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Comment Re:Not a surprise (Score 1) 304

If you can get into and graduate from a Harvard, Yale, Princeton or similar, the school and its alumni network will not let you fail.

What are you talking about? There are plenty of people from these institutions who fail.

Perhaps everyone who is hired by a "white-shoe" (is that a term?) company went to an elite university. But not everyone who went to an elite university is hired by such a company.

These companies choose people who have the same cultural background as them. But not everyone with that background is chosen.

Comment Re:Not sure what to think.... (Score 1) 792

And it's not like "I think I'm female" is an unusual feeling - it's common to over half the world's population, and in the absence of foetal androgens, everyone would say it.

Is it? I used to think I was male because I have a penis and I'm sexually attracted to people who don't have penises. Now, it turns out those traits have nothing to do with being male. So if you ask me if I'm male, I honestly have no idea how to answer any more. Am I male? Who knows?

Comment Re:All your jobs are...belong to us! (Score 1) 127

Do you think it's coincidence that the first widely available commercial application AI happens to be autonomous road vehicles?

You're lumping a bunch of different fields together as if they are all "AI".

Autonomous vehicles require computer vision.

AI doctors most likely require natural language processing.

Those are independent problems. It so happens we're making more progress on computer vision these days. Apparently it's an easier problem.

Comment Re:mitigating factor (Score 2) 409

the effort to "re-automate" something may approach the level of effort it took to automate it in the first place

Even if this is true (which I doubt - once you've solved a problem, it generally becomes much easier to solve related problems), the "re-automating" will employ a small elite of computer scientists, just like the original automating did. The millions of workers replaced by automation will not be benefitted by re-automation.

Comment Re:So? (Score 1) 409

Almost everything can be automated, the crucial question is whether it is cost-effective to do so

That's pretty much wrong.

Most humans have jobs that cannot currently be automated. There is currently no machine that can drive a car well enough that people trust it on the road (though this might change very soon), so millions of people work as drivers. There is currently no machine that has the spatial coordination to cook a hamburger or pick a strawberry or sew the the sleeve onto a shirt unattended, so millions of people work in restaurants and farms and garment factories. There is currently no machine that can produce a high-quality translated document, or write a high-quality essay, or invent high-quality jokes, so people work in all those fields (and many other white-collar fields).

But if and when a way to automate these tasks is developed, it will be much cheaper than human labor. The software will only have to be written once, and then it can be used simultaneously everywhere in the world. The mechanical components (like motors and cameras) are already very cheap. Put together, there is little chance of the cost approaching human minimum wage in most fields.

Comment Re:Good for China (Score 1) 117

There is little relation between "pollution" and CO2.

When you burn hydrocarbons, those carbon atoms have to go somewhere. The best scenario is that they go to create CO2, which does not cause smog, and is pretty harmless except for the greenhouse effect. US regulations ensure that as much CO2 as possible is created by combustion.

Where there is less regulation, there are motors and fires which run "dirty". Much of the carbon goes to create CO, or carbon dust, or benzene or other random chemicals. Also, in the hot conditions of the motor, other reactions take place and you end up with toxic substances like NO2. The mixture of all these pollutants - NOT including CO2 - is what creates smog.

Comment Re:But .. but but but. Bullshit. (Score 2) 504

Zero Hedge? The site run by "Tyler Durden" that predicts multiple times a day that the US economy is about to crash?

I learned about Zero Henge in 2009 when they guaranteed that the US financial system was about to have a "complete economic collapse". Needless to say, this never happened. But the article scared me for a couple years, until I realized that it, and the site as a whole, are full of shit. It's time you realized this too.

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