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Comment With a bit more info, you can understand... (Score 2) 46

I live not too far from where this project would be built. The manufacturing park is just the latest twist on this sordid project. With a bit more info, you can understand why the California Forever billionaires cooked up this project. First, some statistics:

Median home prices:
* San Jose ~$1.5 million
* San Francisco ~$1.3 million
* Fairfield ~$630K (largest town in Solano County, 121,000 people)
* Sacramento ~$490K

Fairfield is about 1.5 hour drive to San Jose with light traffic. Because of extreme differences in housing prices, a surprising number of people commute from Sacramento to the Bay Area (1.5 to 2 hours each way). Sacramento is an hour further away from the Bay Area than Fairfield. So, lots of people are willing to commute long distances to obtain cheaper housing.

The California Forever (CF) people quietly started buying up farmland in Solano County prior to 2018, with plans to build a new city on fertile and valuable farmland. At first, CF told the county that they only planned to lease land back to farmers. But, their actual plan was to secretly buy up enough contiguous farmland and then announce the project and convince county residents to abandon their 40-year-old orderly growth ordinance. CF had to strong-arm some farmers to force them to sell. CF finally sprung their plan on the county but despite a multi-million dollar campaign (which further alienate the locals), local organizers successfully fought the plan and CF pulled the proposal from the November 2024 ballot.

Now, apparently desperate to convince county residents for a 2026 ballot measure, CF is adding an industrial park to the plan. It's a common strategy in California's Central Valley to make large housing projects (which will pave over farmland) palatable to local residents. Lots of articles on the topic. Here's one:

The California Forever debate moves underground
A billionaire-backed company will continue sowing support, while residents weigh their options.
17 Sept 2024
https://www.hcn.org/articles/t...

Comment The decline of home audio (Score 5, Insightful) 68

The announcement of Bose buying McIntosh fits in with what's been happening with home audio in general. There has been a huge consolidation and shakeup of high-end audio companies over the last 15 years or so. And now, several of the large holding companies are in deep financial trouble:

Voxx International* Up For Sale, As Consumer Sales Plunge, Pioneer Brand Dropped
https://www.channelnews.com.au...

Former Sound United** Business Could Be “Discontinued” Next Year After Falling Revenues
https://www.channelnews.com.au...

* Voxx International (originally Audiovox Corp.) - owns about 35 brands, including Acoustic Research, Advent, Klipsch, Onkyo, etc.

** Sound United (Masimo) -- owns brands such as Bowers & Wilkins, Denon, Polk Audio, Marantz, Boston Acoustics, etc.

On a side note, I was wondering why I haven't run across Harman Kardon equipment for sale while browsing equipment recently. Turns out that Samsung bought Harman International (which included HK, JBL, Infinity, Lexicon, Mark Levinson, etc.) in 2017. Since the Samsung purchase, Harman Kardon has quit making receivers, amps, and AVR equipment and the brand only seems to be selling Bluetooth "smart" speaker, headphones now (along with car & boat systems).

Comment Lack of herbicides is a problem for farmers... (Score 4, Informative) 29

Most of my career was spent in pesticide regulatory arena and I can vouch that paraquat is incredibly toxic to humans. For herbicides, it's an outlier for mammalian toxicity and is infamous in developing countries as a way to commit suicide. On the surface, it's remarkable that paraquat has been left on the market for so long in the US. It's been banned since 2007 in the European Union. And if you think "why can't growers just not use herbicides and/or go organic?" -- when we surveyed organic growers in California about their pest control problems, they overwhelmingly said that weed control was by far their biggest expense and problem. Mechanical weed control (plowing) is energy intensive and expensive.

There has been pressure on the US EPA to keep paraquat on the market as the number of herbicide active ingredients (AIs) has been declining owing to AIs losing registration and the lack of new AIs being developed. Until recently, there had not been a single new herbicide AI commercialized for 30 years. This article explains why:

What’s preventing a new era of herbicides?
https://www.farmprogress.com/c...

And as an example of how hard it is to bring a new chemical AI onto the market, BASF released a new herbicide AI (trifludimoxazin) in 2020:

EPA Proposes Registration of Trifludimoxazin, a New Herbicide Active Ingredient
https://www.epa.gov/pesticides...

but soon withdrew it from the market when fish toxicity issues were found:

BASF to Stop Selling Pesticide Trifludimoxazin Rather Than Continue Litigation
https://www.centerforfoodsafet...

Comment This is why it will likely never happen... (Score 2) 119

A few years ago, I was in a meeting with a bunch of wheat growers and their trade association. Most of them were not personally opposed to growing genetically engineered wheat. But, they were keenly aware of potential trade problems that would occur if GE wheat were allowed. The problem is that the US and Canada export a large percentage of their crop and much of it goes to countries which oppose genetically engineered crops. Much of Europe and Asia is like this.

