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Comment That’s not how statistics work. (Score 1) 167

Even a 2% chance of nuclear winter every year means just that. A 2% chance any given year. Each year is an independent statistic. It doesn’t mean two years is 4%. Ten years is 20%. And fifty years is 100%.

This is just proof that just because someone understands one complicated concept that doesn’t mean they understand a different one.

Comment Loud? It fits right in. (Score 4, Informative) 82

While people like to think the sound of the drones would ruin otherwise tranquil settings, I have to say at least here in my neighborhood it would fit right in. My neighbors and I all may have roughly half acre lots, not be on busy streets, and are surrounded by noise dampening giant trees on rolling hills. But between the weekly leaf blowers and lawn mowers; plus the: home projects, delivery drivers, and the five private trash companies that all pick up trash and recycling bins all on different days which service the neighborhood it is hardly consistently quiet. Add in the church bells and occasional sirens wafting in over the hills as well all, an intermittent buzz of a drone would fit right in.

I’m not surprised at all these neighbors don’t notice.

Comment Much ado about nothing. (Score 1) 152

Let them show ads to empty theaters and those who haven’t figured out the game. The theater basically charge you $3-$5 per ticket in fees to pick your seat before the show. Which you are pretty much forced to pay these if don’t want to sit on the edges or are with a group and don’t want to make two trips to the theater. If I’m going to be social engineered into paying extra “ convenience” fees, then I’m not going to step into the theater until the show is about to start. All the trailers are online in short order anyway.

Now if they got rid on online reservations and went back lines at the ticket booth so you had to show up early for a good seat, then I’d complain about the ads.

Comment Sucks to grow up under surveillance. (Score 1) 90

So don’t have a public account. You can’t control what other people do. But you can control what you do. Also, this is lame. Is it not enough nearly everyone has a camera in their pocket. How is society better when the majority of people are a being constantly recorded? I’m definitely glad I came of age before this nonsense. My stupid years are mostly anonymous and in the memories of the few. More and more people will be defined for extended periods by something they thought was funny when they were young and dumb.

Comment Re:have you looked at retirement planning? (Score 1) 279

When you have a tiny mortgage relative to the value of your home you will pay off in less than 15 years not only will you own your home outright in retirement (minus the property tax/rent to the government). You can also sell it for another windfall and downsize. We also didn’t pick our location at random. We move from Chicago to here specifically for a job. Having assists meant we could do so while living in a nice area while still getting ahead.

It’s also smart not wait until your thirties to start putting money away for retirement. When it comes to investing, time matters almost as much as the amount you can put away every month. And if you are lucky enough to be at the right place at the right time, you can jump at the opportunity.

Lastly, we sold it for considerably more than $520k. And to reiterate, that was almost equal parts luck and it was skill. I have no illusions otherwise.

Comment Re:have you looked at retirement planning? (Score 1) 279

I bought my first house for $280k in a good spot in a good neighborhood about a mile from the downtown from a regional (and state) capitol during the 2008-2011 housing crisis. It was valued at about $520k before the bubble burst. A decade later we sold it for more than twice of the purchase price and moved first to Chicago and then the Northeast. That is how. Buy low, sell high. Be lucky enough to be at the right place at the right time. And be smart enough to know opportunity when you see it.

Comment It isn't one thing, it is EVERYTHING. (Score 3, Interesting) 279

It isn't just people spending more time alone.
It isn't just people being more accepting of alternative LBGT lifestyles.
It isn't just social media destroying people's in person social skills.
It isn't just greater availability contraception and abortion.
It isn't just women having more options in life and no longer needing to to submit to a man to get by in life.
It isn't just better and better virtual porn.
It isn't just the rise of cost healthcare, childcare, food, housing, transportation.
It isn't just the the wealthiest 20% taking almost all of the economic gains over the last 46 years.
It isn't just more people not ascribing to religious dogma commanding us to make as many babies as possible to bring riotous souls to earth.
It isn't just people being concerned about what kind of world their progeny would grow up in because of an increasingly erratic climate.
It isn't just because the competion for diminishing resources is an all time high with an almost doubling of the world population in the last 46 years.

It isn't just one thing. It is all of those things. However if life wasn't so much more expensive in the US that it was for previous generations, most of the other things probably would factor a lot less into the equation. Having children used to be a net economic gain for most families. On a societal level when each generation does worse economically that the last. The more children you have the greater and economic negative each child becomes. The economy does not work as well as it used to for the majority of Americans.

Comment I am glad Trump is a coward. (Score 4, Insightful) 221

I think we should all be grateful he Trump is in fact full of bluster and bullshit in pretty much any negotiation. The more high stakes the more that is true. Had Trump ordered the military to commit war crimes and genocide, the military would have had to decide whether to follow orders or follow the law. We have be on the edge of of constitutional crisis several times already, and hopefully the military would have chosen the rule of law over the rule of a wannabe tyrant. But frankly that is a rubicon I don't want to test. One one hand it I would be elated to be out of the Trump nightmare, one the other....if it went the other way...and the president illegal order were followed what that would be for our country I don't even want to contemplate.

Comment Let’s be honest (Score 1) 200

I have long concluded that the governments in most US jurisdictions are fine with the majority of freeway users speeding. It allows them to basically pull over anyone they want at any time without being accused of profiling. I don’t see any other reason why speed limits are set so low. 55 is still the standard for most freeways back east. If you drive that slow you would be a hazard. Out west 65 to 70 is common. Some roads are even 80 or no limit at all. Whatever the limit is you can be practically guaranteed the flow of traffic is 7-12 miles higher.

Comment Lake Powell, Lake Meade, Flaming Gorge (Score 1) 112

Keep an eye on these reservoirs. If not this year, one or more will likely reach deadpool within the next five to ten years. And when it does the climate change refugees in Las Vegas and Phoenix Metro are going to make the dustbowl refugees scattering to other places seem like they were a trickle.

Submission + - Subaru's new Getaway EV, a 420hp three-row SUV. (electrek.co)

Smonster writes: At first, the Getaway will come standard with a chunky 95.8kWh (usable) battery and over 300 miles of range. It will charge at up to 150kW from its native NACS port, going from 10-80% in approximately 30 minutes – slightly slower than other Subaru EVs on account of the Getaway’s huge battery and lower driving efficiency. Subaru specifically called out that charging performance “doesn’t lag in cold weather,” at temps down to 14F (-10C).
Next year, the company will release a vehicle-to-load adapter, allowing you to take power out of the car through its NACS port. It’s also planning a vehicle-to-home solution to allow you to power your house with your car, but we have no timeline on that. Until then, there’s an included 1500W 120v outlet in the back.

It can tow up to 3,500lbs, and Subaru says it has best-in-class ground clearance. It has 6- and 7- seat options, with either captain’s chairs or a bench seat in the middle.

No price has been listed but it’s estimated to be between $49k-$55k for the base model and north of $60k fully loaded.

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