disfunction.

DST vs standard is fixable: if everyone in a state agrees the sun should rise earlier or later, they should permanently shift the timezone that their region is in, rather than resetting the clock twice a year. Looking at a map of timezones, the regions that don't align with the natural time zones almost always selected to have the sun rise earlier by the clock rather than later. Chile's off by nearly two timezones. Tibet's of by three, but I imagine they had no say.

Comment Re:Time to pay for itself (Score 1) 96

Right now electric companies mostly charge per watt. But their actual costs are fixed, mostly the telephone poles and wires and such. As more people and companies install solar so the electric company has to pay for watts rather than charge for them, either the price per watt for people who do pay for watts will increase, or they'll have to change their pricing model to match reality (charge mostly for fixed connections).

Comment Re:70% of middle class jobs lost since 1980 (Score 1) 197

Me too: universal basic income for all adults. But we aren't sure how people would respond in practice and doing it all at once would change things too drastically. So, start small: like $1000 per year per adult, and double every four years until either people are fully supported by UBI or it's clear it's doing more harm than good.

Comment it probably makes it easier for the attacker (Score 1) 172

If there's a finite number of bugs and AI can find all of them, sure this can let the defenders win, just find and fix every bug. But the usual model is there's too many bugs to find and fix them all. The defender has to find and fix all the bugs the attacker is able to afford to find. That's the attacker's cost time the number of bugs at the price the attacker's willing to pay or less. Even if there's some economies of scale of finding and fixing bugs, the defender has to pay at least as much as the attacker. Usually many times more.

Comment So what's the correlation? (Score 1) 34

OK, 2.5PM means particulate matter under 2.5 micrometers in size. They all list hazard ratios somewhere near 1.09, which I think means a 9% increased chance of Alzheimer's? But for what level of pollution? Why didn't they break out people who didn't have any of hypertension, stroke, or depression? The 95% number does NOT seem to mean 95% of Alzheimer's is due to 2.5PM, it's something like the effect of 2.5PM is independent of hypertension, stroke, and depression, maybe meaning it's 95% independent?

Comment Nothing new (Score 1) 73

All the noise about AI alignment and disruption is a red herring. Alignment is easy: you have lots of independent goals and do your best to trade off among them, and have some sort of constitution or test suite to keep you from veering off course. Not being bad is more important than being good. What isn't clear is that alignment will be used, even though it is easy. Right now things are roughly set up in the USA to benefit the people, but if something or someone gets enough power they can stop caring what is good or bad for the people. So the threat of AI is nothing new, it's just the threat of someone or something gathering too much power written in a slightly different venue. Government vs corporations, same story. The question is the same as always: who's in danger of getting too much power, and what if anything is going to stop them?

Comment Re:Why does THE STATE have to pay for all this? (Score 1) 235

I think air traffic controllers are already mostly paid by the Airport and Airways Trust Fund, that was renewed in 2024 until 2028, and is funded by taxes on flight-related activities? Meaning the money's already there and approved for paying them through 2028?

Comment this is good news (Score 2) 48

If AI overtakes humanity and has to stay on earth, we're competing for the same resources, so humanity is in trouble. If AI overtakes humanity and is in space, one trillionth of the sun's light falls on earth, so AI can pretty much leave earth as-is and populate the solar system. Even after they capture all that light, preserving earth as a novelty makes sense. Even today, Manhattan has central park. (Populating the solar system with AI needs building the chips in space, not just shipping them there, but, one step at a time.)

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