You might think that it would be okay if some growers planted GE wheat for domestic consumption and others kept shipping old-school wheat to GE-averse countries, but you'd be wrong. The problem is that once it's being grown anywhere in the US or Canada, all exports are now suspect to contamination. All exports would be subject to testing. The growers in that meeting agreed that they would probably never grow GE wheat. The same is true for a number of other export crops -- GE cultivars were developed years ago but never released. Wheat goes into bread and that is something you don't mess with.

Submission + - China on track to reach clean energy targets six years ahead of schedule (electrek.co)

Uncle_Meataxe writes: China, the world’s largest pollution emitter, will likely reach its 2030 clean energy targets soon. The country is on track to achieve its target of 1,200 GW in wind and solar installations this month, about six years ahead of the original timeline of 2030. Solar and wind power have seen exponential growth. According to a recent report from Australia-based Climate Energy Finance, China is the current world leader in renewable energy capacity.

Solar power led capacity additions, with 79.2 GW installed between January and May 2024, accounting for 68% of total new capacity. A total of 19.8 GW of wind capacity has been added so far in 2024, or about 17% of the total new additions.

China's clean energy push has been driven by government policies and market forces. The government heavily subsidizes renewable energy projects and implements regulations to curb carbon emissions. Advancements in technology have made solar and wind power cost-effective further accelerating their adoption. Though China has become a global leader in clean energy adoption, it still relies heavily on coal-fired power plants and will need to replace those facilities with sustainable options in order to truly offset its CO2 emissions.

Submission + - California's grid passed the reliability test this heat wave (sacbee.com)

Uncle_Meataxe writes: California’s power grid handled a nearly three week long record-setting heat wave with few issues. The heat wave was the hottest 20-day period on record around Sacramento and set an all-time temperature record of 124 degrees in Palm Springs. Emergency alerts and calls for voluntary conservation were avoided this time around.

Officials credit years of investment in renewable energy, especially battery storage that store solar power for use when the sun stops shining.

As recently as August 2020, Californian suffered a heat wave that prompted rolling blackouts for several hundred thousand citizens. California Independent System Operator (CAISO) last issued calls for voluntary conservation two years ago, during a 2022 heat wave. Since then, roughly 11,600 megawatts of new renewable energy sources have come onto California’s electricity grid, including 10,000 megawatts of battery power, enough to power 10 million homes for a few hours. Second only to China, California is now home to the most grid batteries in the world.

Submission + - Hyundai & Kia's new 'Uni Wheel' system could revolutionize EV de

Uncle_Meataxe writes: Two articles
https://electrek.co/2023/11/29... and
https://insideevs.com/news/698... describe Hyundai and Kia's new ‘Uni Wheel’ drive system that could revolutionize EV design

Described by its makers as a “paradigm-shifting vehicle drive system,” the Uni Wheel moves the main drive system components to the vacant space within an EVs wheel hubs. The approach utilizes a planetary gear configuration consisting of a sun gear in the center, four pinion gears on each side, and a ring gear surrounding everything. Traditional ICE vehicles utilize CV joints, but by moving them closer to the wheels requires a short drive train length and as a result, a decrease in efficiency and durability – especially over bumpy terrain. Hyundai and Kia’s Uni Wheel system on the other hand, can transmit power with almost zero changes to efficiency, regardless of wheel movement. Advantages include more platform space and more room within an EV’s interior. When this system may be integrated into an actual EV remains unclear, but Kia and Hyundai have already registered eight patents related to the technology. A YouTube video is instructive https://www.youtube.com/watch?....

Comment Predatory journals (Score 5, Informative) 148

Can't read the paywalled article, but it's Interesting that the summary doesn't mention predatory scientific journals. These journals will publish anything for a page fee (e.g., $500/page). These journals advertise that they have a review process but this is clearly not the case. For respected journals, the review process can take months or even up to a year.

The temptation for scientists is immense. Example: a colleague submitted one of our papers to a respected, long-established journal but it was rejected for what seemed like lame reasons. We had waited six months to get that verdict. Rather than go through that process again with another quality journal, he decided to send it to a journal I had never heard of, but which advertised a fast turnaround time. This journal was published by MDPI, based in India, which publishes hundreds of journals. By the time I had figured out this scam, the journal had already concluded their "review," accepted the paper and our payment (less than two weeks for the entire process).

Here's the thing -- this was a decent paper, written by a highly respected leader in his field. Since then, I've seen lots of excellent scientists publish solid papers in these lame journals. But, since these journals will publish anything from anybody, you need to be careful. Apparently their business model is working and the result is a polluted scientific literature. Beall's List — https://beallslist.net/ -- has a list of predatory publishers. Interestingly, Beale removed MDPI from the list, but warns authors to carefully consider submitting to their journals. See Wikipedia for details.

