Comment Re: AI only needs to provide a marginal gain (Score 1) 66
I'm not saying you're completely wrong, but this is the exact same stuff they used to say about offshoring, and look at how well that went. It stuck in a few places to some degree, and maybe some even managed to eke out some savings without everything going to shit. But on average, and for most companies, it just made them lose their best employees and know-how, and ultimately ended up costing them a lot more money, too.
And it's the exact same stuff they said about factory automation.
And it's the exact same stuff they said about using machines in factories at all.
Yes, companies that offshored too much or stuff that was too important to the core of the company did screw themselves over. But most companies did not go that far and lose their best employees and know-how. That would have caused most companies to collapse.
And that's where we are now. Companies that use AI for too much or stuff that's too important will discover they've lost their core competency and knowledge. Companies that use it in more limited ways will have a competitive advantage over companies that don't use it at all. And even down at the bottom, engineers who figure out what it's good for will be more productive than ones who don't. Not 10 times as efficient, but 10% more efficient is still enough to matter.