Comment The problem with strawberry breeding (Score 2) 11

I can't read TFA (paywalled), but the problem with strawberry breeding is that the genetic variability is very low -- just a handful of original genotypes were used in the vast majority of breeding programs, especially in California (https://9lib.co/article/breeding-potential-of-the-wild-strawberries.zgw6wrjn). A large amount of pesticides are used (again, especially in California) because of disease and pest problems. There was a USDA program to bring in a lot of new breeding material from wild strawberries (Oregon State University) about 10 years ago and I know Driscolls was involved. If Discolls has 25,000 phenotypes, it sounds like they've incorporated the new genetic material from wild populations. This could be a successful project.

Comment Might be good to wait... (Score 1) 122

I realize people are eager to push forward clean energy plans, but it might be good to wait until the current funding has been implemented, at least partially, and then reassess the situation. I know someone working at the California Energy Commission. Currently, the Energy Commission already has a huge amount of money that will be encumbered for a variety of clean energy programs. The money is coming from many state and federal sources (for example: the Bipartisan Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act). Given the the CEC has more than $10 billion to disperse, it would be prudent to see how the dust settles before deciding what is left to do. It's possible that Prop 30 would have flooded the system with more money than could be absorbed efficiently. I've been involved with other California state programs that tried to fix something by allocating too much money, too quickly. It takes time to build infrastructure.

Comment Re:Vectors (Score 5, Informative) 63

Indeed, not taking the full course of antibiotics and hospital contamination are two reasons, but you missed perhaps one of the bigger sources -- animal agriculture. Antibiotics are routinely given on a massive scale because they promote growth, even in the absence of infection. These antibiotics end up in the environment and are a massive selective force for bacteria to evolve resistance.

Antibiotic Use in Agriculture and Its Consequential Resistance in Environmental Sources: Potential Public Health Implications
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/p...

Comment Re:Well macs don't last as long as PCs, so of cour (Score 4, Informative) 99

For folks with older Macs that are no longer getting security updates, there are two good options -- install Linux, or use OpenCore Legacy Patcher (https://github.com/dortania/Opencore-Legacy-Patcher). I've done both and they're excellent options. I just updated a 2011 Mac Mini with OCLP to MacOS Monterey and was impressed how easy it was. Soon after the upgrade, I was prompted to install the latest update for the OS and had no problems at all.

Comment I'd be more sympathetic if... (Score 4, Interesting) 68

Yeah, the pandemic has been a nightmare for many doctors. But, I'd be more sympathetic if the medical community had a more reasonable system for increasing the number of working doctors. Think about this -- in the US, how long has it been since we've had a shortage of doctors in rural areas? Pretty much forever and we still can't solve the problem? The reason, at least in part, is the American Medical Association has kept a tight cap on residencies.

It's not like there aren't a lot of people who'd like to be doctors. Indeed, something like 75% of undergraduates start off as premed. The AMA is essentially a union for doctors and they've kept supply of physicians tight to keep salaries up. A friend's daughter started her first physician job a few years ago for $250K/yr, working four days/week. I think she's making something like $400K a few years in and she's totally burnt out. So yeah, they paid a shitload of dough and they have to work their asses off.

Doctors say they need to make a lot in order to pay medical school loans. There are solutions for this too. Why not run medical school like graduate school? Have doctors in training work as orderlies in hospitals, etc. while they're in school, just like grad students teach and work as research assistants. Sure, it'd take them a few years longer but they could come out debt-free and maybe a bit more humble.

Comment Analysis of New Zealand's Covid policies (Score 3, Informative) 177

If you're interested in a more in-depth analysis of New Zealand's Covid policy, these two articles (and others linked within) are a good place to start:

Did New Zealand Let Too Few People Die of COVID?
https://sciencebasedmedicine.o...

Jay Bhattacharya errs on excess mortality in New Zealand
https://sciencebasedmedicine.o...

Comment Inflation -- assigning fault (Score 4, Insightful) 58

Americans tend to live in a somewhat isolated world where it's easy to forget that there are other people and countries out there. So when it comes to assigning blame for something like inflation, we tend to only think about the U.S. If President Biden, or the US government, or the Fed for that matter, are mainly to blame for the US's inflation woes, are they also to blame for the inflation all around the world (and didn't some of that spending happen under the previous administration)? Perhaps US & European government spending did bring about some inflation but what would have been the result if they had not? Maybe there are other factors, e.g., the Russian invasion of Ukraine, supply chain issues related to the pandemic, etc?

Inflation Rate - By Country -- https://tradingeconomics.com/c...

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